{"id":12999,"date":"2016-03-14T19:21:06","date_gmt":"2016-03-14T23:21:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=12999"},"modified":"2016-03-14T19:21:06","modified_gmt":"2016-03-14T23:21:06","slug":"the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/","title":{"rendered":"The Real Reason to Worry About China | Bloomberg View"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloombergview.com\/articles\/2016-03-14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/640x-1.jpg?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>An important reminder from Narayana Kocherlakota:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>For more than 20 years, China has kept the yuan&#8217;s value against the dollar in a very tight range. Although the exchange rate isn\u2019t actually pegged (the Chinese currency has appreciated at a rate of about 2 percent per year against the dollar over the past ten years), financial markets have come to expect little short-term volatility, and were unpleasantly surprised when the yuan dropped 1.9 percent in one day against the dollar last August.<\/p>\n<p>This connection between the yuan and the dollar has important implications for the impact of U.S. monetary policy on China&#8230;&#8230;If China holds its exchange rate to the dollar stable, the Fed&#8217;s moves will also cause the yuan to appreciate against those other currencies, putting downward pressure on Chinese inflation and employment at a time when this might not be appropriate for the Chinese economy&#8230;&#8230; the time may have come for China to break away from its currency union with the U.S.<\/p>\n<p>Any such breakup presents a big problem: Many businesses and financial institutions have entered into contracts that make sense only under the premise that the exchange rate is not going to vary much over time. If, say, a Chinese firm owes a lot of U.S. dollars to a lender, a sudden change in the yuan-dollar exchange rate can make the debt unbearable, precipitating a default that would harm both the borrower and the lender. These risks matter not only for the Chinese economy, but also for the state of global finance and for the U.S. economy. <\/p>\n<p>&#8230;..There&#8217;s a significant risk that if the Fed keeps tightening in 2016, it could force an abrupt breakup. The resultant disorder in the world economy would not serve Americans well.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I used the analogy recently of a giant panda running loose in a lifeboat, destabilizing the global economy. Collapse of the Yuan-Dollar peg would disrupt financial markets, hurting most global economies, not just China and the US. The alternative, holding firm on the peg, would cause severe economic stress to China and its major trading partners, including Australia, but is the lesser of two evils.<\/p>\n<p>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloombergview.com\/articles\/2016-03-14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china\">The Real Reason to Worry About China &#8211; Bloomberg View<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An important reminder from Narayana Kocherlakota: For more than 20 years, China has kept the yuan&#8217;s value against the dollar in a very tight range. Although the exchange rate isn\u2019t actually pegged (the Chinese currency has appreciated at a rate of about 2 percent per year against the dollar over the past ten years), financial &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;The Real Reason to Worry About China | Bloomberg View&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Real Reason to Worry About China | Bloomberg View - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Real Reason to Worry About China | Bloomberg View - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"An important reminder from Narayana Kocherlakota: For more than 20 years, China has kept the yuan&#8217;s value against the dollar in a very tight range. Although the exchange rate isn\u2019t actually pegged (the Chinese currency has appreciated at a rate of about 2 percent per year against the dollar over the past ten years), financial &hellip; Continue reading &quot;The Real Reason to Worry About China | Bloomberg View&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-03-14T23:21:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/640x-1.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"The Real Reason to Worry About China | Bloomberg View\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-03-14T23:21:06+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/\"},\"wordCount\":375,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/640x-1.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Stock Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/\",\"name\":\"The Real Reason to Worry About China | Bloomberg View - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/640x-1.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-03-14T23:21:06+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/640x-1.jpg?fit=640%2C427&ssl=1\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/640x-1.jpg?fit=640%2C427&ssl=1\",\"width\":640,\"height\":427},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/14\/the-real-reason-to-worry-about-china-bloomberg-view\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"The Real Reason to Worry About China | Bloomberg View\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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(Bloomberg) The PBOC set the Yuan\u2019s fixing at 7.0996 per dollar on Monday, from 7.104 on Friday. The much lower fixing than the expected 7.222 causing the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Chinese Yuan&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Chinese Yuan","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/chinese-yuan\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Chinese Yuan","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-25-cny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-25-cny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-25-cny.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":12710,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/09\/a-strong-dollar-hurts-china-more-than-us-bloomberg-business\/","url_meta":{"origin":12999,"position":1},"title":"A Strong Dollar Hurts China Most | Bloomberg Business","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 9, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"From Rich Miller and Enda Curran at Bloomberg: The yuan has advanced almost 15 percent against a basket of currencies since mid-2014, according to a trade-weighted index compiled by Westpac Strategy Group in Sydney. The rise came at a time when China was already losing competitiveness to countries such as\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":29533,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/12\/02\/the-greenback-the-yuan-and-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":12999,"position":2},"title":"The Greenback, the Yuan and inflation","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 2, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index has been trending upwards since breaking through resistance at 93.50 in September 2021. The Dollar Index is supposed to reflect the relative trade weight of the Dollar with major trading partners. The four biggest weights are: Euro (EUR) 57.6% Japanese yen (JPY) 13.6% Pound sterling (GBP) 11.9%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dollar Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-12-02-dxy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-12-02-dxy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-12-02-dxy.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-12-02-dxy.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":23240,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/12\/15\/china-trade-tensions-and-the-australian-dollar\/","url_meta":{"origin":12999,"position":3},"title":"China trade tensions and the Australian Dollar","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 15, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Tensions between Australia and China are growing increasingly strained. It started with Australia banning Huawei from supplying equipment for its 5G communication network but spiraled downwards after Australia led the call for an international investigation into the COVID-19 outbreak. More than 50 ships carrying Australian coal have been stranded off\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":57745,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/09\/25\/currency-wars-on-the-horizon\/","url_meta":{"origin":12999,"position":4},"title":"Currency wars are bullish for gold","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 25, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The US Dollar broke long-term support at 7.06 against the Chinese Yuan last week after the Fed confirmed it was cutting interest rates. Follow-through below 7.00 against the Yuan would confirm a Dollar bear market. Within days, China announced new measures to support its economy: - Lowering rates on existing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Chinese Yuan","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-24-cny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-24-cny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-24-cny.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63319,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/12\/01\/silver-at-a-record-high-as-bitcoin-plunges\/","url_meta":{"origin":12999,"position":5},"title":"Silver at a record high as Bitcoin plunges","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 1, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Silver set a record high of $57.85, with tight supply in London and Shanghai. Gold broke resistance at $4,400 per ounce, signaling another advance. Bitcoin is again plunging toward another test of support at 80K, warning of tight liquidity in financial markets. The Japanese Yen and Chinese Yuan\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Spot Silver","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-30-silver.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-30-silver.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-30-silver.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12999","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12999"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12999\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12999"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12999"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12999"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}