{"id":14142,"date":"2016-09-16T22:19:17","date_gmt":"2016-09-17T02:19:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=14142"},"modified":"2016-09-16T22:19:17","modified_gmt":"2016-09-17T02:19:17","slug":"gold-approaches-a-watershed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/16\/gold-approaches-a-watershed\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold approaches a watershed"},"content":{"rendered":"

Expectations of interest rate rises are growing, with 10-year Treasury yields advancing towards 2.0 percent after breaking out above 1.60.<\/p>\n

\"10-Year<\/p>\n

The Chinese Yuan is easing against the US Dollar, in a managed process from the PBOC which will use up foreign reserves more slowly than a direct peg. It is also likely to minimize selling pressure on the Yuan, both from capital flight and from Chinese borrowers covering on Dollar-denominated loans.<\/p>\n

\"USDCNY\"<\/p>\n

Spot gold is easing, in a falling wedge formation<\/a>, towards a test of medium-term support at $1300\/ounce. This is a watershed moment. Breach of $1300 would warn of a test of primary support at $1200. But respect of support would suggest another test of the July high at $1375.<\/p>\n

\"Spot<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1375 + ( 1375 – 1300 ) = 1450<\/p>\n

Rising interest rates and low inflation increase downward pressure on gold but uncertainty over US elections, Europe\/Brexit, and the path of the Chinese economy contribute to buying support. Gold stocks serve as a useful counter-balance to growth stocks in a portfolio. If there are positive outcomes and a return to economic stability, then growth stocks will do well and gold is likely to underperform. If things goes wrong and growth stocks do poorly, gold stocks are likely to outperform.<\/p>\n

In Australia the All Ordinaries Gold Index ($XGD) continues to test support at 4500. Respect (recovery above 5000) would signal another test of the recent highs at 5600. A weakening Australian Dollar\/US Dollar would tend to mitigate the impact of a fed rate hike. Breach of 4500 is less likely but would confirm a primary down-trend.<\/p>\n

\"All<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 4500 – ( 5000 – 4500 ) = 4000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Expectations of interest rate rises are growing, with 10-year Treasury yields advancing towards 2.0 percent after breaking out above 1.60. The Chinese Yuan is easing against the US Dollar, in a managed process from the PBOC which will use up foreign reserves more slowly than a direct peg. It is also likely to minimize selling … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Gold approaches a watershed”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,9],"tags":[70,166,663,678,1301,3204,3559],"class_list":["post-14142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-gold-precious-metals","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-all-ordinaries-gold-index","tag-china","tag-chinese-yuan","tag-europebrexit","tag-spot-gold","tag-us-elections"],"yoast_head":"\nGold approaches a watershed - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold approaches a watershed - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Expectations of interest rate rises are growing, with 10-year Treasury yields advancing towards 2.0 percent after breaking out above 1.60. 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The Chinese Yuan is easing against the US Dollar, with USDCNY in a gradual up-trend as the PBOC manages the decline in order to conserve foreign reserves. This is likely to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14025,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/08\/26\/gold-rising-interest-rates-and-the-falling-yuan\/","url_meta":{"origin":14142,"position":1},"title":"Gold, rising interest rates and the falling Yuan","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 26, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Interest rates are rising. Upward breakout from an ascending triangle formation on 10-year Treasury yields indicates an up-trend. A rate hike from the Fed would increase pressure on the Chinese Yuan, leaving the PBOC with a dilemma. Either allow the Yuan to slide, which could panic investors and borrowers into\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":26517,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/06\/25\/gold-silver-and-the-dollar-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":14142,"position":2},"title":"Gold, Silver and the Dollar","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 25, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields are easing, testing the low of the recent trend channel. The Dollar is retracing to find support after last weeks sharp rally following a \"hawkish\" FOMC meeting. Another test of primary support between 89.5 and 90 is likely. The Chinese Yuan has weakened over the past four\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-06-24-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-06-24-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-06-24-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13439,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/06\/08\/gold-strengthens-as-dollar-weakens\/","url_meta":{"origin":14142,"position":3},"title":"Gold strengthens as Dollar weakens","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 8, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Long-term interest rates continue their decline, with 10-year Treasury yields testing support at 1.65 to 1.70 percent. Breach would signal a test of the all-time (July 2012) low of 1.40 percent. Gold rallied in response, breaking initial resistance at $1250\/ounce to signal a test of $1300. The Chinese appear to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-year Treasury yields","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-09-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-09-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-09-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13512,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/06\/28\/gold-rises-as-the-yuan-and-interest-rates-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":14142,"position":4},"title":"Gold rises as the Yuan and interest rates fall","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 28, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"China seems to have given up on its policy of supporting the Yuan against the Dollar, with USDCNY breaking through resistance at 6.60. Depleting foreign reserves to support the Dollar-peg was always going to be a tough call for the PBOC. But the alternative of increased capital flight and rising\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"USDCNY","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-28-cny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-28-cny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-28-cny.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":18222,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/17\/gold-retreats-as-the-dollar-strengthens\/","url_meta":{"origin":14142,"position":5},"title":"Gold retreats as the Dollar strengthens","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 17, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Yuan fell sharply against the Dollar on imposition of tariffs by the US. Expect a test of primary support. The Dollar index strengthened. Follow-through above 98 would signal a fresh advance. The long-term target is 100. 10-Year Treasury yields are testing support at 2.40%. Breach would offer a target\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Chinese Yuan"","block_context":{"text":"Chinese Yuan","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/chinese-yuan\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14142","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14142"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14142\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14142"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14142"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14142"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}