{"id":13736,"date":"2014-08-23T03:46:20","date_gmt":"2014-08-23T03:46:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=781"},"modified":"2014-08-23T03:46:20","modified_gmt":"2014-08-23T03:46:20","slug":"putin-antics-fail-to-impress-markets-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/23\/putin-antics-fail-to-impress-markets-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin antics fail to impress markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>For all his macho posturing, Vladimir Putin has demonstrated an inability to move financial markets with his antics in Eastern Ukraine. His latest incursion towards Luhansk, with white-painted military trucks bearing aid to the rebel-held city, unchecked by the Red Cross, passed barely noticed. Instead markets are intently focused on nuances from a 68-year old Jewish mum at Jackson Hole, who also happens to chair the Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n<p>I would have loved to call Janet Yellen a &#8220;grandmother&#8221;, but son Robert Akerlof &mdash; himself a PhD in Economics &mdash; does not claim any offspring on his <a href=\"http:\/\/www2.warwick.ac.uk\/fac\/soc\/economics\/staff\/rakerlof\/\">CV<\/a>. The apple doesn&#8217;t fall far from the tree. Husband, George Akerlof, is a Nobel prize-winning economist and professor emeritus at University of California, Berkeley.<\/p>\n<p>The image below highlights the differences between the Fed and the ECB:<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Fed ECB\" alt=\"Fed ECB\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/BvrMJY7IcAEcNHO.jpg?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" lang=\"en\">\n<p>European unemployment is nearly twice the rate in the U.S.: <a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/ELXH1YcCcw\">http:\/\/t.co\/ELXH1YcCcw<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Bloomberg News (@BloombergNews) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BloombergNews\/statuses\/502938770363392005\">August 22, 2014<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The Fed&#8217;s more stimulatory approach has paid dividends in terms of economic growth and employment while inflation expectations remain muted. The inflation breakeven rate &mdash; 10-year Treasury yield minus the yield on equivalent inflation-indexed securities &mdash; continues to range between 2.0% and 2.50%.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"349\" title=\"Inflation breakeven rate\" alt=\"Inflation breakeven rate\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-23-inflation.png?resize=525%2C349&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The ECB&#8217;s more austere approach, on the other hand, has caused a world of pain.<\/p>\n<h3>Market update<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>S&amp;P 500 tests 2000.<\/li>\n<li>VIX continues to indicate a bull market.<\/li>\n<li>DAX hesitant rally.<\/li>\n<li>China bullish.<\/li>\n<li>ASX 200 faces strong resistance.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 hesitated after making a new high on Thursday, but there was no dramatic fall in response to news from Eastern Ukraine. Expect retracement towards 1950, followed by another test of 2000. 21-Day Twiggs Money Flow is likely to re-test the zero line, but respect would indicate strong buying pressure. Breach of support at 1900, warning of a reversal, remains unlikely.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-23-spx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 1500 + ( 1500 &#8211; 750 ) = 2250<\/p>\n<p>Declining CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) indicates low risk, typical of a bull market.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-23-vix.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Germany&#8217;s DAX rallied above 9300 on the weekly chart, but 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of continued selling pressure. Reversal below support at 8900\/9000 would warn of a primary down-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"DAX\" alt=\"DAX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-23-dax.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 9000 &#8211; ( 10000 &#8211; 9000 ) = 8000<\/p>\n<p>Shanghai Composite Index is testing resistance at 2250. Breakout would confirm a primary up-trend, signaling an advance to 2500*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure. Respect of resistance, however, would suggest further consolidation.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-23-ssec.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 2250 + ( 2250 &#8211; 2000 ) = 2500<\/p>\n<p>Tall wicks on ASX 200 daily candles indicate strong resistance at 5650. Respect would suggest retracement to 5550, while follow-through would be a strong bull signal, suggesting an advance to 5850*. Another 21-day Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would indicate long-term buying pressure. Reversal below 5450 is unlikely, but would warn of a test of primary support.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"ASX 200\" alt=\"ASX 200\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-23-xjo.