{"id":13352,"date":"2016-05-18T23:28:29","date_gmt":"2016-05-19T03:28:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=13352"},"modified":"2024-04-18T04:50:29","modified_gmt":"2024-04-18T04:50:29","slug":"golds-next-entry-point","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/05\/18\/golds-next-entry-point\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold’s next entry point"},"content":{"rendered":"

Looking at the monthly chart of gold, we can see a strong rally that stalled at $1300\/ounce. Consolidation below $1300 would be a bullish sign, suggesting a long-term advance to $1550*. Breakout above resistance would confirm.<\/p>\n

\"Gold\"<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1300 + ( 1300 – 1050 ) = 1550<\/p>\n

But correction to test support at $1200 remains a possibility. Again, recovery above $1300 would confirm another advance.<\/p>\n

The weekly chart adds more nuance. We have already seen two successful tests of support at $1200, making a third test less likely. Respect of medium-term support at $1250 would suggest another advance.<\/p>\n

\"Gold\"<\/p>\n

The daily chart adds further detail, revealing a broad saucer pattern (similar to a shallow cup and handle<\/a>) through March-April, indicating strong buyer interest. This was followed by a flag, now in its third week, which suggests continuation of the up-trend. Breakout above the flag (at $1280) would signal another advance. Follow-through above $1300, as mentioned earlier, would confirm the signal.<\/p>\n

\"Gold\"<\/p>\n

The question is: If the flag successfully completes, do we take the signal at $1280 or wait for confirmation at $1300? If there is a breakout above $1300, the floor may get pretty crowded, making it difficult to fill your order. If we take the earlier signal, probabilities will be in your favor but there is no guarantee that the breakout (at $1300) will occur. There are no hard rules for this and I prefer a pragmatic approach. If your capital is sufficient, why not take a three-way bet? Fill a third of your position at $1280, a third at $1300, and the other third on retracement that respects the new support level (at $1300).<\/p>\n

Disclosure: Our Australian managed portfolios are invested in gold stocks.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Looking at the monthly chart of gold, we can see a strong rally that stalled at $1300\/ounce. Consolidation below $1300 would be a bullish sign, suggesting a long-term advance to $1550*. Breakout above resistance would confirm. * Target calculation: 1300 + ( 1300 – 1050 ) = 1550 But correction to test support at $1200 … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Gold’s next entry point”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[1253,3204],"class_list":["post-13352","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-gold-precious-metals","tag-entry-point","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"\nGold's next entry point - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Looking at the monthly chart of gold, we can see a strong rally that stalled at $1300\/ounce. Consolidation below $1300 would be a bullish sign, suggesting a long-term advance to $1550*. 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Upward breakout from an ascending triangle formation on 10-year Treasury yields indicates an up-trend. A rate hike from the Fed would increase pressure on the Chinese Yuan, leaving the PBOC with a dilemma. Either allow the Yuan to slide, which could panic investors and borrowers into\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5144,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/09\/dollar-and-gold-strengthen-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13352,"position":1},"title":"Dollar tests support, gold and commodities strengthen","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 9, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The US Dollar Index made a false break above resistance at 83.50 before retracing to test support at 81.50. Respect of support and the rising trendline would confirm the primary up-trend is intact. Breakout above 83.50\/84.00 would signal an advance to 86.00* in the next few weeks and to the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14010,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/08\/19\/gold-trend-continues\/","url_meta":{"origin":13352,"position":2},"title":"Gold trend continues","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 19, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Interest rates have stabilised with an ascending triangle formation on 10-year Treasury yields suggesting reversal to an up-trend. Recovery above 1.60% would confirm. Rising interest rates increase downward pressure on gold. Tall shadows for the last three weeks indicate selling pressure and a test of support at $1300 is likely.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14055,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/01\/gold-steady-as-rates-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":13352,"position":3},"title":"Gold steady as rates fall","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 1, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Interest rates retreated this week, with 10-year Treasury yields falling below support at 1.60 percent. Falling interest rates reduce downward pressure on gold. Spot Gold steadied above support at $1300\/ounce. Momentum above zero continues to indicate a primary up-trend. Respect of support at $1300 would confirm. Breach of support is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13479,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/06\/23\/gold-should-i-brexit\/","url_meta":{"origin":13352,"position":4},"title":"Gold: Should I BREXIT?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 23, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Odds of a BREXIT are drifting at the bookmakers, with REMAIN a firm 1 to 4 favorite. Fears of a BREXIT have been driving demand for gold and a REMAIN vote is likely to spur a sell-off. * Target calculation: 1300 + ( 1300 - 1050 ) = 1550 Breakout\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Precious Metals"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Precious Metals","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/gold-precious-metals\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Gold","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-23-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-23-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-23-gold.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13382,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/05\/24\/gold-is-it-flagging\/","url_meta":{"origin":13352,"position":5},"title":"Gold: Is it flagging?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 24, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold is now in the fourth week of a flag formation and is testing support at $1250\/ounce. The best flag signals are in weeks 3 or 4. With no immediate prospect of a breakout, this raises the question: is gold losing momentum? Increased likelihood of a Fed interest rate hike\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Gold","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-05-24-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-05-24-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-05-24-gold.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13352","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13352"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13352\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51346,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13352\/revisions\/51346"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13352"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13352"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13352"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}