{"id":13856,"date":"2014-08-09T00:06:34","date_gmt":"2014-08-09T00:06:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=766"},"modified":"2014-08-09T00:06:34","modified_gmt":"2014-08-09T00:06:34","slug":"when-to-sell-and-when-to-buy-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/when-to-sell-and-when-to-buy-2\/","title":{"rendered":"When to sell and when to buy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Investors are faced with the same emotional tug-of-war at every correction: Do I sell and abandon my positions or do I sit tight and ride out the storm? Here are a couple of useful perspectives:<\/p>\n<h3>What is your investment time frame?<\/h3>\n<p>Do you plan to invest for the long-term (5 to 10 years) or is your investment horizon a matter of months or weeks? If your investment horizon is long-term, you are investing for the primary trend. Your intention is unlikely to be to time secondary market movements.<\/p>\n<h3>Is timing secondary corrections profitable?<\/h3>\n<p>Our research shows that the average re-entry point, after brokerage and slippage is higher than the exit point and erodes performance.<\/p>\n<h3>Has the earning capacity of stocks you hold been affected by the correction?<\/h3>\n<p>A correction is a wave of negative sentiment, normally caused by an external shock &mdash; like the prospect of higher interest rates, oil prices, some new conflict or a threat to international trade. Where the market decides that earnings are unaffected and there is no permanent loss of value, it tends to recover fairly quickly. If, however, the market decides that there is a long-lasting effect on earnings then stocks are likely to be re-rated &mdash; resulting in a long-lasting drop in value. The probability of the former is far higher than the latter: the ratio of primary to secondary adjustments is low.<\/p>\n<h3>When is the best time to hold Momentum stocks?<\/h3>\n<p>We have not done a wide-ranging study of this, but the best two months performance for our ASX200 Prime Momentum strategy in the last two years were July 2013 (11.00%) and February 2014 (9.04%) &mdash; both in the middle of corrections.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"ASX 200 Corrections\" alt=\"ASX 200 Corrections\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-09-corrections.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Attempt to time the correction and you may miss the best-performing months.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Investors are faced with the same emotional tug-of-war at every correction: Do I sell and abandon my positions or do I sit tight and ride out the storm? Here are a couple of useful perspectives: What is your investment time frame? Do you plan to invest for the long-term (5 to 10 years) or is &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/when-to-sell-and-when-to-buy-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;When to sell and when to buy?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[2760,3059],"class_list":["post-13856","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-momentum-investing-2","tag-primary-trend","tag-secondary-corrections"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>When to sell and when to buy? - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"When to sell and when to buy? - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Investors are faced with the same emotional tug-of-war at every correction: Do I sell and abandon my positions or do I sit tight and ride out the storm? 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Here are a couple of useful perspectives: What is your investment time frame? Do you plan to invest for the long-term (5\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Active Investing&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Active Investing","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/active-investing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ASX 200 Corrections","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-09-corrections.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-09-corrections.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-09-corrections.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9008,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/01\/24\/the-correction-we-had-to-have\/","url_meta":{"origin":13856,"position":1},"title":"The correction we had to have","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 24, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"US markets were overdue for a correction and continuation of the advance for much longer would have resulted in instability, from an imbalance between buyers and sellers. At Research & Investment we do not attempt to time entries and exits on secondary corrections. Our research shows that this is expensive\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-01-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-01-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-01-25-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13712,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/28\/sp-500-unfazed-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13856,"position":2},"title":"S&#038;P 500 unfazed","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 28, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary: S&P 500 continues a primary advance. China respects primary support. ASX 200 continues to signal weakness. Momentum investors need to hold positions. The S&P 500 retraced to test its latest support level at 1950 after a downward GDP revision for the first quarter. Respect indicates medium-term buying pressure \u2014\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9668,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/04\/11\/markets-warn-of-correction\/","url_meta":{"origin":13856,"position":3},"title":"Markets warn of correction","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 11, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Before we examine the US and Australian markets, please take a look at the two charts below and tell me whether the trend is up or down. If you have a five-year old or six-year old handy, try asking them. And the second one: The trend on both is clear.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-04-11-spx-inv.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-04-11-spx-inv.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-04-11-spx-inv.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10169,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/27\/sp-500-unfazed\/","url_meta":{"origin":13856,"position":4},"title":"S&#038;P 500 unfazed","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 27, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary: S&P 500 continues a primary advance. China respects primary support. ASX 200 continues to signal weakness. Momentum investors need to hold positions. The S&P 500 retraced to test its latest support level at 1950 after a downward GDP revision for the first quarter. Respect indicates medium-term buying pressure \u2014\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13859,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/04\/market-turbulence-2-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13856,"position":5},"title":"Market turbulence","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 4, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"The quarter-end sell off may depress stock prices for a few more weeks, but it is important to stay in the market if you are investing with a long time horizon. Inexperienced investors tend to sell at the wrong time and buy at the wrong time \u2014 buy high and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Momentum Investing&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Momentum Investing","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/momentum-investing-2\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13856","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13856"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13856\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13856"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13856"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13856"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}