{"id":12596,"date":"2015-11-24T18:17:22","date_gmt":"2015-11-24T23:17:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=12596"},"modified":"2015-11-24T18:17:22","modified_gmt":"2015-11-24T23:17:22","slug":"four-key-areas-where-aussie-investors-must-tread-carefully","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/24\/four-key-areas-where-aussie-investors-must-tread-carefully\/","title":{"rendered":"Four key areas where Aussie investors must tread carefully"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Andrew Starke quotes Guy Bruten, AllianceBernstein\u2019s Senior Economist for Asia:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;In its latest statement on monetary policy, the Reserve Bank of Australia highlighted that we\u2019re only about halfway through the adjustment in capital spending in mining,&#8221; said Bruten. &#8220;It\u2019s gone from 8 per cent of GDP to around 5 per cent, and the central bank thinks it could fall to below 3 per cent.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>This suggests that more job losses will flow from the sector. There are concerns, too, about the tax revenue benefits of some resource projects as they move from the investment and construction phases to become fully operational&#8230;&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Against this background, we need to ask ourselves whether housing in 2016 will come to the economy\u2019s rescue in the way it did in 2015,&#8221; said Bruten. &#8220;I am not among those who see a possible housing crash, but I don\u2019t think we can afford to be complacent. &#8220;The last time it looked as though we might be heading for a housing crash was in 2003, when the background was very different &#8211; there was a very strong boost to the economy coming from commodities and from tax cuts, too.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;&#8230;..The only certain thing about 2016 at this point is that it\u2019s going to be another year of uncertainty.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Read more at <a href=\"http:\/\/finsia.com\/news\/news-article\/2015\/11\/24\/four-key-areas-where-aussie-investors-must-tread-carefully\">Four key areas where Aussie investors must tread carefully<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Andrew Starke quotes Guy Bruten, AllianceBernstein\u2019s Senior Economist for Asia: &#8220;In its latest statement on monetary policy, the Reserve Bank of Australia highlighted that we\u2019re only about halfway through the adjustment in capital spending in mining,&#8221; said Bruten. &#8220;It\u2019s gone from 8 per cent of GDP to around 5 per cent, and the central bank &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/24\/four-key-areas-where-aussie-investors-must-tread-carefully\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Four key areas where Aussie investors must tread carefully&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12596","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Four key areas where Aussie investors must tread carefully - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Four key areas where Aussie investors must tread carefully - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Andrew Starke quotes Guy Bruten, AllianceBernstein\u2019s Senior Economist for Asia: &#8220;In its latest statement on monetary policy, the Reserve Bank of Australia highlighted that we\u2019re only about halfway through the adjustment in capital spending in mining,&#8221; 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Mr Lawson is the global chief \u00adeconomist of Standard Life, a massive British fund manager\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9323,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/03\/03\/deflating-australias-land-bubble\/","url_meta":{"origin":12596,"position":1},"title":"Deflating Australia\u2019s land bubble","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 3, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Great post by Leith van Onselen Reproduced with kind permission from Macrobusiness.com.au. Prosper Australia has provided a submission to the Senate Inquiry into Housing Affordability, which is well worth a look. The submission first provides nine metrics illustrating Australia\u2019s residential property bubble, which include the following: It took forty years\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ScreenHunter_18 Jul. 05 10.22","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/ScreenHunter_18-Jul.-05-10.22-200x200.gif?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":15059,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/03\/30\/apra-fiddles-while-housing-risks-grow\/","url_meta":{"origin":12596,"position":2},"title":"APRA fiddles while housing risks grow","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 30, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"From Westpac today (emphasis added): ....With the Reserve Bank sharing our caution around 2018, along with ample capacity in the labour market (unemployment rate is 5.9% compared to full employment rate of 5.0%) and stubbornly low wages growth, there is only scope to cut rates. But as we have argued\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13370,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/05\/22\/the-high-rise-boom-is-over\/","url_meta":{"origin":12596,"position":3},"title":"The high-rise boom is over","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 22, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"From The AFR: Macquarie Bank is planning to hit the brakes on lending to high rise and high density apartment dwellings in up to 120 postcodes around the nation amid growing fears about falling demand and oversupply. A confidential memo from the bank to brokers announces that from May 23\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14919,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/03\/03\/australia-is-on-a-different-path\/","url_meta":{"origin":12596,"position":4},"title":"Australia is on a different path","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 3, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Motor vehicle sales are strong, according to the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries: Motor vehicle sales across Australia got off to a solid start in January, with the month's sales nudging ahead of the same period last year and showing a rise in activity among private purchasers. Total sales for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10857,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/10\/big-banks-may-need-41b-more-capital-ubs-says\/","url_meta":{"origin":12596,"position":5},"title":"Big banks may need $41b more capital, UBS says","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 10, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"From Chris Joye at AFR: UBS\u2019s more likely scenario of a 3 per cent TBTF capital buffer combined with an increase in the average mortgage risk weight to 25 per cent gives a total capital shortfall of $41.1 billion for the majors. Risk-weightings, especially for residential mortgages are coming under\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12596","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12596"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12596\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12596"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12596"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12596"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}