{"id":12398,"date":"2015-10-14T20:46:00","date_gmt":"2015-10-15T00:46:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=12398"},"modified":"2015-10-14T20:46:00","modified_gmt":"2015-10-15T00:46:00","slug":"niall-ferguson-the-real-obama-doctrine-real-daily-buzz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/10\/14\/niall-ferguson-the-real-obama-doctrine-real-daily-buzz\/","title":{"rendered":"Niall Ferguson: The Real Obama Doctrine – Real Daily Buzz"},"content":{"rendered":"

Niall Ferguson on US strategy in the Middle East:<\/p>\n

Henry Kissinger long ago recognized the problem: a talented vote-getter, surrounded by lawyers, who is overly risk-averse. Even before becoming Richard Nixon\u2019s national security adviser, Henry Kissinger understood how hard it was to make foreign policy in Washington. There \u201cis no such thing as an American foreign policy,\u201d Mr. Kissinger wrote in 1968. There is only \u201ca series of moves that have produced a certain result\u201d that they \u201cmay not have been planned to produce.\u201d It is \u201cresearch and intelligence organizations,\u201d he added, that \u201cattempt to give a rationality and consistency\u201d which \u201cit simply does not have.\u201d<\/p>\n

Two distinctively American pathologies explained the fundamental absence of coherent strategic thinking. First, the person at the top was selected for other skills. \u201cThe typical political leader of the contemporary managerial society,\u201d noted Mr. Kissinger, \u201cis a man with a strong will, a high capacity to get himself elected, but no very great conception of what he is going to do when he gets into office.\u201d<\/p>\n

Second, the government was full of people trained as lawyers. In making foreign policy, Mr. Kissinger once remarked, \u201cyou have to know what history is relevant.\u201d But lawyers were \u201cthe single most important group in Government,\u201d he said, and their principal drawback was \u201ca deficiency in history.\u201d ……..<\/p>\n

It is clear that [Barack Obama’s] strategy is failing disastrously. Since 2010, total fatalities from armed conflict in the world have increased by a factor of close to four, according to data from the International Institute of Strategic Studies. Total fatalities due to terrorism have risen nearly sixfold, based on the University of Maryland\u2019s Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism database. Nearly all this violence is concentrated in a swath of territory stretching from North Africa through the Middle East to Afghanistan and Pakistan. And there is every reason to expect the violence to escalate as the Sunni powers of the region seek to prevent Iran from establishing itself as the post-American hegemon.<\/p>\n

Today the U.S. faces three strategic challenges: the maelstrom in the Muslim world, the machinations of a weak but ruthless Russia, and the ambition of a still-growing China. The president\u2019s responses to all three look woefully inadequate……<\/p>\n

Some things you can learn on the job, like tending bar or being a community organizer. National-security strategy is different. \u201cHigh office teaches decision making, not substance,\u201d Mr. Kissinger once wrote. \u201cIt consumes intellectual capital; it does not create it.\u201d The next president may have cause to regret that Barack Obama didn\u2019t heed those words. In making up his strategy as he has gone along, this president has sown the wind. His successor will reap the whirlwind. He or she had better bring some serious intellectual capital to the White House.<\/p>\n

Source: Niall Ferguson: The Real Obama Doctrine – Real Daily Buzz<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Niall Ferguson on US strategy in the Middle East: Henry Kissinger long ago recognized the problem: a talented vote-getter, surrounded by lawyers, who is overly risk-averse. Even before becoming Richard Nixon\u2019s national security adviser, Henry Kissinger understood how hard it was to make foreign policy in Washington. There \u201cis no such thing as an American … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Niall Ferguson: The Real Obama Doctrine – Real Daily Buzz”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[384,1672,3006],"class_list":["post-12398","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","tag-barack-obama","tag-henry-kissinger","tag-russia"],"yoast_head":"\nNiall Ferguson: The Real Obama Doctrine - Real Daily Buzz - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Niall Ferguson: The Real Obama Doctrine - Real Daily Buzz - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Niall Ferguson on US strategy in the Middle East: Henry Kissinger long ago recognized the problem: a talented vote-getter, surrounded by lawyers, who is overly risk-averse. 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Kissinger reflects on the events, personalities, and thinking that characterized the United States and Soviet Union's leadership.","rel":"","context":"In "Russia & Former USSR"","block_context":{"text":"Russia & Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/i3I6CKXQSFY\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":10989,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/26\/chinas-deadly-miscalculation-in-the-making-realcleardefense\/","url_meta":{"origin":12398,"position":1},"title":"China’s Deadly Miscalculation… | RealClearDefense","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 26, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"From Joseph A. Bosco, senior associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies: Effective deterrence requires both the will and the capabilities \u2014 and the proper communication to the adversary that we are armed with both. ...several U.S. China experts publicly say otherwise, that the U.S. would not and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":27367,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/08\/13\/us-foreign-interventions-and-mowing-the-grass\/","url_meta":{"origin":12398,"position":2},"title":"US foreign interventions and “mowing the grass”","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 13, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Vietnam Veterans Memorial, Washington Excellent review of US foreign interventions by Hal Brands and Michael O\u2019Hanlon in Foreign Affairs. Foreign military interventions by the US are a catalog of failures but show how the US can adapt its approach to achieve acceptable outcomes at low cost over long time horizons.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Middle East"","block_context":{"text":"Middle East","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/middle-east\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14136,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/16\/niall-ferguson-the-west-and-the-rest-the-changing-global-balance-of-power\/","url_meta":{"origin":12398,"position":3},"title":"Niall Ferguson: The West and the Rest – The Changing Global Balance of Power","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 16, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/youtu.be\/AORm8Nvoud4 Niall Ferguson is the Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History at Harvard University. I would love to see Ferguson re-visit this 2011 talk every five years. One certainty about the future: it isn't what we think it's going to be. China's economic rise seems to be slowing far more\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/AORm8Nvoud4\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":5168,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/10\/the-ascent-of-money-niall-ferguson-episode-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":12398,"position":4},"title":"The Ascent of Money: Niall Ferguson | Episode 2","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 10, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Second episode -- BONDS OF WAR -- of a four-part series THE ASCENT OF MONEY. 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