{"id":13760,"date":"2015-01-29T01:46:55","date_gmt":"2015-01-29T01:46:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=896"},"modified":"2015-01-29T01:46:55","modified_gmt":"2015-01-29T01:46:55","slug":"asx-rebounds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/","title":{"rendered":"ASX rebounds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A low inflation outlook is likely to ease pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates. The S&amp;P 500 is testing support at 2000. Breach would warn of another correction, but the primary trend is intact. Respect of the secondary trendline would suggest this is likely to continue. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates long-term buying pressure; decline below the rising trendline would again warn of a secondary correction.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-spx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 2000 + ( 2000 &#8211; 1800 ) = 2200<\/p>\n<p>CBOE Volatility Index is making more frequent penetrations of 20%, suggesting moderate risk. VIX ranging between 20% and 30% would warn of increased market stress.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-vix.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Nasdaq 100 is also testing support, at 4100, and breach of this level would warn of a correction. But the primary trend is strong and further 13-week Twiggs Money Flow troughs above zero would reinforce this.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Nasdaq 100 Index\" alt=\"Nasdaq 100 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-ndx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 4100 + ( 4100 &#8211; 3700 ) = 4500<\/p>\n<p>Europe is buoyant after the ECB signaled further monetary easing (QE). Germany&#8217;s DAX is heading for 11000* after breaking resistance at 10000. Recovery of 13-week Twiggs Momentum indicates continuation of the up-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"DAX\" alt=\"DAX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-dax.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 10000 + ( 10000 &#8211; 9000 ) = 11000<\/p>\n<p>The Footsie has also recovered, testing long-term resistance at 6900\/7000. Expect strong resistance at this level. Breakout would signal a fresh primary advance, with a long-term target of 8000*.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"FTSE 100\" alt=\"FTSE 100\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-ftse.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 7000 + ( 7000 &#8211; 6000 ) = 8000<\/p>\n<p>China is benefiting from falling oil prices, with the Shanghai Composite Index again testing resistance at 3400. Breakout would signal a fresh primary advance. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates strong (medium-term) buying pressure. The stimulus effect of lower energy prices may allow the PBOC scope to rein in monetary expansion, which would have a dampening effect on the current stock boom.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-ssec.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Discussion of monetary expansion would not be complete without mention of Japan where the BOJ has gone &#8220;all in&#8221; to curb long-term deflationary pressures. The Nikkei 225 Index is testing resistance at its 2007 high of 18000. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow respecting the zero line suggests long-term buying pressure. Breakout above 18000 would signal another primary advance, with a target of 20000*.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Nikkei 225 Index\" alt=\"Nikkei 225 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-n225.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 18000 + ( 18000 &#8211; 16000 ) = 20000<\/p>\n<p>Australia&#8217;s ASX 200 has suffered from falling commodity prices over the past 12 months, with falling crude adding to the energy sector&#8217;s woes in the last quarter. But an up-tick of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow hints at brighter days ahead. Breakout above 5650 would offer a target of 6000*.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"ASX 200\" alt=\"ASX 200\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-xjo.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 5600 + ( 5600 &#8211; 5200 ) = 6000<\/p>\n<p>The Daily chart shows the index completed a double bottom, breaking resistance at 5550, after twice testing primary support at 5120\/5150. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero signals medium-term buying pressure. Follow-through above 5660 would confirm a fresh primary advance.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"ASX 200\" alt=\"ASX 200\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-xjod.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A low inflation outlook is likely to ease pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates. The S&amp;P 500 is testing support at 2000. Breach would warn of another correction, but the primary trend is intact. Respect of the secondary trendline would suggest this is likely to continue. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates long-term &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;ASX rebounds&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,57],"tags":[64,251,615,947,1481,2401,2479,3010,3099],"class_list":["post-13760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-stock-markets","tag-vix","tag-asx-200","tag-cboe-volatility-index","tag-dax","tag-ftse-100","tag-nasdaq-100","tag-nikkei-225-index","tag-sp-500","tag-shanghai-composite"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ASX rebounds - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ASX rebounds - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A low inflation outlook is likely to ease pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates. The S&amp;P 500 is testing support at 2000. Breach would warn of another correction, but the primary trend is intact. Respect of the secondary trendline would suggest this is likely to continue. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates long-term &hellip; Continue reading &quot;ASX rebounds&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2015-01-29T01:46:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-spx.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"ASX rebounds\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-01-29T01:46:55+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/\"},\"wordCount\":406,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-spx.png\",\"keywords\":[\"$VIX\",\"ASX 200\",\"CBOE Volatility Index\",\"DAX\",\"FTSE 100\",\"NASDAQ 100\",\"Nikkei 225 Index\",\"S&amp;P 500\",\"Shanghai Composite\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Market Insights\",\"Stock Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/\",\"name\":\"ASX rebounds - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-spx.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-01-29T01:46:55+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-spx.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-29-spx.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/29\/asx-rebounds\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ASX rebounds\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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The S&amp;P 500 is testing support at 2000. Breach would warn of another correction, but the primary trend is intact. Respect of the secondary trendline would suggest this is likely to continue. 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VIX continues to indicate a bull market. ASX 200 finds support. A Harami candlestick formation on the S&P 500 suggests continuation of the up-trend. Harami means 'pregnant' in Japanese. Expect a test of the psychological barrier at 2000. 21-Day Twiggs Money Flow recovery above\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-18-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-18-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-18-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11147,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/21\/another-bear-trap\/","url_meta":{"origin":13760,"position":1},"title":"Another bear trap?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 21, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Bellwether transport stock Fedex found support at $154, the long tail and rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicating buying pressure. Expect a test of $165. Reversal below $150 is unlikely, but would warn of a test of primary support at $130. Continuation of the primary up-trend signals improvement for the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Fedex","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-21-fdx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-21-fdx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-21-fdx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10365,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/18\/sp-500-pregnant-pause\/","url_meta":{"origin":13760,"position":2},"title":"S&#038;P 500 pregnant pause","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 18, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"S&P 500 advance to 2000 likely. VIX continues to indicate a bull market. ASX 200 finds support. A Harami candlestick formation on the S&P 500 suggests continuation of the up-trend. Harami means 'pregnant' in Japanese. Expect a test of the psychological barrier at 2000. 21-Day Twiggs Money Flow recovery above\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-18-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-18-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-18-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10169,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/27\/sp-500-unfazed\/","url_meta":{"origin":13760,"position":3},"title":"S&#038;P 500 unfazed","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 27, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary: S&P 500 continues a primary advance. China respects primary support. ASX 200 continues to signal weakness. Momentum investors need to hold positions. The S&P 500 retraced to test its latest support level at 1950 after a downward GDP revision for the first quarter. Respect indicates medium-term buying pressure \u2014\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13750,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/25\/october-correction-nearing-end-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13760,"position":4},"title":"October correction nearing end","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 25, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"DAX and FTSE in a down-trend China and Hong Kong retreat US stocks remain in a bull market ASX ends correction The new reporting season is under way and fund managers are now looking for opportunities rather than selling off under-performers. The S&P 500 broke resistance at 1900 and 1925.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11197,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/25\/october-correction-nearing-end\/","url_meta":{"origin":13760,"position":5},"title":"October correction nearing end","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 25, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"DAX and FTSE in a down-trend China and Hong Kong retreat US stocks remain in a bull market ASX ends correction The new reporting season is under way and fund managers are now looking for opportunities rather than selling off under-performers. The S&P 500 broke resistance at 1900 and 1925.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13760","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13760"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13760\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13760"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13760"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13760"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}