The Commodity Roller Coaster by Carmen Reinhart – Project Syndicate<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"From Carmen Reinhart, Professor of the International Financial System at Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government. …..At this stage of the commodity cycle, price declines typically retain downward momentum. By the end of the boom, many commodity exporters had already initiated investment projects to expand production. As these investments bear fruit, the increased supply will … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “The Commodity Roller Coaster| Project Syndicate”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12569","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Commodity Roller Coaster| Project Syndicate - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Commodity Roller Coaster| Project Syndicate - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Carmen Reinhart, Professor of the International Financial System at Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government. …..At this stage of the commodity cycle, price declines typically retain downward momentum. 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Commodity prices test their 2009 lows. Breach of support at 100 on the Dow Jones UBS Commodity Index would warn of further price falls. The dramatic fall in bulk commodity\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"$60 Trillion Global Credit","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-30-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-30-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-30-credit.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":30701,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/02\/01\/commodities-divergence-warns-of-a-bear-market\/","url_meta":{"origin":12569,"position":1},"title":"Commodity divergences warn of a bear market","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 1, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Commodity prices, to state the obvious, are determined by supply and demand. Demand normally fluctuates in line with the business cycle but supply only increments in large steps -- the primary cause of commodity cycles. Mothballed mines, for instance, may be brought back into production with a lag of less\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-01-cb.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-01-cb.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-01-cb.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-01-cb.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19673,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/22\/global-commodities-economic-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":12569,"position":2},"title":"Commodities & Global Growth","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 22, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Commodity prices warn that the global economy is still in a slump. The Dow Jones - UBS Commodity Index remains at one-third of its 2007 peak, with no sign of recovery. The fall in crude prices hasn't been as severe, but Brent Crude is again weakening and looks set for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8590,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/10\/commodity-prices-bullish-divergence\/","url_meta":{"origin":12569,"position":3},"title":"Commodity prices: bullish divergence","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 10, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Commodity prices continue to display weakness, with a tall shadow on the latest Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index weekly candle. But the Shanghai Composite Index is strengthening and bullish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Momentum suggests a reversal. Recovery above 130 would signal a primary up-trend. Rising commodity prices would be good\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":20991,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/07\/15\/declining-prospects-for-oil-gas\/","url_meta":{"origin":12569,"position":4},"title":"Declining prospects for oil & gas","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 15, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Australian oil giant Woodside Petroleum (WPL) reported $6.3 billion in write-downs this week, with impairments to all its Western Australian oil and gas assets, LNG plants and exploration licenses. Nick Toscano at the Sydney Morning Herald writes: \"Woodside's move comes after BP wrote off more than $25 billion last month\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6386,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/06\/goldman-predicts-falling-commodity-prices\/","url_meta":{"origin":12569,"position":5},"title":"Goldman predicts falling commodity prices","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 6, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Matthew Boesler writes that Jeffrey Currie, Goldman Sachs Head of Commodity Research, in his investment outlook for 2013, says commodity prices may be done going up, but that doesn't mean investors can't still make money. Currie's explanation is this: sustained high prices over the past decade have caused producers to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12569","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12569"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12569\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12569"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12569"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12569"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}