{"id":13044,"date":"2016-03-18T18:43:02","date_gmt":"2016-03-18T22:43:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=13044"},"modified":"2016-03-18T18:43:02","modified_gmt":"2016-03-18T22:43:02","slug":"has-the-fed-short-circuited-yuan-falls-macrobusiness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/18\/has-the-fed-short-circuited-yuan-falls-macrobusiness\/","title":{"rendered":"Has the Fed short-circuited yuan falls? | MacroBusiness"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Macrobusiness\"<\/p>\n

Again from David Llewellyn-Smith at Macrobusiness<\/p>\n

….we believe the dovish stance adopted by the Fed in the latest FOMC, and thereby a weak dollar, could help lower the depreciation pressure on the RMB and China\u2019s capital outflows. This is a positive development of international policy coordination since the recent G20 meeting in Shanghai. Two scenarios are possible:<\/p>\n

A positive one: Weak dollar -> stable RMB -> lower capital outflows from EM \u2013 > higher risk appetite globally -> weaker dollar. It\u2019s a positive feedback loop, but it requires policy coordination between China and the US. China needs to be clear about no major devaluation, while the US needs to mind the strength of the dollar as the result of its policy moves.<\/p>\n

And a negative one: Strong dollar -> weaker RMB -> higher capital outflows from EM -> lower risk appetite globally -> stronger dollar. It\u2019s a negative feedback loop. In the end, it could force the Fed to postpone rate hikes, as rising market volatility and a strong dollar could hurt the recovery in the US.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

This is going to require careful management on a global scale (China and US working together) to avoid a complete rout of capital markets.<\/p>\n

Source: Has the Fed short-circuited yuan falls? – MacroBusiness<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Again from David Llewellyn-Smith at Macrobusiness ….we believe the dovish stance adopted by the Fed in the latest FOMC, and thereby a weak dollar, could help lower the depreciation pressure on the RMB and China\u2019s capital outflows. This is a positive development of international policy coordination since the recent G20 meeting in Shanghai. Two scenarios … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Has the Fed short-circuited yuan falls? | MacroBusiness”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets"],"yoast_head":"\nHas the Fed short-circuited yuan falls? | MacroBusiness - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Has the Fed short-circuited yuan falls? | MacroBusiness - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Again from David Llewellyn-Smith at Macrobusiness ….we believe the dovish stance adopted by the Fed in the latest FOMC, and thereby a weak dollar, could help lower the depreciation pressure on the RMB and China\u2019s capital outflows. This is a positive development of international policy coordination since the recent G20 meeting in Shanghai. 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Two factors have been driving US interest rates lower over the last decade: Fed monetary policy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Fixed Income"","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yields","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-15-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-15-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-15-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":26099,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/06\/02\/death-of-the-dollar\/","url_meta":{"origin":13044,"position":2},"title":"Death of the Dollar","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 2, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar, as the global reserve currency, is the single pillar holding up the global economy. It is in turn supported by six stays: interest rates, low inflation, a robust US economy, capital account inflows, a stable political system, and the military. Interest rates and employment Fed monetary policy sets\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9898,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/05\/26\/chinas-export-dilemna\/","url_meta":{"origin":13044,"position":3},"title":"China’s export dilemna","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 26, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Growth in value of exports from China has slowed to single figures since 2012. It will be difficult sustain current GDP growth if this trend continues. The Harper Petersen index of shipping rates for container vessels, the Harpex, remains near its 2010 low, reflecting continued weakness in Asian manufactured goods\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"China Exports","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-26-china-exports.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-26-china-exports.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-26-china-exports.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13722,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/05\/26\/chinas-export-dilemna-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13044,"position":4},"title":"China’s export dilemna","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 26, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Growth in value of exports from China has slowed to single figures since 2012. It will be difficult sustain current GDP growth if this trend continues. The Harper Petersen index of shipping rates for container vessels, the Harpex, remains near its 2010 low, reflecting continued weakness in Asian manufactured goods\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"China Exports","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-26-china-exports.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-26-china-exports.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-26-china-exports.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61889,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/03\/rising-recession-risk-threatens-bond-market\/","url_meta":{"origin":13044,"position":5},"title":"Rising recession risk threatens bond market","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 3, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary Trade talks with China have stalled President Trump announces steel and aluminum tariffs will increase from 25% to 50% Input costs for US manufacturers are expected to soar Spending is expected to slow after the introduction of tariffs in April The economic outlook is clouded with uncertainty, and the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-02-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-02-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-02-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13044","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13044"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13044\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13044"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13044"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13044"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}