{"id":13986,"date":"2016-08-15T22:28:47","date_gmt":"2016-08-16T02:28:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=13986"},"modified":"2016-08-15T22:28:47","modified_gmt":"2016-08-16T02:28:47","slug":"defensive-pe-at-a-dangerous-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/08\/15\/defensive-pe-at-a-dangerous-high\/","title":{"rendered":"Defensive PE at a dangerous high"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Compare the fwd PE of &quot;defensives&quot; today vs. 1999. Doesn&#039;t look like exuberance. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/W3Q5ZOxWB0\">pic.twitter.com\/W3Q5ZOxWB0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheStalwart\/status\/764971343884550144\">August 14, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Low interest rates and the accompanying search for yield have driven the forward Price-Earnings ratio for Defensives to a 20-year high. This is likely to reverse when (not if) rates eventually rise. Cyclicals and Growth, however, still look reasonable.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Compare the fwd PE of &quot;defensives&quot; today vs. 1999. Doesn&#039;t look like exuberance. pic.twitter.com\/W3Q5ZOxWB0 &mdash; Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) August 14, 2016 Low interest rates and the accompanying search for yield have driven the forward Price-Earnings ratio for Defensives to a 20-year high. This is likely to reverse when (not if) rates eventually rise. Cyclicals and &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/08\/15\/defensive-pe-at-a-dangerous-high\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Defensive PE at a dangerous high&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,57,34],"tags":[985,2750],"class_list":["post-13986","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-earnings-dividends","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-defensive-stocks","tag-price-earnings-ratio"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Defensive PE at a dangerous high - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Defensive PE at a dangerous high - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Compare the fwd PE of &quot;defensives&quot; today vs. 1999. Doesn&#039;t look like exuberance. pic.twitter.com\/W3Q5ZOxWB0 &mdash; Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) August 14, 2016 Low interest rates and the accompanying search for yield have driven the forward Price-Earnings ratio for Defensives to a 20-year high. This is likely to reverse when (not if) rates eventually rise. 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In 2014 to 2105, PEs above 20 warned that stocks were overpriced. We can see from the green and orange bars on the chart that the primary reason\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Earnings &amp; Dividends&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Earnings &amp; Dividends","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/earnings-dividends\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17854,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/02\/08\/price-earnings-versus-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":13986,"position":1},"title":"Price-Earnings versus Growth","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 8, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"A comment at lunch today about high price-earnings multiples got me started on one of my favorite topics: investment returns. Most of us use the basic price-earnings ratio (PE or P\/E) as a rough measure of how highly priced a stock is. The higher the P\/E, the higher the risk.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Earnings &amp; Dividends&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Earnings &amp; Dividends","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/earnings-dividends\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":43986,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/09\/08\/overpriced-sp-500-ignores-declining-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":13986,"position":2},"title":"Overpriced S&#038;P 500 ignores declining growth","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 8, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 price-to-sales ratio jumped to 2.44 in June -- way above its long-term average of 1.68. Price-earnings ratio (PE) calculated using highest trailing earnings, surged to 22.5 in June -- well above the peaks from earlier crises like October 1929 (Black Friday) and October 1987 (Black Monday). Robert\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Price-to-Sales","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-09-07-spx--sales.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-09-07-spx--sales.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-09-07-spx--sales.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-09-07-spx--sales.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9043,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/01\/26\/beware-of-the-cape\/","url_meta":{"origin":13986,"position":3},"title":"Beware of the CAPE","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 26, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"I have just read John Mauldin's warning that the market is overvalued: Not only does today's CAPE of 25.4x suggest a seriously overvalued market, but the rapid multiple expansion of the last few years coupled with sluggish earnings growth suggests that this market is also seriously overbought, as I pointed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CAPE","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/mauldin-cape.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/mauldin-cape.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/mauldin-cape.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/mauldin-cape.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13708,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/01\/26\/beware-of-the-cape-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13986,"position":4},"title":"Beware of the CAPE","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 26, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"I have just read John Mauldin's warning that the market is overvalued: Not only does today's CAPE of 25.4x suggest a seriously overvalued market, but the rapid multiple expansion of the last few years coupled with sluggish earnings growth suggests that this market is also seriously overbought, as I pointed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CAPE","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/mauldin-cape.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/mauldin-cape.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/mauldin-cape.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/mauldin-cape.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":14689,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/15\/nasdaq-breaks-its-dotcom-high\/","url_meta":{"origin":13986,"position":5},"title":"Nasdaq breaks its Dotcom high","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 15, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 broke through its all-time high at 4900, first reached in the Dotcom bubble of 1999\/2000. Follow-through above 5000 would signal another primary advance. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure, possibly profit-taking at the long-term high. The daily chart of the S&P\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Earnings &amp; Dividends&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Earnings &amp; Dividends","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/earnings-dividends\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13986","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13986"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13986\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13986"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13986"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13986"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}