{"id":12024,"date":"2015-07-08T01:01:29","date_gmt":"2015-07-08T05:01:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=12024"},"modified":"2015-07-08T01:01:29","modified_gmt":"2015-07-08T05:01:29","slug":"rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA strategy: Fight fire with gasoline"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This is just plain wrong.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"422\" height=\"384\" title=\"Bulk Commodity Prices\" alt=\"Bulk Commodity Prices\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-08-credit-gdp.png?resize=422%2C384&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Australian economy is sitting atop an enormous housing bubble caused by credit expansion from 1995 to 2007. To counter the end of the mining boom, the RBA lowered interest rates to stimulate the economy. While this may be necessary to relieve pressure on borrowers, what we don&#8217;t need is another credit expansion. That would simply make the economy more unstable and increase the risk of a crash. Banks are moving to curb lending to speculators, with lower LVRs, but not fast enough in my view. We can&#8217;t afford a credit contraction, but the RBA needs to impose sufficient discipline to keep credit growth at\/below the inflation rate &#8212; so that it gradually declines in real terms as the economy grows.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is just plain wrong. The Australian economy is sitting atop an enormous housing bubble caused by credit expansion from 1995 to 2007. To counter the end of the mining boom, the RBA lowered interest rates to stimulate the economy. While this may be necessary to relieve pressure on borrowers, what we don&#8217;t need is &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;RBA strategy: Fight fire with gasoline&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,31,45],"tags":[881,1828,2485,2860],"class_list":["post-12024","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-debt-levels","tag-credit-growth","tag-inflation","tag-nominal-gdp","tag-rba"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBA strategy: Fight fire with gasoline - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBA strategy: Fight fire with gasoline - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This is just plain wrong. The Australian economy is sitting atop an enormous housing bubble caused by credit expansion from 1995 to 2007. To counter the end of the mining boom, the RBA lowered interest rates to stimulate the economy. While this may be necessary to relieve pressure on borrowers, what we don&#8217;t need is &hellip; Continue reading &quot;RBA strategy: Fight fire with gasoline&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2015-07-08T05:01:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-08-credit-gdp.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"RBA strategy: Fight fire with gasoline\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-07-08T05:01:29+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/\"},\"wordCount\":131,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-08-credit-gdp.png\",\"keywords\":[\"credit growth\",\"Inflation\",\"nominal GDP\",\"RBA\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Australia &amp; NZ\",\"Banks &amp; Interest Rates\",\"Debt Levels\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/\",\"name\":\"RBA strategy: Fight fire with gasoline - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-08-credit-gdp.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-07-08T05:01:29+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-08-credit-gdp.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-08-credit-gdp.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/08\/rba-strategy-fight-fire-with-gasoline\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"RBA strategy: Fight fire with gasoline\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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The Australian economy is sitting atop an enormous housing bubble caused by credit expansion from 1995 to 2007. To counter the end of the mining boom, the RBA lowered interest rates to stimulate the economy. 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The rate increase is the second since the RBA reversed direction on 4 February and is an admission that the Board cut too early. The economy was doing fine in February 2025, with unemployment at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"RBA Cash Rate Target","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-17-rba-cashrate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-17-rba-cashrate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-17-rba-cashrate.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":41398,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/03\/29\/australia-team-transitory\/","url_meta":{"origin":12024,"position":1},"title":"Australia: Team Transitory","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 29, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Monthly CPI dipped to 6.8% for the 12 months ended February, with core CPI not far behind at 6.9%, feeding speculation that the RBA will hike rates one more time, by 25 basis points on April 4, and then pause. That would mean a peak cash rate of 3.85% if\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":38974,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/11\/22\/australias-debt-end-game\/","url_meta":{"origin":12024,"position":2},"title":"Australia&#8217;s debt end game","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 22, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"We are nearing the end of a thirty year bull market in credit, during which time the overnight cash rate in Australia fell from 18% in 1989 to 0.03% in 2021. Low interest rates enabled households to borrow more relative to their income, with housing debt expanding 4.5 times, over\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1341,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/17\/the-platypus-blues-macrobusiness-com-au\/","url_meta":{"origin":12024,"position":3},"title":"The Platypus blues &#8211; macrobusiness.com.au","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 17, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Ms Luci Ellis, RBA Head of the Financial Stability Department: Indeed, credit booms are very often part of the story in the lead-up to a period of financial instability. We published that assessment in the March and September Reviews. In the wake of that, we have sometimes been asked: how\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":63542,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/04\/rba-admits-its-mistake\/","url_meta":{"origin":12024,"position":4},"title":"RBA Admits Its Mistake","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 4, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The RBA raised its cash rate target by 25 basis points to 3.85%. The consumer price index jumped to 3.8% for the 12 months to December 2025. The unemployment rate fell to a seasonally-adjusted 4.1%. The ASX 200 found support at 8800. The RBA increased its cash rate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Australian CPI & Trimmed Mean CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-03-aus-cpi-tm.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-03-aus-cpi-tm.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-03-aus-cpi-tm.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-03-aus-cpi-tm.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":6053,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/06\/australia-hard-or-soft-landing\/","url_meta":{"origin":12024,"position":5},"title":"Australia: Hard or soft landing?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 6, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Browsing the latest charts from the RBA. Despite record low 10-year bond yields..... Credit growth is subdued and likely to remain so for some time. After a massive credit bubble lasting more than a decade. Households are saving close to 10 percent of Disposable Income in anticipation of a contraction.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12024","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12024"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12024\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12024"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12024"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12024"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}