The Day the U.S. Treasury Doomed America :: The Market Oracle :: Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting Free Website<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Average Treasury bond maturities reached a low of 50 months in 2009. They’ve since been lengthened a bit to 62 months, but that still leaves the U.S. Treasury with a major refinancing risk. The Treasury will have to refinance some $2 trillion of outstanding debt in the next year – and that’s in addition to … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “The Day the U.S. Treasury Doomed America :: The Market Oracle”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[3475,3478,3482],"class_list":["post-1411","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-treasury-bonds","tag-treasury-maturities","tag-treasury-yields"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Day the U.S. Treasury Doomed America :: The Market Oracle - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Day the U.S. Treasury Doomed America :: The Market Oracle - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Average Treasury bond maturities reached a low of 50 months in 2009. 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Reversal below 4000 would warn of another test of primary support at 3500. We remain in a bear market, with 12-month Rate of Change below zero. The recent rally was caused by falling long-term yields, with 10-year Treasuries testing support at 3.5%.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-02-13-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-02-13-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-02-13-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":20547,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/05\/16\/sp-500-treasury-and-the-fed\/","url_meta":{"origin":1411,"position":1},"title":"S&P 500, Treasury and the Fed","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 16, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 index continues to test resistance at 2950\/3000. Declining Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Reversal below 2750 is likely and would warn of another test of primary support at 2250. Breach of 2750 would signal the end of the Denial stage of the bear market. Panic would\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":50400,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/03\/25\/junk-bonds-bitcoin-a-heady-mix\/","url_meta":{"origin":1411,"position":2},"title":"Bitcoin & junk bonds – a heady mix","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 25, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Bitcoin broke resistance at $68K to signal another test of $72K. Breakout above $72K would offer a target of $82K. Junk bond spreads (relative to 10-year Treasury yields) have declined to 8.54%, indicating readily available credit in financial markets. A decline to lows around 5.0%, however, would be an early\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bitcoin","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-26-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-26-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-26-btc.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":43574,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/08\/21\/why-are-us-treasury-flooding-the-market-with-t-bills\/","url_meta":{"origin":1411,"position":3},"title":"Why are US Treasury flooding the market with T-bills?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 21, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"US Treasury indicated that a larger than normal percentage of the $1.85 trillion issuance in the next two quarters -- $1.007 trillion in Q4 and $852 billion in Q1 of 2024 -- will be in T-bills and short-term notes. Even amid modest coupon increases, the T-bill share of outstanding debt\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Treasury Yields: 10-Year, 1-Year & 3-Month","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-21-yieldcurve.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-21-yieldcurve.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-21-yieldcurve.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":42375,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/06\/02\/senate-approves-debt-ceiling-increase\/","url_meta":{"origin":1411,"position":4},"title":"Senate approves debt ceiling increase","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 2, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The Senate passed the Biden-McCarthy debt ceiling compromise bill which will now go to the President for signature. It's ironic to see grandstanding by members of the House who would not support McCarty's efforts to find a bipartisan solution to the debt-ceiling impasse. They need to be reminded that Congress\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Senate Passes Debt Ceiling","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-01-debtceiling.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-01-debtceiling.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-01-debtceiling.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3839,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/17\/the-power-of-cheap-money-puru-saxena-safehaven-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":1411,"position":5},"title":"The Power of Cheap Money | Puru Saxena | Safehaven.com","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 17, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Mr. Bernanke is intentionally suppressing the nominal risk free rate of return and he is forcing investors to search for yield. By keeping interest rates artificially low and well below the rate of inflation, the Federal Reserve has engineered this impressive rally in American stocks. Figure 2 captures the real\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1411","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1411"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1411\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1411"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1411"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1411"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}