{"id":13748,"date":"2014-10-18T07:29:45","date_gmt":"2014-10-18T07:29:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=835"},"modified":"2014-10-18T07:29:45","modified_gmt":"2014-10-18T07:29:45","slug":"october-sell-off-drawing-to-a-close-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/18\/october-sell-off-drawing-to-a-close-2\/","title":{"rendered":"October sell-off: Drawing to a close?"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>DAX and FTSE find support, but remain in a down-trend<\/li>\n<li>China is bullish, but Japan bearish<\/li>\n<li>US stocks find support and continue to indicate a bull market<\/li>\n<li>ASX respects primary support<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 found support at 1820 and is testing resistance at 1900. Breach of resistance would suggest that the correction is over. 21-Day Twiggs Money Flow below zero, however, continues to warn of medium-term selling pressure. Respect of resistance is more likely, indicating another test of support at 1800*.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-spx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 1900 &#8211; ( 2000 &#8211; 1900 ) = 1800<\/p>\n<p>CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) retreated to 22, indicating moderate risk, but nowhere near the 30+ levels typical of a bear market.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-vix.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Dow Jones Industrial Average recovered above resistance (the former support level) at 16300, the long tail indicating short-term buying pressure. Follow-through above the descending trendline would signal that the correction is over. Recovery above the recent highs at 25% on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow would suggest that buyers have regained control.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Dow Jones Industrial Average\" alt=\"Dow Jones Industrial Average\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-dow.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Germany&#8217;s DAX is retracing to test resistance at 9000. Respect would confirm a primary down-trend. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum below zero strengthens the bear signal. Target for the decline is 8000*. Recovery above 9000 remains unlikely, but would warn of a bear trap.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50\" alt=\"Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-dax.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 9000 &#8211; ( 10000 &#8211; 9000 ) = 8000<\/p>\n<p>The Footsie displays a similar long tail, indicating buying pressure. Recovery above 6500 is unlikely, but would warn of a bear trap. Respect of resistance would offer a target of 6000*. <\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"FTSE 100 Index\" alt=\"FTSE 100 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-ftse.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 6400 &#8211; ( 6800 &#8211; 6400 ) = 6000<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index is testing support at 2340\/2350. Breach would warn of a correction. But the primary up-trend remains and rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow signals medium-term buying pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-ssec.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 Index plunged through support at 14800, warning of a test of primary support at 13900\/14000. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero indicates (long-term) selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Nikkei 225 Index\" alt=\"Nikkei 225 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-n225.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The ASX 200 recovered above resistance at 5250 and the descending trendline, suggesting that the correction is over. Bullish divergence and a rising 21-day Twiggs Money Flow (above zero) indicates medium-term buying pressure. Recovery above 5350 would confirm that buyers are back in control, while reversal below 5250 would indicate another test of 5000\/5050.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"ASX 200\" alt=\"ASX 200\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-xjo.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 5350 &#8211; ( 5650 &#8211; 5350 ) = 5050<\/p>\n<p>ASX 200 VIX remains below 20, indicating low risk typical of a bull market.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"ASX 200 VIX\" alt=\"ASX 200 VIX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-xvi.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DAX and FTSE find support, but remain in a down-trend China is bullish, but Japan bearish US stocks find support and continue to indicate a bull market ASX respects primary support The S&amp;P 500 found support at 1820 and is testing resistance at 1900. Breach of resistance would suggest that the correction is over. 21-Day &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/18\/october-sell-off-drawing-to-a-close-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;October sell-off: Drawing to a close?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,57],"tags":[64,251,276,615,947,1103,1113,1481,2479,3010,3100],"class_list":["post-13748","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-stock-markets","tag-vix","tag-asx-200","tag-asx200-vix","tag-cboe-volatility-index","tag-dax","tag-dow-jones-euro-stoxx-50","tag-dow-jones-industrial-average","tag-ftse-100","tag-nikkei-225-index","tag-sp-500","tag-shanghai-composite-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>October sell-off: Drawing to a close? - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"October sell-off: Drawing to a close? - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"DAX and FTSE find support, but remain in a down-trend China is bullish, but Japan bearish US stocks find support and continue to indicate a bull market ASX respects primary support The S&amp;P 500 found support at 1820 and is testing resistance at 1900. 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