{"id":13791,"date":"2015-11-30T06:51:54","date_gmt":"2015-11-30T06:51:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=1266"},"modified":"2015-11-30T06:51:54","modified_gmt":"2015-11-30T06:51:54","slug":"the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/30\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\/","title":{"rendered":"The Trouble With Chasing Hot Strategies | Josh Brown"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This should be blindingly obvious, but amazing how often it is ignored. Great post from Josh Brown at <a href=\"http:\/\/thereformedbroker.com\/2015\/11\/27\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies\/\" target=\"_blank\">Reformed Broker<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>How do most investors (and many advisors) select funds or strategies to allocate to? They look at what\u2019s been working, learn the story and get long&#8230;&#8230;.<br \/>\nAnd then mean reversion shows up \u2013 outperforming managers subsequently underperform, hot themes become over-loved, winning strategies become too crowded to offer excess returns. \u201cNo problem,\u201d says the advisor, I\u2019ve got six new ideas to replace the six ideas that are no longer working!\u201d\n<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s sad to say, but this is exactly how it works. I\u2019ve been watching this for almost 20 years&#8230;&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>\nResearch Affiliates has an interesting pair of charts demonstrating this phenomenon in a new note from Rob Arnott, Jason Hsu and Co. They illustrate that increasing fund flows are a decent predictor of subsequent underperformance and that performance-chasing is destructive to returns across all types of investment products:<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Research Affiliates\" title=\"Research Affiliates\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thereformedbroker.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/factor-1.jpg?w=525\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This should be blindingly obvious, but amazing how often it is ignored. Great post from Josh Brown at Reformed Broker: How do most investors (and many advisors) select funds or strategies to allocate to? They look at what\u2019s been working, learn the story and get long&#8230;&#8230;. And then mean reversion shows up \u2013 outperforming managers &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/30\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;The Trouble With Chasing Hot Strategies | Josh Brown&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,57],"tags":[1714,1989],"class_list":["post-13791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-stock-markets","tag-hot-strategies","tag-josh-brown"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Trouble With Chasing Hot Strategies | Josh Brown - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Trouble With Chasing Hot Strategies | Josh Brown - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This should be blindingly obvious, but amazing how often it is ignored. Great post from Josh Brown at Reformed Broker: How do most investors (and many advisors) select funds or strategies to allocate to? They look at what\u2019s been working, learn the story and get long&#8230;&#8230;. And then mean reversion shows up \u2013 outperforming managers &hellip; Continue reading &quot;The Trouble With Chasing Hot Strategies | Josh Brown&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/30\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2015-11-30T06:51:54+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/thereformedbroker.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/factor-1.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"The Trouble With Chasing Hot Strategies | Josh Brown\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-11-30T06:51:54+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":167,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\\\/\\\/thereformedbroker.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/factor-1.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"hot strategies\",\"Josh Brown\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Market Insights\",\"Stock Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Trouble With Chasing Hot Strategies | Josh Brown - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\\\/\\\/thereformedbroker.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/factor-1.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-11-30T06:51:54+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/thereformedbroker.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/factor-1.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"http:\\\/\\\/thereformedbroker.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/factor-1.jpg\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/30\\\/the-trouble-with-chasing-hot-strategies-josh-brown-2\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"The Trouble With Chasing Hot Strategies | Josh Brown\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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Great post from Josh Brown at Reformed Broker: How do most investors (and many advisors) select funds or strategies to allocate to? They look at what\u2019s been working, learn the story and get long....... And then mean reversion\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Active Investing&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Active Investing","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/active-investing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7864,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/06\/03\/smart-and-stupid-arguments-for-active-management-the-reformed-broker\/","url_meta":{"origin":13791,"position":1},"title":"Smart and Stupid Arguments for Active Management | The Reformed Broker","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 3, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Are active or passive investment strategies best? 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And without any other easy means of achieving its objectives, I am afraid that the Kremlin will constantly try to prove it is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7006,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/16\/the-fire-next-door-mexicos-war-on-drugs\/","url_meta":{"origin":13791,"position":4},"title":"The fire next door: Mexico&#039;s war on drugs","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 16, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"http:\/\/youtu.be\/8qCmBuagOKA Since the Mexican government initiated a military offensive against its country's powerful drug cartels in December 2006, some 50,000 people have perished and the drugs continue to flow. 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