Trump the biggest positive and negative risk for growth, survey finds<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"From Zac Crellin: The policies of a Trump administration are both the biggest downside and upside risks to the global economy, an international survey of companies by Oxford Economics has found. While 38 per cent of respondent companies were hopeful for US growth to surge thanks to President-elect Donald Trump’s fiscal stimulus program, 27 per … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “Trump the biggest positive and negative risk for growth, survey finds”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,29,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14618","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-the-big-picture","category-us-canada-countries-regions"],"yoast_head":"\nTrump the biggest positive and negative risk for growth, survey finds - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump the biggest positive and negative risk for growth, survey finds - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Zac Crellin: The policies of a Trump administration are both the biggest downside and upside risks to the global economy, an international survey of companies by Oxford Economics has found. 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Our contrarian view is that this is also not a good time to be overweight stocks, as in July 2007. The latest edition of the widely-followed Global Fund Manager Survey by Bank of America Securities has revealed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16180,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/04\/16\/does-china-have-the-financial-arsenic-to-ruin-the-us\/","url_meta":{"origin":14618,"position":1},"title":"Does China have the ‘financial arsenic’ to ruin the US?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 16, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"The media has been highly critical of Donald Trump's threatened tariff war with China, suggesting that China has the stronger hand. I disagree on two points: Trump is right to confront China. Even Paul Krugman, not a noted Trump supporter, called for this in 2010. China's position may not be\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7848,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/06\/02\/half-a-million-investors-have-walked-away-from-stocks-asx-finds-the-australian\/","url_meta":{"origin":14618,"position":2},"title":"Half a million investors have walked away from stocks, ASX finds | The Australian","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 2, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Andrew Main at The Australian writes (May 21st) that the number of Australians who own stocks decreased by more than half a million between 2010 and 2012. According to an ASX survey, total share ownership (including managed funds) peaked at 55 per cent in 2004 before dropping to 38 per\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":61515,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/04\/12\/trump-reveals-key-vulnerability\/","url_meta":{"origin":14618,"position":3},"title":"Trump reveals key vulnerability","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 12, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary Donald Trump announced an increase in tariffs to 145% on imports from China China increased tariffs on imports from the US to 125% in response The US Treasury market reacted with a steep rise in long-term yields President Trump announced a 90-day suspension of tariffs above 10% on all\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"MOVE Bond Market Volatility Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-11-move.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-11-move.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-11-move.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63676,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/21\/supreme-court-ends-peak-trump\/","url_meta":{"origin":14618,"position":4},"title":"Supreme Court Setback for Trump","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 21, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points In a 6-3 decision, the Supreme Court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977 doesn't authorize President Donald Trump to impose tariffs. The Yale Budget Lab estimated that households' average cost burden would fall by about half in 2026, to between $600 and $800, if\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Chief Justice John Roberts","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/chief-justice-roberts.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":18287,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/29\/market-uncertainty-is-likely-to-persist-as-u-s-china-negations-stall-bob-doll\/","url_meta":{"origin":14618,"position":5},"title":"Market uncertainty is likely to persist as US-China negotiations stall | Bob Doll","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 29, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"From Bob Doll at Nuveen: \"There have been several risk-off phases this decade, triggered by economic threats due to politically induced setbacks. However, the current sluggish global economy and weak trade, coupled with escalating trade tariffs and non-tariff barriers, is a worrisome combination. 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