{"id":13776,"date":"2015-07-09T04:44:11","date_gmt":"2015-07-09T04:44:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=998"},"modified":"2015-07-09T04:44:11","modified_gmt":"2015-07-09T04:44:11","slug":"another-week-another-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/09\/another-week-another-crisis\/","title":{"rendered":"Another week another crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"

The crisis in Greece continues, dragging down stocks across Europe.<\/p>\n

Germany’s DAX broke support at 11000, warning of a decline to 10000. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero would warn of a primary down-trend. Recovery above 11500 is unlikely, but would signal a fresh advance. <\/p>\n

\"DAX\"<\/p>\n

The Footsie found short-term support at 6500. Decline of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of a primary down-trend. A peak below zero or breach of support at 6100 would confirm.<\/p>\n

\"FTSE<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 6700 – ( 7100 – 6700 ) = 6300<\/p>\n

Asia<\/h3>\n

Events have been overtaken by collapse of Chinese stocks. The Shanghai Composite found support at 3500, but government efforts are unlikely to stem the rout. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero would warn of further selling pressure. Expect support at the primary trendline, around the 3000 level.<\/p>\n

\"Shanghai<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 4000 – ( 5000 – 4000 ) = 3000<\/p>\n

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was unsettled by events in Shanghai, breaking support at 20000 to warn of a correction. The decline on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow is gradual, suggesting a secondary correction.<\/p>\n

\"Nikkei<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 20000 + ( 20000 – 18000 ) = 22000<\/p>\n

India’s Sensex retreated below 28000 warning of another test of primary support at 26500. A 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero, however, would indicate medium-term buying pressure. Breach of support at 26500 is also unlikely, but would signal a primary down-trend with support at 23000*.<\/p>\n

\"SENSEX\"<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 26500 – ( 30000 – 26500 ) = 23000<\/p>\n

North America<\/h3>\n

The S&P 500 is testing medium-term support at 2040. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow suggests a test of primary support (1980\/2000) but today’s rally in China may alleviate this. The index is likely to range below 2120 until the situations in both China and Greece reach a conclusion.<\/p>\n

\"S&P<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 2120 + ( 2120 – 2040 ) = 2200<\/p>\n

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is fairly subdued but likely to break 20, indicating moderate risk.<\/p>\n

\"S&P<\/p>\n

Dow Jones Industrial Average broke support at 17600. Follow-through below 17500 would warn of a test of primary support at 17000. Decline of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero indicates strong selling pressure but this was aggravated by yesterday’s technical trading halt on the NYSE and recovery above zero is likely.<\/p>\n

\"Dow<\/p>\n

Canada’s TSX 60 broke support at 850, warning of a test of primary support at 800. Decline of 13-week Twiggs Momentum below zero suggests a primary down-trend. Recovery above the descending trendline is unlikely, but would indicate the correction is over.<\/p>\n

\"TSX<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 850 – ( 900 – 850 ) = 800<\/p>\n

Australia<\/h3>\n

The ASX 200 found support at 5400, highlighted by the long tail on today’s candle. Breakout above the trend channel is still unlikely, but would indicate the correction is over. It would be prudent, in the current climate, to wait for a higher trough or some other confirmation. Rising 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates moderate buying pressure. <\/p>\n

\"ASX<\/p>\n

\n
\nMore….
\n<\/a>
\n<\/h2>\n

\n\t\t\t\tGold Bugs warn of a bear market<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n

\n\t\t\t\tDollar calm while prospect of rate rises fades<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n

\n\t\t\t\tSilver tests primary support at $15<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n

\n\t\t\t\tAustralia: Rising foreign debt<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n

\n\t\t\t\tRBA strategy: Fight fire with gasoline<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n

\n\t\t\t\tCrude breaks $54<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n

\n\t\t\t\tAustralian stocks: Buy in July?<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n
\n

Never let a serious crisis go to waste.\n<\/p>\n

~ Rahm Emanuel<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The crisis in Greece continues, dragging down stocks across Europe. Germany’s DAX broke support at 11000, warning of a decline to 10000. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero would warn of a primary down-trend. Recovery above 11500 is unlikely, but would signal a fresh advance. The Footsie found short-term support at 6500. Decline … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Another week another crisis”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,57],"tags":[64,251,615,663,947,1113,1295,1481,1614,2478,3010,3083,3100,3255,3504],"class_list":["post-13776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-stock-markets","tag-vix","tag-asx-200","tag-cboe-volatility-index","tag-china","tag-dax","tag-dow-jones-industrial-average","tag-euro-zone","tag-ftse-100","tag-greece","tag-nikkei-225","tag-sp-500","tag-sensex","tag-shanghai-composite-index","tag-stock-market-crash","tag-tsx-60-index"],"yoast_head":"\nAnother week another crisis - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Another week another crisis - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The crisis in Greece continues, dragging down stocks across Europe. 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S&P 500 finds support. VIX continues to indicate a bull market. China's Shanghai Composite encounters selling pressure. ASX 200 experiences a secondary correction. Dow Jones Europe Index is testing the primary trendline and support at 315. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum below zero already warns\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Europe Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-09-djeu.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-09-djeu.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-09-djeu.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10577,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/08\/europe-tests-primary-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":13776,"position":1},"title":"Europe tests primary support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 8, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary: Europe threatens reversal to a down-trend. S&P 500 finds support. VIX continues to indicate a bull market. China's Shanghai Composite encounters selling pressure. ASX 200 experiences a secondary correction. Dow Jones Europe Index is testing the primary trendline and support at 315. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum below zero already warns\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Europe Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-09-djeu.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-09-djeu.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-09-djeu.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13747,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/11\/october-sell-off-continues-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13776,"position":2},"title":"October sell-off continues","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 11, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"DAX and FTSE break support, signaling a down-trend China is bullish, but rest of Asia is bearish US stocks are correcting, but continue to indicate a bull market ASX testing primary support The quarter-end sell-off has been exacerbated by weakness in Europe. Germany's DAX broke primary support at 8900\/9000, signaling\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-dax.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11098,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/10\/october-sell-off-continues\/","url_meta":{"origin":13776,"position":3},"title":"October sell-off continues","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 10, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"DAX and FTSE break support, signaling a down-trend China is bullish, but rest of Asia is bearish US stocks are correcting, but continue to indicate a bull market ASX testing primary support The quarter-end sell-off has been exacerbated by weakness in Europe. Germany's DAX broke primary support at 8900\/9000, signaling\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-dax.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13780,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/30\/fedex-bounces-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":13776,"position":4},"title":"Fedex bounces back","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 30, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Next Portfolio Update The next update for S&P 500 and ASX200 Prime Momentum strategies will be on the weekend, so that investors can place trades on Monday, 3rd August 2015, the first trading day of the month. North America Bellwether transport stock Fedex respected primary support at $164, rallying strongly\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Fedex","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-30-fdx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-30-fdx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-30-fdx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13794,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/01\/14\/china-storm\/","url_meta":{"origin":13776,"position":5},"title":"China storm","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 14, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"My newsletter on December 10th, warned of The Gathering Storm across global markets. A month later, concern over China is sapping investor confidence. Several exchanges signal a primary down-trend and more are approaching the tipping point. The Dow Jones Global Index broke primary support at 300, warning of a decline\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"DJ Global Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-01-14-djwo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-01-14-djwo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-01-14-djwo.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13776"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13776\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}