{"id":13766,"date":"2015-03-12T05:56:54","date_gmt":"2015-03-12T05:56:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=915"},"modified":"2015-03-12T05:56:54","modified_gmt":"2015-03-12T05:56:54","slug":"dax-surges-ahead-while-others-retreat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/03\/12\/dax-surges-ahead-while-others-retreat\/","title":{"rendered":"DAX surges ahead while others retreat"},"content":{"rendered":"

The DAX is headed for its long-term target of 12000 while most markets (other than Japan) undergo a correction.<\/p>\n

The S&P 500 broke support at 2080, indicating a correction to test 2000. Breach of primary support is unlikely and another 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would signal another advance.<\/p>\n

\"S&P<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 2100 + ( 2100 – 2000 ) = 2200<\/p>\n

Dow Jones Industrial Average is similarly correcting to test primary support at 17000.<\/p>\n

\"Dow<\/p>\n

CBOE Volatility Index continues to indicate low risk typical of a bull market.<\/p>\n

\"S&P<\/p>\n

Europe<\/h3>\n

Germany’s DAX broke resistance at 11500 and is headed for a test of the long-term target at 12000*. Expect further resistance, possibly a correction, at this level. Rising 13-week Twiggs Momentum indicates a strong up-trend.<\/p>\n

\"DAX\"<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 11000 + ( 11000 – 10000 ) = 12000<\/p>\n

The Footsie retreated from a test of its December 1999 high of 6950. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum oscillating around zero indicates further consolidation. Expect a test of support at 6500.<\/p>\n

\"FTSE<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 7000 + ( 7000 – 6000 ) = 8000<\/p>\n

Asia<\/h3>\n

China’s Shanghai Composite Index is consolidating between 3050 and 3400. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Reversal below 3050 would warn of a decline to test the primary trendline at 2700. Breakout above 3400 is less likely, but would signal another primary advance.<\/p>\n

\"Shanghai<\/p>\n

Breach of support at 24000 on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index warns of further weakness in China. Follow-through below 23000 would indicate a primary down-trend — and a stronger bear signal (for China).<\/p>\n

\"Hang<\/p>\n

Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index is retracing to test new support at its 2007 high of 18000\/18300. Rising 13-week Twiggs Momentum indicates a strong up-trend. Respect of support is likely and would signal an advance to 20000* — confirmed by follow-through above 19000.<\/p>\n

\"Nikkei<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 18000 + ( 18000 – 16000 ) = 20000<\/p>\n

India’s Sensex faces stiff resistance at 30000. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Momentum warns the primary-trend is weakening, but not necessarily a reversal. This could be a mid-point consolidation. Retreat below 29000 indicates a correction. Follow-through below 28000 would test primary support at 26500\/27000. Respect of the primary trendline would establish a solid base for further advances.<\/p>\n

\"SENSEX\"<\/p>\n

Australia<\/h3>\n

The ASX 200 found support at 5750. Recovery above 5850 would suggest the correction is over. Follow-through above 6000 would confirm another advance, with a target of 6250*. Declining 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates mild selling pressure. Breach of 5750 is less likely, but would warn of a correction to 5500.<\/p>\n

\"ASX<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5750 ) = 6250<\/p>\n

\n
\nMore….
\n<\/a>
\n<\/h2>\n

\n\t\t\t\tAnother downward leg for crude?<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n

\n\t\t\t\tDeflation in Australia?<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n

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\n\t\t\t\tCrude in contango<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n
\n

Life is a school of probability.\n<\/p>\n

~ Walter Bagehot (hat tip to Barry Ritholz)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The DAX is headed for its long-term target of 12000 while most markets (other than Japan) undergo a correction. The S&P 500 broke support at 2080, indicating a correction to test 2000. Breach of primary support is unlikely and another 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would signal another advance. * Target calculation: 2100 … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “DAX surges ahead while others retreat”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,57],"tags":[64,251,615,947,1113,1362,1481,2479,3010,3099],"class_list":["post-13766","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-stock-markets","tag-vix","tag-asx-200","tag-cboe-volatility-index","tag-dax","tag-dow-jones-industrial-average","tag-fedex","tag-ftse-100","tag-nikkei-225-index","tag-sp-500","tag-shanghai-composite"],"yoast_head":"\nDAX surges ahead while others retreat - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"DAX surges ahead while others retreat - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The DAX is headed for its long-term target of 12000 while most markets (other than Japan) undergo a correction. 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Breach of support would signal a correction to test the band of primary support between 1970 and 2000. Recovery above 2080 is less likely at present, but would indicate another test of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-03-28-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-03-28-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-03-28-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10791,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/03\/dow-finds-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":13766,"position":1},"title":"Dow finds support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 3, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Dow Jones Industrial Average retraced to test support at 17000. Respect is likely and would indicate a fresh advance. Follow-through above 17150 would confirm a target of 17500*. Recovery of 21-day Twiggs Money Flow above its July peak would strengthen the signal. Reversal below 16950 is unlikely, but would warn\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Industrial Average","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-03-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-03-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-03-dow.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10907,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/16\/sp-500-healthy-bounce\/","url_meta":{"origin":13766,"position":2},"title":"S&P 500 healthy bounce","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 16, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 bounced off support at 1980\/1985 and is once again testing resistance at 2000. Follow-through above 2010 would confirm a primary advance, targeting 2100*. Failure of short-term support at 1980 remains unlikely, but would warn of a correction to 1950. * Target calculation: 2000 + ( 2000 -\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-17-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-17-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-17-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10885,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/16\/dow-finds-support-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13766,"position":3},"title":"Dow finds support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 16, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Dow Jones Industrial Average found short-term support at 16950\/17000. Follow-through above 17050 would indicate another attempt at 17150. And breakout above 17150 would offer a target of 17500*. Recovery of 21-day Twiggs Money Flow above 20% would indicate buying pressure. Reversal below support at 16950 is unlikely, but would test\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Industrial Average","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-16-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-16-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-16-dow.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13748,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/18\/october-sell-off-drawing-to-a-close-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13766,"position":4},"title":"October sell-off: Drawing to a close?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 18, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"DAX and FTSE find support, but remain in a down-trend China is bullish, but Japan bearish US stocks find support and continue to indicate a bull market ASX respects primary support The S&P 500 found support at 1820 and is testing resistance at 1900. Breach of resistance would suggest that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11335,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/11\/16\/a-quiet-week-in-the-markets\/","url_meta":{"origin":13766,"position":5},"title":"A quiet week in the markets","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 16, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"US stocks continue their bull-trend European stocks strengthen China likewise ASX retraces to test support The S&P 500 is testing the upper border of a broadening wedge formation. Retracement that respects support at 2000 would enhance the bull signal and offer a target of 2280*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-11-16-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-11-16-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-11-16-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13766","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13766"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13766\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13766"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13766"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13766"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}