{"id":1272,"date":"2011-10-11T21:31:47","date_gmt":"2011-10-12T01:31:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=1272"},"modified":"2011-10-11T21:31:47","modified_gmt":"2011-10-12T01:31:47","slug":"the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/11\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\/","title":{"rendered":"The Next Shoes to Drop | Steve Saville | Safehaven.com"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China is experiencing an &#8220;Austrian&#8221; boom-bust cycle writ large, with the boom phase possibly nearing its demise. The extent of mal-investment is unprecedented in modern times. The most obvious signs of this mal-investment are new cities with almost no inhabitants and massive newly-constructed shopping malls with almost no tenanted shops, but the problem runs much deeper than the unoccupied buildings. The core of the problem is that the banking industry is completely dedicated to serving the State, and as a consequence a lot of bank lending is done with total disregard for economics.<\/p>\n<p>Considering that most analysts and investors believe that China is making rapid REAL economic progress and that China&#8217;s economy will continue to strengthen, one of the next shoes to drop could be the general realisation that China&#8217;s economy is structurally unsound.<\/p>\n<p>via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.safehaven.com\/article\/22875\/the-next-shoes-to-drop?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+safehaven%2Fall-articles+%28Safehaven+-+Most+Recent+Articles%29\">The Next Shoes to Drop | Steve Saville | Safehaven.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China is experiencing an &#8220;Austrian&#8221; boom-bust cycle writ large, with the boom phase possibly nearing its demise. The extent of mal-investment is unprecedented in modern times. The most obvious signs of this mal-investment are new cities with almost no inhabitants and massive newly-constructed shopping malls with almost no tenanted shops, but the problem runs much &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/11\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;The Next Shoes to Drop | Steve Saville | Safehaven.com&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41],"tags":[381,2799],"class_list":["post-1272","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","tag-banks","tag-property-bubble"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Next Shoes to Drop | Steve Saville | Safehaven.com - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Next Shoes to Drop | Steve Saville | Safehaven.com - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China is experiencing an &#8220;Austrian&#8221; boom-bust cycle writ large, with the boom phase possibly nearing its demise. The extent of mal-investment is unprecedented in modern times. The most obvious signs of this mal-investment are new cities with almost no inhabitants and massive newly-constructed shopping malls with almost no tenanted shops, but the problem runs much &hellip; Continue reading &quot;The Next Shoes to Drop | Steve Saville | Safehaven.com&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/11\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-10-12T01:31:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2011\\\/10\\\/11\\\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2011\\\/10\\\/11\\\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"The Next Shoes to Drop | Steve Saville | Safehaven.com\",\"datePublished\":\"2011-10-12T01:31:47+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2011\\\/10\\\/11\\\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":153,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"banks\",\"property bubble\"],\"articleSection\":[\"China &amp; HK\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2011\\\/10\\\/11\\\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2011\\\/10\\\/11\\\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2011\\\/10\\\/11\\\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Next Shoes to Drop | Steve Saville | Safehaven.com - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2011-10-12T01:31:47+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2011\\\/10\\\/11\\\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2011\\\/10\\\/11\\\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2011\\\/10\\\/11\\\/the-next-shoes-to-drop-steve-saville-safehaven-com\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"The Next Shoes to Drop | Steve Saville | Safehaven.com\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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I have to confess that the reason I started saying in 2006-07 that China was eventually going to replace 1980s Japan as the global archetype of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":56193,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/08\/02\/chinas-economic-slump-threatens-iron-ore\/","url_meta":{"origin":1272,"position":2},"title":"China&#8217;s economic slump threatens iron ore","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 2, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"China's economic slump is evident in base metals markets, with prices of copper [orange below] and aluminum [blue] falling steeply over the past two months. The downward spiral is exacerbated by China attempting to export surpluses into international markets to compensate for the decline in domestic demand. Residential Property The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Base Metals&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Base Metals","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/base-metals\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Copper & Aluminum","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-08-01-cu-al.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-08-01-cu-al.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-08-01-cu-al.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":28286,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/10\/12\/china-snippets\/","url_meta":{"origin":1272,"position":3},"title":"China snippets","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 12, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"China power cuts Since mid-September, periodic power cuts have darkened homes and shut down factories across much of China. 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Retail sales growth has declined but remains\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":25547,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/05\/01\/chinas-baby-boom-in-reverse\/","url_meta":{"origin":1272,"position":5},"title":"China&#8217;s baby boom in reverse","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 1, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The Financial Times reported earlier this week that China's population declined last year. A story from the state-run Global Times rebutted that. China\u2019s birth rate has been declining steadily as the nation grows more prosperous and women\u2019s education levels rose. 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