{"id":13747,"date":"2014-10-11T07:25:02","date_gmt":"2014-10-11T07:25:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=833"},"modified":"2014-10-11T07:25:02","modified_gmt":"2014-10-11T07:25:02","slug":"october-sell-off-continues-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/11\/october-sell-off-continues-2\/","title":{"rendered":"October sell-off continues"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>DAX and FTSE break support, signaling a down-trend<\/li>\n<li>China is bullish, but rest of Asia is bearish<\/li>\n<li>US stocks are correcting, but continue to indicate a bull market<\/li>\n<li>ASX testing primary support<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The quarter-end sell-off has been exacerbated by weakness in Europe.<\/p>\n<p>Germany&#8217;s DAX broke primary support at 8900\/9000, signaling a (primary) down-trend. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero strengthens the bear signal. Target for the decline is 8000*. Recovery above 9000 is unlikely, but would warn of a bear trap.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50\" alt=\"Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-dax.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 9000 &#8211; ( 10000 &#8211; 9000 ) = 8000<\/p>\n<p>The Footsie displays similar weakness, breaching primary support at 6400\/6500. Target for the decline is 6000*. Recovery above 6500 is unlikely, but would warn of a bear trap.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"FTSE 100 Index\" alt=\"FTSE 100 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-ftse.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 6400 &#8211; ( 6800 &#8211; 6400 ) = 6000<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index is holding above its new support at 2340\/2350, but expect retracement to at least 2250 in response to US\/European weakness.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-ssec.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 Index broke medium-term support at 15500 and the rising trendline to warn of a correction. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero would strengthen the signal. Breach of 14800 would indicate a test of primary support at 14000.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Nikkei 225 Index\" alt=\"Nikkei 225 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-n225.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 is testing primary support at 1900. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Reversal below zero would indicate a down-trend, offering a target of 1800*.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-spx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 1900 &#8211; ( 2000 &#8211; 1900 ) = 1800<\/p>\n<p>CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) rose to above 20, indicating moderate risk, but nowhere near the levels typical of a bear market.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-vix.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The ASX 200 broke support at 5250\/5300, suggesting a test of long-term support at 5000. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero indicates strong selling pressure. Recovery above 5350 is unlikely, but would suggest that the correction is over.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"ASX 200\" alt=\"ASX 200\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-xjo.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 5350 &#8211; ( 5700 &#8211; 5350 ) = 5000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DAX and FTSE break support, signaling a down-trend China is bullish, but rest of Asia is bearish US stocks are correcting, but continue to indicate a bull market ASX testing primary support The quarter-end sell-off has been exacerbated by weakness in Europe. Germany&#8217;s DAX broke primary support at 8900\/9000, signaling a (primary) down-trend. Reversal of &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/11\/october-sell-off-continues-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;October sell-off continues&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,57],"tags":[64,251,615,947,1103,1481,2479,3010,3100],"class_list":["post-13747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-stock-markets","tag-vix","tag-asx-200","tag-cboe-volatility-index","tag-dax","tag-dow-jones-euro-stoxx-50","tag-ftse-100","tag-nikkei-225-index","tag-sp-500","tag-shanghai-composite-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>October sell-off continues - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"October sell-off continues - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"DAX and FTSE break support, signaling a down-trend China is bullish, but rest of Asia is bearish US stocks are correcting, but continue to indicate a bull market ASX testing primary support The quarter-end sell-off has been exacerbated by weakness in Europe. Germany&#8217;s DAX broke primary support at 8900\/9000, signaling a (primary) down-trend. 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Germany's DAX broke primary support at 8900\/9000, signaling\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-dax.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13748,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/18\/october-sell-off-drawing-to-a-close-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13747,"position":1},"title":"October sell-off: Drawing to a close?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 18, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"DAX and FTSE find support, but remain in a down-trend China is bullish, but Japan bearish US stocks find support and continue to indicate a bull market ASX respects primary support The S&P 500 found support at 1820 and is testing resistance at 1900. Breach of resistance would suggest that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11043,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/01\/dax-threatens-bear-trend\/","url_meta":{"origin":13747,"position":2},"title":"DAX threatens bear trend","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 1, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Germany's DAX is retracing for another test of support at 9300 and 13-week Twiggs Money Flow retreat below zero, after a bearish divergence, warns of long-term selling pressure. Failure of support would warn of a primary down-trend, while breach of primary support at 9000\/8900 would confirm. Respect of support is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"DAX","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-02-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-02-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-02-dax.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11142,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/17\/october-sell-off-drawing-to-a-close\/","url_meta":{"origin":13747,"position":3},"title":"October sell-off: Drawing to a close?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 17, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"DAX and FTSE find support, but remain in a down-trend China is bullish, but Japan bearish US stocks find support and continue to indicate a bull market ASX respects primary support The S&P 500 found support at 1820 and is testing resistance at 1900. Breach of resistance would suggest that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-18-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11209,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/28\/europe-selling-pressure-3\/","url_meta":{"origin":13747,"position":4},"title":"Europe: Selling pressure","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 28, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Germany's DAX is testing resistance at 9000. Reversal below 8900 would suggest another decline with a target of 8000*. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of long-term selling pressure; a peak below zero would confirm a primary down-trend. Recovery above 9000 is unlikely, but would suggest a rally to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"DAX","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-28-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-28-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-28-dax.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11283,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/11\/04\/dax-and-footsie-weakness\/","url_meta":{"origin":13747,"position":5},"title":"DAX and Footsie weakness","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 4, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Having signaled a primary down-trend with a break below 8900, Germany's DAX recovered above 9000 to warn of a potential bear trap. After finding resistance at 9400, reversal below 8900 would confirm the down-trend, while follow-through above 9400 would suggest another test of 10000. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow recovered above\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"DAX","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-11-04-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-11-04-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-11-04-dax.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13747","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13747"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13747\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13747"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13747"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13747"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}