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 5650 + ( 5650 &#8211; 5450 ) = 5850<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For all his macho posturing, Vladimir Putin has demonstrated an inability to move financial markets with his antics in Eastern Ukraine. His latest incursion towards Luhansk, with white-painted military trucks bearing aid to the rebel-held city, unchecked by the Red Cross, passed barely noticed. Instead markets are intently focused on nuances from a 68-year old &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/23\/putin-antics-fail-to-impress-markets-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Putin antics fail to impress markets&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,57],"tags":[64,251,615,947,1830,1932,3010,3099,3614],"class_list":["post-13736","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-stock-markets","tag-vix","tag-asx-200","tag-cboe-volatility-index","tag-dax","tag-inflation-breakeven-rate","tag-janet-yellen","tag-sp-500","tag-shanghai-composite","tag-vladimir-putin"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Putin antics fail to impress markets - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Putin antics fail to impress markets - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"For all his macho posturing, Vladimir Putin has demonstrated an inability to move financial markets with his antics in Eastern Ukraine. His latest incursion towards Luhansk, with white-painted military trucks bearing aid to the rebel-held city, unchecked by the Red Cross, passed barely noticed. 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His latest incursion towards Luhansk, with white-painted military trucks bearing aid to the rebel-held city, unchecked by the Red Cross, passed barely noticed. Instead markets are intently focused on\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Inflation breakeven rate","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-23-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-23-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-23-inflation.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":12606,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/25\/ben-judah-the-ruthlessness-of-vladimir-putin\/","url_meta":{"origin":13736,"position":1},"title":"Ben Judah: The ruthlessness of Vladimir Putin","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 25, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"From Ben Judah, author of Fragile Empire: How Russia Fell In and Out Love With Vladimir Putin: In the summer of 2012, Vladimir Putin returned as Russia\u2019s president, after four years of playacting as a pliant prime minister. I spent time in St Petersburg trying to sift through his murky\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12843,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/02\/10\/janet-yellen-on-financial-market-turmoil\/","url_meta":{"origin":13736,"position":2},"title":"Janet Yellen on financial market turmoil","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 10, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen before the House Financial Services Committee: \".....As is always the case, the economic outlook is uncertain. Foreign economic developments, in particular, pose risks to U.S. economic growth. Most notably, although recent economic indicators do not suggest a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, declines in the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9337,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/03\/04\/e-mini-jumps-on-putin-order\/","url_meta":{"origin":13736,"position":3},"title":"E-mini jumps on Putin order","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 4, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"E-mini jumps on Putin order for troops to return to bases (Reuters). Breakout above 1850 is a bullish sign. S&P 500 follow-through above 1860 would signal an advance to 1950.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"E-mini","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-03-03-emini.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-03-03-emini.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-03-03-emini.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":36153,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/08\/04\/fiona-hill-putin-is-pushing-our-buttons\/","url_meta":{"origin":13736,"position":4},"title":"Fiona Hill | Putin is pushing our buttons","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 4, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"British-born Fiona Hill is an expert on Russia and Vladimir Putin and served as security adviser to US Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama and Donald Trump. Her take on Russia's invasion of Ukraine is that Vladimir Putin still thinks he is winning. The Kremlin has a far higher tolerance\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/pZ3DQv5KNQE\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":6695,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/02\/12\/feds-2007-transcripts-show-shift-to-alarm-wsj-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":13736,"position":5},"title":"Fed&#039;s 2007 Transcripts Show Shift to Alarm &#124; WSJ.com","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 12, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"2007 Fed transcripts show that tremors in the US financial system were initially treated with complacency before shifting to alarm. Janet Yellen, then president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, was one of the few who showed an understanding of the magnitude of the growing crisis. JON HILSENRATH\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13736","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13736"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13736\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13736"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13736"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13736"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}