{"id":13741,"date":"2014-09-20T01:26:38","date_gmt":"2014-09-20T01:26:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=803"},"modified":"2014-09-20T01:26:38","modified_gmt":"2014-09-20T01:26:38","slug":"trouble-in-the-east-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Trouble in the East"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Poland, Ukraine and Lithuania plan to form a common brigade:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"525\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Agreement on a joint Ukraine-Poland-Lithuania military brigade signed in Warsaw &#8211; v <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DefenceU?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@DefenceU<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/12beNEuXrU\">https:\/\/t.co\/12beNEuXrU<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/20f1x2z800\">pic.twitter.com\/20f1x2z800<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Olga Tokariuk (@olgatokariuk) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/olgatokariuk\/status\/513037782621904896?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 19, 2014<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Ben Judah, author of <i>Fragile Empire: How Russia Fell In And Out Of Love With Vladimir Putin<\/i> observes:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;This emerging military alliance between Ukraine and Poland\/Lithuania is a sign that the US\/EU ability to control it allies decreasing fast.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Lack of leadership from their Western allies is forcing Eastern NATO states to form their own alliances, which could drag NATO into a conflict with Russia. Garry Kasparov in an interview with Maria Bartiromo sums up the situation:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;If you try to lead from behind no one will follow you&#8230;.Obama shows unwillingness to engage the challenges that are there.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/video.foxnews.com\/v\/3784232716001\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"247\" title=\"Garry Kasparov on Putin\" alt=\"Garry Kasparov on Putin\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/garry-kasparov.png?resize=525%2C247&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">Click on image to play video<\/p>\n<p>\nObama is no Ronald Reagan and his reluctance to confront Putin is encouraging further risk-taking. As Petro Poroshenko told the House:\n<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>We appreciate the blankets and night-vision goggles that you sent us&#8230;.but we cannot fight a war with blankets.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The ceasefire in the East is tenuous and likely to collapse at any time.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"525\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Picture and video from artillery fire tonight in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Mariupol?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Mariupol<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/MZ1NMmSibR\">http:\/\/t.co\/MZ1NMmSibR<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/InfoResist?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@InfoResist<\/a> |EMPR <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Ukraine?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Ukraine<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/DyPONpCb5N\">pic.twitter.com\/DyPONpCb5N<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Ukraine Front Line (@EuromaidanPR) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EuromaidanPR\/status\/513064362152841216?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 19, 2014<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>If the ceasefire does collapse, Putin will continue to escalate, destroying Obama&#8217;s and NATO credibility with their allies in the East. Sanctions have not worked as a deterrent. Brent crude is falling<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Nymex and Brent Crude\" alt=\"Nymex and Brent Crude\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-20-crude.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>But the impact on Russia is cushioned by the falling Rouble.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"RUBUSD\" alt=\"RUBUSD\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-20-rub.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>In the long-term this will cause inflation. But the immediate deterrent effect is negligible.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Poland, Ukraine and Lithuania plan to form a common brigade: Agreement on a joint Ukraine-Poland-Lithuania military brigade signed in Warsaw &#8211; v @DefenceU https:\/\/t.co\/12beNEuXrU pic.twitter.com\/20f1x2z800 &mdash; Olga Tokariuk (@olgatokariuk) September 19, 2014 Ben Judah, author of Fragile Empire: How Russia Fell In And Out Of Love With Vladimir Putin observes: &#8220;This emerging military alliance between &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Trouble in the East&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,57],"tags":[2123,2651,2685,3006,3521,3614],"class_list":["post-13741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-stock-markets","tag-lithuania","tag-petro-poroshenko","tag-poland","tag-russia","tag-ukraine","tag-vladimir-putin"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trouble in the East - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trouble in the East - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Poland, Ukraine and Lithuania plan to form a common brigade: Agreement on a joint Ukraine-Poland-Lithuania military brigade signed in Warsaw &#8211; v @DefenceU https:\/\/t.co\/12beNEuXrU pic.twitter.com\/20f1x2z800 &mdash; Olga Tokariuk (@olgatokariuk) September 19, 2014 Ben Judah, author of Fragile Empire: How Russia Fell In And Out Of Love With Vladimir Putin observes: &#8220;This emerging military alliance between &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Trouble in the East&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2014-09-20T01:26:38+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/garry-kasparov.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Trouble in the East\",\"datePublished\":\"2014-09-20T01:26:38+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/\"},\"wordCount\":242,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/garry-kasparov.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Lithuania\",\"Petro Poroshenko\",\"Poland\",\"Russia\",\"Ukraine\",\"Vladimir Putin\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Market Insights\",\"Stock Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/\",\"name\":\"Trouble in the East - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/garry-kasparov.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2014-09-20T01:26:38+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/garry-kasparov.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/garry-kasparov.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/trouble-in-the-east-3\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Trouble in the East\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He has declared that EU and NATO enlargement are part of a conspiracy to destroy Russia, that Ukraine is not really a sovereign nation, and that Western agents\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9484,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/03\/12\/how-ukraine-can-move-forward-cato-institute\/","url_meta":{"origin":13741,"position":2},"title":"How Ukraine Can Move Forward | Cato Institute","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 12, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Dalibor Rohac at the Cato Institute suggest the Ukraine should focus on getting its economy back on track: ....to really understand where Ukraine is headed, it\u2019s important to understand the roots of the unrest that led to the ousting of President Viktor Yanukovych.First, the country\u2019s oligarchic elite, which ruled the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":31322,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/04\/putin-doubles-down\/","url_meta":{"origin":13741,"position":3},"title":"Oil &#038; gas: Putin doubles down","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 4, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Vladimir Putin has doubled down on his strategy to crush military opposition in Ukraine. Russia's military suffered initial setbacks when they tried to seize the Kyiv in a matter of days -- using rapid advances on multiple fronts -- a strategy for which they were ill-equipped. They are now opting\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Vladimir Putin","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/putin.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":11542,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/02\/10\/putin-will-never-back-down-institutional-investors-alpha\/","url_meta":{"origin":13741,"position":4},"title":"Putin Will Never Back Down | Institutional Investor&#8217;s Alpha","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 10, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Excellent analysis of the situation in Eastern Europe by Bill Browder, founder of London-based Hermitage Capital Management: I'm afraid that, based on the reasons behind Putin's motivations for invading Ukraine in the first place, there is no chance that he will back down. To understand this, all it takes is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Former Ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/mcfaul.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":9354,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/03\/05\/putins-ploy\/","url_meta":{"origin":13741,"position":5},"title":"Putin&#8217;s ploy","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 5, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"The Wall Street Journal quotes Vladimir Putin's justification for occupying the Crimea: Russian President Vladimir Putin said Tuesday that Russia reserves the right to use force in Ukraine to protect Russian-speaking residents there.......\u201d This was a ploy used by Hitler to assert control of the Sudetenland in 1938. Sudetenland is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Hitler enters the Sudetenland, October 1938","src":"http:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/c\/c0\/Bundesarchiv_Bild_137-004055,_Eger,_Besuch_Adolf_Hitlers.jpg","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"http:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/c\/c0\/Bundesarchiv_Bild_137-004055,_Eger,_Besuch_Adolf_Hitlers.jpg 1x, http:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/c\/c0\/Bundesarchiv_Bild_137-004055,_Eger,_Besuch_Adolf_Hitlers.jpg 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13741","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13741"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13741\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}