{"id":13012,"date":"2016-03-15T01:04:48","date_gmt":"2016-03-15T05:04:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=13012"},"modified":"2016-03-15T01:04:48","modified_gmt":"2016-03-15T05:04:48","slug":"the-best-indicator-of-house-prices-points-down-macrobusiness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/15\/the-best-indicator-of-house-prices-points-down-macrobusiness\/","title":{"rendered":"The best indicator of house prices points down | MacroBusiness"},"content":{"rendered":"

From Leith van Onselen<\/p>\n

Among all of the factors that drive house price growth, arguably the most important is the flow of housing finance commitments, which has shown an incredibly strong correlation with dwelling price growth over recent decades.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The above chart tracks RP Data\u2019s annual dwelling price growth at the 5-city level against total Australian housing finance commitments (excluding refinancings), and shows a strong correlation with the exception of the past year, where the two series have diverged….<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Leith highlights the reason for the recent divergence: strong presence of foreign property buyers in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane. But with China ramping up capital controls to support the Yuan, how long is this going to last?<\/p>\n

Source: The best indicator of house prices points down – MacroBusiness<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

From Leith van Onselen Among all of the factors that drive house price growth, arguably the most important is the flow of housing finance commitments, which has shown an incredibly strong correlation with dwelling price growth over recent decades. The above chart tracks RP Data\u2019s annual dwelling price growth at the 5-city level against total … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “The best indicator of house prices points down | MacroBusiness”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13012","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets"],"yoast_head":"\nThe best indicator of house prices points down | MacroBusiness - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The best indicator of house prices points down | MacroBusiness - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Leith van Onselen Among all of the factors that drive house price growth, arguably the most important is the flow of housing finance commitments, which has shown an incredibly strong correlation with dwelling price growth over recent decades. 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Like my analysis posted earlier, Pickering also concludes that Australian housing is significantly overvalued given the likely prospects\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ScreenHunter_3304 Jul. 15 10.21","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/ScreenHunter_3304-Jul.-15-10.21-200x200.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":24530,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/03\/12\/the-challenge-facing-australia\/","url_meta":{"origin":13012,"position":2},"title":"The challenge facing Australia","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 12, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Interest rates are at record lows. New housing loans are soaring, with commitments at record levels. Auction clearance rates are climbing. While private residential building approvals have taken off. But non-mining business investment is plunging. Ultra-low interest rates have boosted demand for housing. Especially with major banks projecting a 20%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10408,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/27\/world-wakes-to-apra-paralysis-macrobusiness\/","url_meta":{"origin":13012,"position":3},"title":"World wakes to APRA paralysis | Macrobusiness","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 27, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Posted by Houses & Holes: Bloomberg has a penetrating piece today hammering RBA\/APRA complacency on house prices, which will be read far and wide in global markets (as well as MB is!): Central banks from Scandinavia to the U.K. to\u00a0New Zealand\u00a0are sounding the alarm about soaring mortgage debt and trying\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ScreenHunter_3294 Jul. 14 11.51","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/ScreenHunter_3294-Jul.-14-11.511.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/ScreenHunter_3294-Jul.-14-11.511.jpg?resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/ScreenHunter_3294-Jul.-14-11.511.jpg?resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":14739,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/01\/30\/bis-high-household-debt-kills-growth-macrobusiness\/","url_meta":{"origin":13012,"position":4},"title":"BIS: High household debt kills growth | Macrobusiness","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 30, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"From Leith van Onselen, reproduced with kind permission from Macrobusiness: Last month I showed how Australia\u2019s ratio of household debt to GDP had hit 123% of GDP \u2013 the third highest in the world \u2013 according to data released by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS): Martin North also compiled\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ScreenHunter_16670 Dec. 13 07.13","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/ScreenHunter_16670-Dec.-13-07.13-240x660.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":6265,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/23\/australia-housing-affordability-still-poor\/","url_meta":{"origin":13012,"position":5},"title":"Australia: Housing affordability still poor","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 23, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Interesting article by Leith van Onselen on Australian housing affordability. Today it takes \"380 weeks on the average wage (just over seven year\u2019s income) to buy a typical house. This is down from around 430 weeks average wages (just over eight year\u2019s income) required to buy a home in 2008\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13012","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13012"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13012\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13012"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13012"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13012"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}