{"id":13711,"date":"2014-07-06T02:07:24","date_gmt":"2014-07-06T02:07:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=560"},"modified":"2014-07-06T02:07:24","modified_gmt":"2014-07-06T02:07:24","slug":"what-a-difference-a-week-makes-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/06\/what-a-difference-a-week-makes-2\/","title":{"rendered":"What a difference a week makes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Summary:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>S&amp;P 500 advances toward 2000.<\/li>\n<li>China respects primary support.<\/li>\n<li>ASX 200 rallies.<\/li>\n<li>Understanding momentum.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Market sentiment shifted significantly to the bull side after some <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nj.com\/business\/index.ssf\/2014\/07\/dow_jones_tops_17000_for_first_time_on_strong_employment_news.html\">solid employment numbers<\/a>. There are still concerns about low interest rates across the US and other major economies, but these policies are likely to continue &mdash; with corporate earnings remaining buoyant &mdash; for the foreseeable future. And as <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EddyElfenbein\/statuses\/468585903330316288\">Eddy Elfenbein<\/a> observed: &#8220;&#8230;market corrections solely due to valuation are fairly rare. If the market&#8217;s dropping, earnings usually are too.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 is advancing towards the psychological barrier of 2000. Weekly (13-week) Twiggs Money Flow recovered above its descending trendline and Daily (21-day) is trending higher, signaling medium-term buying pressure. Expect retracement at the 2000 level, but short duration or narrow consolidation would indicate continued buying pressure and another advance. Reversal below 1950 is unlikely, but would warn of a correction to the rising trendline.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-04-spx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 1900 + ( 1900 &#8211; 1800 ) = 2000<\/p>\n<p>Buoyed by Fed monetary policy, CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is at extremely low levels, indicative of a bull market.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-04-vix.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Shanghai Composite Index respected primary support at 1990\/2000 and rising Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure. Follow-through above 2080 would indicate another test of 2150. Further ranging between 2000 and 2150 is expected &mdash; in line with a managed &#8220;soft landing&#8221;. Breach of primary support is unlikely at present, but would signal a decline to 1850*. <\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Shanghai Composite\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-04-ssec.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 2000 &#8211; ( 2150 &#8211; 2000 ) = 1850<\/p>\n<p>The ASX 200 is headed for another test of resistance at 5550 while an up-turn on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow suggests medium-term buying pressure. Twiggs Money Flow has been descending for some time, indicating long-term selling pressure, but failure to breach the zero line suggests buying support and completion of another trough above zero &mdash; with a rise above 20% &mdash; would confirm the resumption of long-term buying pressure. Breakout above 5550 would offer a long-term target of 5850*. Reversal below support at 5350 is unlikely, but would warn of a down-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"ASX 200\" alt=\"ASX 200\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-04-xjo.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 5400 + ( 5400 &#8211; 5000 ) = 5800<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary: S&amp;P 500 advances toward 2000. China respects primary support. ASX 200 rallies. Understanding momentum. Market sentiment shifted significantly to the bull side after some solid employment numbers. There are still concerns about low interest rates across the US and other major economies, but these policies are likely to continue &mdash; with corporate earnings remaining &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/06\/what-a-difference-a-week-makes-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;What a difference a week makes&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,57],"tags":[64,251,1137,2336,3010,3100,3617,3689],"class_list":["post-13711","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-stock-markets","tag-vix","tag-asx-200","tag-drawdowns","tag-momentum","tag-sp-500","tag-shanghai-composite-index","tag-volatility","tag-win-rate"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What a difference a week makes - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What a difference a week makes - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Summary: S&amp;P 500 advances toward 2000. China respects primary support. ASX 200 rallies. Understanding momentum. Market sentiment shifted significantly to the bull side after some solid employment numbers. 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China continues to threaten further down-side. The ASX 200, pulled in opposite directions, is range bound for the present. Momentum strategies require persistence. The S&P 500 broke through 1950 and is expected to test the next resistance level at 2000*. Rising 21-day Twiggs\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10043,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/20\/a-good-week-for-the-sp-500-but-not-the-asx\/","url_meta":{"origin":13711,"position":1},"title":"A good week for the S&#038;P 500 but not the ASX","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 20, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary: Good week for US markets. China continues to threaten further down-side. The ASX 200, pulled in opposite directions, is range bound for the present. Momentum strategies require persistence. The S&P 500 broke through 1950 and is expected to test the next resistance level at 2000*. Rising 21-day Twiggs Money\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10230,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/05\/what-a-difference-a-week-makes\/","url_meta":{"origin":13711,"position":2},"title":"What a difference a week makes","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 5, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary: S&P 500 advances toward 2000. China respects primary support. ASX 200 rallies. Market sentiment shifted significantly to the bull side after some solid employment numbers. There are still concerns about low interest rates across the US and other major economies, but these policies are likely to continue \u2014 with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-04-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-04-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-04-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13712,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/28\/sp-500-unfazed-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13711,"position":3},"title":"S&#038;P 500 unfazed","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 28, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary: S&P 500 continues a primary advance. China respects primary support. ASX 200 continues to signal weakness. Momentum investors need to hold positions. The S&P 500 retraced to test its latest support level at 1950 after a downward GDP revision for the first quarter. Respect indicates medium-term buying pressure \u2014\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-27-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13735,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/16\/sp-500-recovers-but-europe-remains-weak-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13711,"position":4},"title":"S&#038;P 500 recovers but Europe remains weak","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 16, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Europe continues to test support. S&P 500 recovers. VIX continues to indicate a bull market. China bullish. ASX 200 recovers. Dow Jones Europe Index continues to test its primary trendline and support at 315\/325. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum below zero warns of a primary down-trend. Breach of primary support at 315\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Europe Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-16-djeu.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-16-djeu.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-16-djeu.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13740,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/20\/sp-bullish-but-asia-europe-weak-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13711,"position":5},"title":"S&#038;P bullish but Asia, Europe weak","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 20, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Weekly highlights: Scotland votes \"No\" and the Pound rallies Treasury yields (long-term) are rising and the Dollar strengthens Gold and crude oil fall European stocks remain bearish Asian stocks also remain bearish despite Hong Kong\/Shanghai breakout US stocks still reflect a bull market Stock markets Dow Jones Europe Index is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-20-djeu.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-20-djeu.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-20-djeu.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13711","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13711"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13711\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13711"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13711"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13711"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}