{"id":12783,"date":"2016-01-19T02:17:52","date_gmt":"2016-01-19T07:17:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=12783"},"modified":"2016-01-19T02:17:52","modified_gmt":"2016-01-19T07:17:52","slug":"how-far-will-the-sp-500-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/01\/19\/how-far-will-the-sp-500-fall\/","title":{"rendered":"How far will the S&P 500 fall?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Prompted by a question from Hailoh on IC forum<\/a>:<\/p>\n

“Down for sure, but in what stages? Without a Lehman failure there may not be the impetus for a dramatic plunge towards the end.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The S&P 500 is testing primary support at 1850\/1870. Decline of 6-month Twiggs Momentum below zero warns of a primary down-trend. I am a great believer in chart symmetry and breach of 1870 would most likely result in a decline to 1500, the next major support level.<\/p>\n

\"S&P<\/p>\n

This could still prove to be a false alarm — as in 1998, 2010 and 2011 — but charts like bellwether transport stock Fedex suggest otherwise.<\/p>\n

\"Fedex\"<\/p>\n

Also the 10% year-on-year declining profit margins for Q3 2015. A 20% year-on-year fall for Q4 2015 would confirm.<\/p>\n

\"Profit<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Prompted by a question from Hailoh on IC forum: “Down for sure, but in what stages? Without a Lehman failure there may not be the impetus for a dramatic plunge towards the end.” The S&P 500 is testing primary support at 1850\/1870. Decline of 6-month Twiggs Momentum below zero warns of a primary down-trend. I … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “How far will the S&P 500 fall?”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57,34],"tags":[1362,2789,3010],"class_list":["post-12783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-fedex","tag-profit-margins","tag-sp-500"],"yoast_head":"\nHow far will the S&P 500 fall? - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How far will the S&P 500 fall? - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Prompted by a question from Hailoh on IC forum: “Down for sure, but in what stages? Without a Lehman failure there may not be the impetus for a dramatic plunge towards the end.” The S&P 500 is testing primary support at 1850\/1870. Decline of 6-month Twiggs Momentum below zero warns of a primary down-trend. 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This week we look at bearish signs on the Dow Jones Global Index, transport bellwether Fedex and a number of major indices outside the US and Japan. First, the Dow Jones Global Index. After\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"DJ Global Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-10-djwo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-10-djwo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-12-10-djwo.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":17661,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/12\/07\/europe-cracks-but-us-steady\/","url_meta":{"origin":12783,"position":1},"title":"Europe cracks but US steady","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 7, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 600 followed through below 350, confirming a bear market in Europe. A Trend Index peak below zero warns of strong selling pressure. Expect a decline to test 305\/310. The Footsie broke support at 6900, signaling a primary down-trend, while a Trend Index peak at zero warns\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "GDP and Activity"","block_context":{"text":"GDP and Activity","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/gdp-and-activity\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13785,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/10\/01\/bears-out-in-force\/","url_meta":{"origin":12783,"position":2},"title":"Bears out in force","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 1, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Bears continue to dominate equity markets. Patches of support are visible across North America, Europe and Asia but this is likely to be a secondary rally rather than a trend change. The Russian bear is also playing up. This time in Syria. Senator John McCain sums up the escalating crisis\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-01-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-01-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-01-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19004,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/09\/28\/fedex-breaks-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":12783,"position":3},"title":"Fedex breaks support","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 28, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Bellwether transport stock Fedex (FDX) broke long-term support at 150, warning of a decline with a long-term target of 100. A down-trend on Fedex has bearish implications for the broader economy, signaling that activity is declining. We have been here before: November 2007 - Fedex Warns of Worse to Come.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17528,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/12\/01\/east-to-west\/","url_meta":{"origin":12783,"position":4},"title":"East to West","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 1, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 put in a strong blue candle this week but one swallow doesn't make a summer. Follow-through above 2800 would signal a test of 2950. Small bullish divergence on Twiggs Money Flow looks promising but is secondary in nature and may not alter the larger trend. The Nasdaq\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18964,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/09\/21\/the-canary-in-the-coal-mine\/","url_meta":{"origin":12783,"position":5},"title":"The canary in the coal mine","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 21, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Bellwether transport stock Fedex (FDX) is testing long-term support at 150. Peaks close to zero on the Trend Index warn of selling pressure. Breach of support would warn of a decline with a long-term target of 100. Breach of LT support would also be a bearish sign for the US\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12783","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12783"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12783\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12783"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12783"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12783"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}