{"id":1200,"date":"2011-10-07T18:21:18","date_gmt":"2011-10-07T22:21:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=1200"},"modified":"2011-10-07T18:21:18","modified_gmt":"2011-10-07T22:21:18","slug":"one-down-five-to-go","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/07\/one-down-five-to-go\/","title":{"rendered":"One down five to go"},"content":{"rendered":"

I say this rather flippantly as we are in the middle of a bear market, and I do not believe we are ready, but a reader asked what it would take to signal a bull market. My answer: three decent blue candles on the weekly chart followed by a correction of at least two red candles that respects the preceding low. The weekly chart of the S&P 500 index displays a blue candle with a long tail, signaling buying support. That would qualify as candle #1.<\/p>\n

\"S&P<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1100 – ( 1250 – 1100 ) = 950<\/span><\/p>\n

There is no supporting divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow to signal a change in the underlying selling pressure. Reversal to an up-trend is unlikely but would take a rally of at least 3 blue candles to break resistance at 1250 followed by a correction that finishes above 1100 — and re-crosses 1250. What is more likely is a failed attempt or false break at 1250 followed by penetration of support at 1100, signaling a decline to 1000\/950*.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I say this rather flippantly as we are in the middle of a bear market, and I do not believe we are ready, but a reader asked what it would take to signal a bull market. My answer: three decent blue candles on the weekly chart followed by a correction of at least two red … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “One down five to go”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57,34],"tags":[398,521,2953,3010,3511],"class_list":["post-1200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-bear-market","tag-bull-market","tag-reversal","tag-sp-500","tag-twiggs-money-flow"],"yoast_head":"\nOne down five to go - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"One down five to go - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I say this rather flippantly as we are in the middle of a bear market, and I do not believe we are ready, but a reader asked what it would take to signal a bull market. 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We have had three strong\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1966,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/18\/sp-500-approaches-tipping-point\/","url_meta":{"origin":1200,"position":1},"title":"S&P 500 approaches tipping point","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 18, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 index broke downwards from its recent pennant, counter to normal bullish expectations, and is testing medium-term support at 1200. Failure of support would test primary support at 1100. Respect of support is less likely, but would suggest a rally to 1300. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow cross\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1541,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/25\/2008-deja-vu\/","url_meta":{"origin":1200,"position":2},"title":"2008 Deja Vu","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 25, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Early May 2008, the S&P 500 index recovered above resistance at the former primary support level of 1400 on its second attempt. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow broke back above zero, indicating secondary buying pressure. Breakout was followed by two pull-backs in May. The first made a false break below the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1336,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/17\/nasdaq-hints-at-recovery\/","url_meta":{"origin":1200,"position":3},"title":"Nasdaq hints at recovery","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 17, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Dow Jones Industrial Average is testing resistance at 11700. Breakout would warn of a primary advance, but the market is prone to false signals because of excessive volatility and it would be prudent to wait for confirmation. Respect of 11700, or a false break above 11700, would re-visit support at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":558,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/31\/reminder-were-in-a-bear-market\/","url_meta":{"origin":1200,"position":4},"title":"Reminder: we’re in a bear market","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 31, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Don't be fooled by current month-end froth in the markets -- into thinking that the bear market is over or that the early August plunge was a false signal. The S&P 500 Index has made little headway after completing a double bottom at 1200 despite average volumes indicating the absence\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":221,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/dead-cat-bounce\/","url_meta":{"origin":1200,"position":5},"title":"Dead cat bounce","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 15, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"We have a clear bear market signal across a wide range of indexes and current behavior is typical of the early \"Denial\" stage. 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