{"id":12678,"date":"2015-12-06T19:41:16","date_gmt":"2015-12-07T00:41:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=12678"},"modified":"2015-12-06T19:41:16","modified_gmt":"2015-12-07T00:41:16","slug":"ignore-the-trump-show-it-wont-last-the-big-picture","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/06\/ignore-the-trump-show-it-wont-last-the-big-picture\/","title":{"rendered":"Ignore the Trump show &#8211; it won&#8217;t last | The Big Picture"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>From Bob Lefsetz:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230;.the truth is the data doesn\u2019t lie. <\/p>\n<p>Oh yes it does, you say! Numbers can be manipulated to say whatever you want them too, you can\u2019t trust polls! Which is why [Nate] Silver aggregates them, and we can argue with interpretation, but raw data counts. And what the data says is Donald Trump has high unfavorables. He might have 20+% of the electorate today, but when the losers drop out are their followers going to decamp to Trump? Not according to the data. Which also tells us this far out the polls are nearly meaningless.<\/p>\n<p>So you can ignore the Trump show. It\u2019s gonna get canceled.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ritholtz.com\/blog\/2015\/12\/trump-the-data\/\">Trump: The Data | The Big Picture<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From Bob Lefsetz: &#8230;.the truth is the data doesn\u2019t lie. Oh yes it does, you say! Numbers can be manipulated to say whatever you want them too, you can\u2019t trust polls! Which is why [Nate] Silver aggregates them, and we can argue with interpretation, but raw data counts. And what the data says is Donald &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/06\/ignore-the-trump-show-it-wont-last-the-big-picture\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Ignore the Trump show &#8211; it won&#8217;t last | The Big Picture&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12678","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ignore the Trump show - it won&#039;t last | The Big Picture - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ignore the Trump show - it won&#039;t last | The Big Picture - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Bob Lefsetz: &#8230;.the truth is the data doesn\u2019t lie. Oh yes it does, you say! Numbers can be manipulated to say whatever you want them too, you can\u2019t trust polls! Which is why [Nate] Silver aggregates them, and we can argue with interpretation, but raw data counts. 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After a lackluster start the rally gained new energy in the last week, with the yellow metal climbing to test resistance at $1300\/ounce. Experienced pollsters seem to think that Trump's gains are\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Gold &amp; Precious Metals&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Gold &amp; Precious Metals","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/gold-precious-metals\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":62216,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/04\/are-the-jobs-numbers-rigged\/","url_meta":{"origin":12678,"position":1},"title":"Are the jobs numbers rigged?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 4, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points President Trump fired BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer, claiming that the latest jobs report was \"rigged\" However, the July ISM manufacturing PMI shows that the economy is slowing GDP for 2025, Q1 and Q2 also warns of a slowdown The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported low employment growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Employment Growth","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-08-04-jobs2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-08-04-jobs2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-08-04-jobs2.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":59505,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/11\/27\/how-the-world-can-deal-with-trump-malcolm-turnbull\/","url_meta":{"origin":12678,"position":2},"title":"How the World Can Deal With Trump | Malcolm Turnbull","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 27, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Former Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull on his experiences in dealing with Donald Trump: ...Of course, men like Trump invite sycophancy. They use their power and caprice to encourage others to tell them what they want to hear. But this is precisely the wrong way to deal with Trump, or\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Malcolm Turnbull and Donald Trump address a press conference at the White House","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/2024-11-26-turnbull-trump-300x126.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/2024-11-26-turnbull-trump-300x126.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/2024-11-26-turnbull-trump-300x126.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":14618,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/06\/trump-the-biggest-positive-and-negative-risk-for-growth-survey-finds\/","url_meta":{"origin":12678,"position":3},"title":"Trump the biggest positive and negative risk for growth, survey finds","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 6, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"From Zac Crellin: The policies of a Trump administration are both the biggest downside and upside risks to the global economy, an international survey of companies by Oxford Economics has found. While 38 per cent of respondent companies were hopeful for US growth to surge thanks to President-elect Donald Trump's\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14488,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/11\/16\/donald-trump-vs-att-wsj\/","url_meta":{"origin":12678,"position":4},"title":"Donald Trump vs. AT&#038;T | WSJ","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 16, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Other businesses watch to see if the phone giant can push its planned merger with Time Warner through a still-undefined presidency By Thomas Gryta,John D. McKinnon and Keach Hagey: Few companies had more at stake in the presidential election than AT&T, which made an $85 billion wager last month that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;The Big Picture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"The Big Picture","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/the-big-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17682,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/12\/21\/jim-mattis-resigns\/","url_meta":{"origin":12678,"position":5},"title":"Jim Mattis resigns","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 21, 2018","format":"video","excerpt":"Secretary of Defence Jim Mattis resigns, citing differences with Trump over alliances. 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