{"id":14201,"date":"2016-09-19T23:29:23","date_gmt":"2016-09-20T03:29:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=14201"},"modified":"2016-09-19T23:29:23","modified_gmt":"2016-09-20T03:29:23","slug":"warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/","title":{"rendered":"Warning sign of China bank crisis | Business Insider"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/credit-to-gdp-warning-sign-of-bank-crisis-china-2016-9?IR=T\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/theres-an-early-warning-sign-that-china-is-financially-overheating.jpg?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>From Engen Tham, Reuters:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Excessive credit growth in China is signaling an increasing risk of a banking crisis in the next three years, a report from the Bank for International Settlements says.<\/p>\n<p>The credit-to-gross-domestic-product gap, an early warning of financial overheating, hit 30.1 in China in the first quarter of this year, the financial watchdog said in a review of international banking and financial markets published Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>Any level above 10 signals a crisis &#8220;occurs in any of the three years ahead,&#8221; the BIS said. China&#8217;s indicator is way above the second-highest level of 12.1 for Canada and the highest of the countries assessed by the BIS&#8230;.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>From the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bis.org\/statistics\/c_gaps.htm\">BIS<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The credit-to-GDP gap captures the build-up of excessive credit in a reduced-form fashion. It is defined as the difference between the credit-to-GDP ratio and its long-run trend, and it has been found to be a useful early warning indicator of financial crises.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>In the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bis.org\/statistics\/tables_j.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">BIS Table of credit-to-GDP gaps<\/a>, Hong Kong was second highest at 18.1. Chile (15.7), Singapore (14.8), Thailand (14.5), Saudi Arabia (14.0) and Belgium (12.2) are higher than Canada (12.1). Australia (4.5), USA (-9.9) and UK (-27.0) are far lower. In fact, UK looks like a credit contraction.<\/p>\n<p>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/credit-to-gdp-warning-sign-of-bank-crisis-china-2016-9\">Credit-to-GDP warning sign of bank crisis China &#8211; Business Insider<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From Engen Tham, Reuters: Excessive credit growth in China is signaling an increasing risk of a banking crisis in the next three years, a report from the Bank for International Settlements says. The credit-to-gross-domestic-product gap, an early warning of financial overheating, hit 30.1 in China in the first quarter of this year, the financial watchdog &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Warning sign of China bank crisis | Business Insider&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,45],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14201","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-debt-levels"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Warning sign of China bank crisis | Business Insider - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Warning sign of China bank crisis | Business Insider - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Engen Tham, Reuters: Excessive credit growth in China is signaling an increasing risk of a banking crisis in the next three years, a report from the Bank for International Settlements says. The credit-to-gross-domestic-product gap, an early warning of financial overheating, hit 30.1 in China in the first quarter of this year, the financial watchdog &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Warning sign of China bank crisis | Business Insider&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-09-20T03:29:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/theres-an-early-warning-sign-that-china-is-financially-overheating.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Warning sign of China bank crisis | Business Insider\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-09-20T03:29:23+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/\"},\"wordCount\":209,\"commentCount\":2,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/theres-an-early-warning-sign-that-china-is-financially-overheating.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"China &amp; 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The credit-to-gross-domestic-product gap, an early warning of financial overheating, hit 30.1 in China in the first quarter of this year, the financial watchdog &hellip; Continue reading \"Warning sign of China bank crisis | Business Insider\"","og_url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/","og_site_name":"the patient investor","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","article_published_time":"2016-09-20T03:29:23+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/theres-an-early-warning-sign-that-china-is-financially-overheating.jpg","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"ColinTwiggs","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"ColinTwiggs","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/"},"author":{"name":"ColinTwiggs","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5"},"headline":"Warning sign of China bank crisis | Business Insider","datePublished":"2016-09-20T03:29:23+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/"},"wordCount":209,"commentCount":2,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/theres-an-early-warning-sign-that-china-is-financially-overheating.jpg","articleSection":["China &amp; HK","Debt Levels"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/","name":"Warning sign of China bank crisis | Business Insider - the patient investor","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/theres-an-early-warning-sign-that-china-is-financially-overheating.jpg","datePublished":"2016-09-20T03:29:23+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/theres-an-early-warning-sign-that-china-is-financially-overheating.jpg?fit=1190%2C595&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/theres-an-early-warning-sign-that-china-is-financially-overheating.jpg?fit=1190%2C595&ssl=1","width":1190,"height":595},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/19\/warning-sign-of-china-bank-crisis-business-insider\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Warning sign of China bank crisis | Business Insider"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","name":"The Patient Investor","description":"Smart. 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China by far is the biggest credit bubble in the world today....... The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has identified an important warning signal to identify credit bubbles that are poised to trigger a banking crisis\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14691,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/15\/will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come\/","url_meta":{"origin":14201,"position":1},"title":"Will China&#8217;s Financial Bust Ever Come?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 15, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"From Paul Panckhurst and Adrian Leung at Bloomberg: China's reading is the nation's highest on record in the gauge released by the Bank for International Settlements. It's the single most reliable indicator of looming financial crises, according to the BIS, which found in a 2011 analysis of 36 countries that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16180,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/04\/16\/does-china-have-the-financial-arsenic-to-ruin-the-us\/","url_meta":{"origin":14201,"position":2},"title":"Does China have the &#8216;financial arsenic&#8217; to ruin the US?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 16, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"The media has been highly critical of Donald Trump's threatened tariff war with China, suggesting that China has the stronger hand. I disagree on two points: Trump is right to confront China. Even Paul Krugman, not a noted Trump supporter, called for this in 2010. China's position may not be\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6320,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/03\/china-uncertain-foundations-ft-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":14201,"position":3},"title":"China: Uncertain foundations &#8211; FT.com","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 3, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Simon Rabinovitch at FT writes: Shadow banking is flourishing in China, helping to make non-bank institutions as big a source of credit as banks themselves since July \u2013 something that has never happened before. Chinese bankers, leading rating agencies and the International Monetary Fund have all warned about risks from\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14699,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/20\/best-time-to-short-commodities-since-2012\/","url_meta":{"origin":14201,"position":4},"title":"Best time to short commodities since 2012","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 20, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"From Vesna Poljak: ....China's stimulus is finite and demand for raw materials will collapse without it. Australian Atul Lele, the Bahamas-based chief investment officer of private wealth manager Deltec, says all monetary and fiscal stimulus has a natural conclusion \u2013 \"it just ends\" \u2013 and traditional indicators of commodity prices\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":22769,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/21\/china-credit-trembles\/","url_meta":{"origin":14201,"position":5},"title":"China credit trembles","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 21, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The Washington-based Institute of International Finance (IFF) estimates that China\u2019s total domestic debt is likely to reach 335 per cent of GDP in Q2 of 2020 (up 17% from the preceding quarter). China\u2019s domestic debt, denominated in yuan, consists of three components: corporate, household and government debt. Corporate debt includes\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14201","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14201"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14201\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14201"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14201"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14201"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}