{"id":12653,"date":"2015-12-02T13:43:22","date_gmt":"2015-12-02T18:43:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=12653"},"modified":"2015-12-02T13:43:22","modified_gmt":"2015-12-02T18:43:22","slug":"downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/","title":{"rendered":"Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>From Joachim Fels, global economic advisor at PIMCO:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230;.The downside risks to the global economy today are really concentrated in emerging markets. After August, investors have been watching developments in China with particular caution. I should first note that our baseline view for China sees below-consensus growth, along with policy leadership with the will and the wallet to manage the slowdown. Indeed, policy actions in the past month or so have mollified markets to some degree. But there are a lot of uncertainties. China\u2019s policymakers have the tools, but they must manage a tricky transition, and as global investors we are left wondering if we have enough transparency into the details. The tail risk remains of a really hard landing in China, perhaps a very sharp devaluation. It\u2019s not our baseline view, but an important risk to monitor.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pimco.com\/insights\/economic-and-market-commentary\/economic-outlook\/plodding-along-a-discussion-of-todays-global-economy\">Plodding Along A Discussion of Todays Global Economy | PIMCO<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From Joachim Fels, global economic advisor at PIMCO: &#8230;.The downside risks to the global economy today are really concentrated in emerging markets. After August, investors have been watching developments in China with particular caution. I should first note that our baseline view for China sees below-consensus growth, along with policy leadership with the will and &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12653","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Joachim Fels, global economic advisor at PIMCO: &#8230;.The downside risks to the global economy today are really concentrated in emerging markets. After August, investors have been watching developments in China with particular caution. I should first note that our baseline view for China sees below-consensus growth, along with policy leadership with the will and &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2015-12-02T18:43:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/12\\\/02\\\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/12\\\/02\\\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-12-02T18:43:22+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/12\\\/02\\\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":158,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Stock Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/12\\\/02\\\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/12\\\/02\\\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/12\\\/02\\\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\\\/\",\"name\":\"Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2015-12-02T18:43:22+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/12\\\/02\\\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/12\\\/02\\\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/12\\\/02\\\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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After August, investors have been watching developments in China with particular caution. I should first note that our baseline view for China sees below-consensus growth, along with policy leadership with the will and &hellip; Continue reading \"Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO\"","og_url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/","og_site_name":"the patient investor","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","article_published_time":"2015-12-02T18:43:22+00:00","author":"ColinTwiggs","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"ColinTwiggs","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/"},"author":{"name":"ColinTwiggs","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5"},"headline":"Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO","datePublished":"2015-12-02T18:43:22+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/"},"wordCount":158,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"articleSection":["Stock Markets"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/","name":"Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO - the patient investor","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website"},"datePublished":"2015-12-02T18:43:22+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/12\/02\/downside-risks-largely-concentrated-in-emerging-markets-pimco\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Downside risks largely concentrated in emerging markets | PIMCO"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","name":"The Patient Investor","description":"Smart. 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Emmanuel Macron\u2019s victory in France has reduced some political risk in Europe, but investors are growing increasingly skeptical about President Trump\u2019s ability to deliver on his pro-growth agenda. The growing scrutiny over White House ties to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14364,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/10\/17\/china-faces-debt-trifecta\/","url_meta":{"origin":12653,"position":1},"title":"China faces debt trifecta","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 17, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"From PIMCO: Given the size of its economy \u2013 and the high stock of debt for a country at its stage of development \u2013 China\u2019s leverage will be a global issue in the future, not just a China issue. Total debt to GDP in China was around 250% at the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12843,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/02\/10\/janet-yellen-on-financial-market-turmoil\/","url_meta":{"origin":12653,"position":2},"title":"Janet Yellen on financial market turmoil","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 10, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen before the House Financial Services Committee: \".....As is always the case, the economic outlook is uncertain. Foreign economic developments, in particular, pose risks to U.S. economic growth. Most notably, although recent economic indicators do not suggest a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, declines in the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11919,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/06\/09\/rip-zirp-pimco\/","url_meta":{"origin":12653,"position":3},"title":"RIP ZIRP | PIMCO","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 9, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"From Marc Seidner: At this point, the evidence is close to overwhelming that the Federal Reserve will embark on a tightening cycle this year. The base case for markets should be a move in September. While the pace of tightening should be very shallow and the ultimate destination for interest\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6529,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/01\/02\/2013-emerging-markets-outlook-mark-mobius\/","url_meta":{"origin":12653,"position":4},"title":"2013 Emerging Markets Outlook &#124; Mark Mobius","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 2, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Mark Mobius from Franklin Templeton: \"One of the biggest risks I see in the year ahead is the ability of politicians in developed markets to take timely, meaningful action to address fiscal policy. If politicians can\u2019t work together and delay any real action, there is a risk that both the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;The Big Picture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"The Big Picture","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/the-big-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18883,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/09\/14\/sp-500-upside-limited-while-downside-risks-grow\/","url_meta":{"origin":12653,"position":5},"title":"S&#038;P 500: Upside limited, while downside risks grow","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 14, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Corporate profits (before tax) ticked up slightly in the second quarter of 2019 but remain below 2006 levels in real terms. The chart below shows corporate profits adjusted for inflation using the GDP implicit price deflator. Growth in production of durable consumer goods remains week, reflecting poor consumer confidence. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12653","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12653"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12653\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12653"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12653"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12653"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}