{"id":13795,"date":"2015-12-03T02:00:05","date_gmt":"2015-12-03T02:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=1290"},"modified":"2015-12-03T02:00:05","modified_gmt":"2015-12-03T02:00:05","slug":"nasdaq-bearish-divergence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/03\/nasdaq-bearish-divergence\/","title":{"rendered":"Nasdaq bearish divergence"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The S&amp;P 500 found resistance at 2100, indicating a continued lack of enthusiasm. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow flags medium-term selling pressure. Reversal below 2000 would warn of another test of primary support at 1870. Upward breakout now appears less likely, but would signal a fresh advance to 2400*.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-03-spx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 2130 + ( 2130 &#8211; 1870 ) = 2390<\/p>\n<p>Declining CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) below 20 indicates market risk is returning to normal. Some macro indicators remain elevated, however, which is why we maintain reduced exposure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-03-vix.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Nasdaq 100 is testing the previous (2000) high of 4800. Breakout would be a bullish sign for the broader market but bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow continues to warn of stubborn resistance.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Nasdaq 100\" alt=\"Nasdaq 100\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-03-ndx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Canada&#8217;s TSX 60 is struggling to break resistance at 800. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum peaks below zero continue to warn of a strong primary down-trend. Recovery above 825 is unlikely, while failure of support at 765 would confirm another decline.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"TSX 60 Index\" alt=\"TSX 60 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-03-tsx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 775 &#8211; ( 825 &#8211; 775 ) = 725<\/p>\n<h2>Europe<\/h2>\n<p>Germany&#8217;s DAX is retracing to test its new support level at 11000. Respect is likely and would confirm another test of 12400. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure. Reversal below 11000 is unlikely, but would warn of another test of 10000.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"DAX\" alt=\"DAX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-03-dax.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Footsie is strengthening, with rising 13-week Twiggs Momentum. Breakout above 6500 would indicate another test of 7000\/7100. Reversal below 6000 is unlikely but would signal a primary down-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"FTSE 100\" alt=\"FTSE 100\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-03-ftse.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Asia<\/h2>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Dow Jones Shanghai Index\" alt=\"Dow Jones Shanghai Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-03-ssec.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Shanghai Composite Index recovered above support at 3500. I remain wary of China because of the high Debt to GDP ratio, the need to wean itself off investment stimulus, and impending rate rises in the US which could encourage further capital outflows.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" lang=\"en\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Chart\/Quote (CS): China&#039;s heavy dependence on investment &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/op5a3XOtkZ\">pic.twitter.com\/op5a3XOtkZ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; SoberLook.com (@SoberLook) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SoberLook\/status\/672209330037477376\">December 3, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\">\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 is testing short-term resistance at 20000. This is unlikely to impede an advance to 21000. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Nikkei 225 Index\" alt=\"Nikkei 225 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-03-n225.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 19000 + ( 19000 &#8211; 17000 ) = 21000<\/p>\n<p>India&#8217;s Sensex is retracing to test the former band of primary support at 26000\/26500. Respect would confirm a primary down-trend. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero would strengthen the signal. Follow-through below 25000 would offer a target of 22500*. Recovery above the upper trend channel at 27000 is unlikely, but would suggest a rally to 30000.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"SENSEX\" alt=\"SENSEX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-03-bse.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 25000 &#8211; ( 27500 &#8211; 25000 ) = 22500<\/p>\n<h2>Australia<\/h2>\n<p>The ASX 200 encountered short-term resistance at 5300. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates (medium-term) selling pressure; reversal below zero would strengthen the signal. Breach of 5150 would warn of another test of primary support at 5000. Failure of support would signal a primary down-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"ASX 200\" alt=\"ASX 200\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-03-xjo.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 5000 &#8211; ( 6000 &#8211; 5000 ) = 4000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&amp;P 500 found resistance at 2100, indicating a continued lack of enthusiasm. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow flags medium-term selling pressure. Reversal below 2000 would warn of another test of primary support at 1870. Upward breakout now appears less likely, but would signal a fresh advance to 2400*. * Target calculation: 2130 + ( &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/03\/nasdaq-bearish-divergence\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Nasdaq bearish divergence&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,57],"tags":[64,251,947,1481,2401,2478,3010,3083,3100,3504],"class_list":["post-13795","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-stock-markets","tag-vix","tag-asx-200","tag-dax","tag-ftse-100","tag-nasdaq-100","tag-nikkei-225","tag-sp-500","tag-sensex","tag-shanghai-composite-index","tag-tsx-60-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Nasdaq bearish divergence - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nasdaq bearish divergence - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The S&amp;P 500 found resistance at 2100, indicating a continued lack of enthusiasm. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow flags medium-term selling pressure. Reversal below 2000 would warn of another test of primary support at 1870. 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The danger is that you avoid the steam engine but get hit by the caboose when you step back on the tracks. It is safer to wait until the anxiety subsides. North America The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-12-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-12-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-12-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1254,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/05\/no-fireworks-yet\/","url_meta":{"origin":13795,"position":1},"title":"No fireworks yet","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 5, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 is testing resistance at the previous high of 2130. Down-turn on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow warns of short-term selling pressure; a fall below zero would indicate strong resistance. Reversal below 2050 is unlikely, but would indicate another test of primary support at 1870. * Target calculation: 2000\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-05-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-05-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-05-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13796,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/19\/cement-and-electricity-not-there-yet\/","url_meta":{"origin":13795,"position":2},"title":"Cement and electricity &#8211; not there yet","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 19, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Buying looks a lot more robust than last week and more US-led gains are likely. Electricity & Cement Production An examination of electricity and cement production shows the US recovery has plenty of scope for further improvement. Cement production recovered from its dramatic fall in 2008 but remains at the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Cement Production","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-19-cement.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-19-cement.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-19-cement.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13793,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/10\/the-gathering-storm\/","url_meta":{"origin":13795,"position":3},"title":"The gathering storm","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 10, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Last week I touched on the bearish divergence on the Nasdaq 100, warning of a reversal. This week we look at bearish signs on the Dow Jones Global Index, transport bellwether Fedex and a number of major indices outside the US and Japan. First, the Dow Jones Global Index. After\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"DJ Global Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-10-djwo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-10-djwo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-10-djwo.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13797,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/26\/markets-lack-enthusiasm\/","url_meta":{"origin":13795,"position":4},"title":"Markets lack enthusiasm","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 26, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 hesitated at 2100, short candle ranges indicating a lack of interest ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday. Lower 21-day Twiggs Money Flow likewise indicates a lack of enthusiasm. Reversal below 2000 is unlikely but would warn of another test of primary support at 1870. Expect strong resistance at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-26-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-26-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-26-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":8941,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/01\/14\/bullish-vix-readings-for-the-sp-500\/","url_meta":{"origin":13795,"position":5},"title":"Bullish VIX readings for the S&#038;P 500","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 14, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Declining CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) readings for the S&P 500 continue to indicate a bull market. The S&P 500 itself is headed for another test of short-term resistance at 1850. Breakout would confirm the target of 1910*, while respect would warn of a correction, especially if followed by reversal below\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"VIX Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-01-15-vix.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-01-15-vix.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-01-15-vix.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13795","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13795"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13795\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}