{"id":11933,"date":"2015-06-15T03:29:06","date_gmt":"2015-06-15T07:29:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=11933"},"modified":"2015-06-15T03:29:06","modified_gmt":"2015-06-15T07:29:06","slug":"why-fixed-investment-is-critical-to-the-us-recovery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/06\/15\/why-fixed-investment-is-critical-to-the-us-recovery\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Fixed Investment is Critical to the US Recovery"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The financial sector normally acts as a conduit, channeling savings from private investors to the corporate sector. When the conduit works effectively, the injection of demand from corporate Investment is sufficient to offset the &#8216;leakage&#8217; from demand caused by Savings. Savings patterns alter during a financial crisis, however, with concerned households cutting back on expenditure and using any surplus to pay down debt, rather than depositing with the bank or buying stocks. Household Savings rise but corporate Investment contracts. The resulting &#8216;leakage&#8217; from demand causes GDP to spiral downward.<\/p>\n<p>When Investment contracts, unemployment rises. The relationship is evident on the graph below, but it could also be said that Investment rises when employment grows &mdash; businesses invest in anticipation of rising demand. Either way, it is safe to conclude that rising investment and job growth go hand-in-hand.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"312\" title=\"Employment Growth and Private Nonresidential Fixed Investment\" alt=\"Employment Growth and Private Nonresidential Fixed Investment\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-15-investment-jobs.png?resize=525%2C312&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Fixed Investment and Corporate Profits<\/h2>\n<p>Rising corporate profits also lead to increased investment. The lag on the graph below &mdash; investment growth follows profit growth &mdash; clearly illustrates the causative relationship.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"312\" title=\"Employment Growth and Private Nonresidential Fixed Investment\" alt=\"Employment Growth and Private Nonresidential Fixed Investment\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-15-privatenonresinv.png?resize=525%2C312&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>This is an encouraging sign, as the current surge in corporate profits is likely to be followed by rising investment &mdash; and further job growth.<\/p>\n<h2>Weekly Earnings and GDP<\/h2>\n<p>Rising weekly earnings already point to improving aggregate demand and consequent investment growth.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"233\" title=\"Weekly Earnings Growth\" alt=\"Weekly Earnings Growth\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-15-weekly-earnings.png?resize=525%2C233&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>All that is missing is for the federal government to increase investment in productive* infrastructure to further boost job growth.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:left;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">*Infrastructure investment needs to generate a sufficient return to repay debt incurred to fund the spending. Something many politicians seem to forget when preoccupied with buying votes for the next election.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The financial sector normally acts as a conduit, channeling savings from private investors to the corporate sector. When the conduit works effectively, the injection of demand from corporate Investment is sufficient to offset the &#8216;leakage&#8217; from demand caused by Savings. Savings patterns alter during a financial crisis, however, with concerned households cutting back on expenditure &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/06\/15\/why-fixed-investment-is-critical-to-the-us-recovery\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Why Fixed Investment is Critical to the US Recovery&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,34],"tags":[1227,1524,1882,1969,3042,3531],"class_list":["post-11933","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-investment-infrastructure","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-employment","tag-gdp","tag-investment","tag-jobs-growth","tag-savings","tag-unemployment"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why Fixed Investment is Critical to the US Recovery - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why Fixed Investment is Critical to the US Recovery - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The financial sector normally acts as a conduit, channeling savings from private investors to the corporate sector. When the conduit works effectively, the injection of demand from corporate Investment is sufficient to offset the &#8216;leakage&#8217; from demand caused by Savings. 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When the conduit works effectively, the injection of demand from corporate Investment is sufficient to offset the 'leakage' from demand caused by Savings. Savings patterns alter during a financial crisis, however, with concerned\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Employment Growth and Private Nonresidential Fixed Investment","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-15-investment-jobs.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-15-investment-jobs.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-15-investment-jobs.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":2433,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/30\/deleveraging-is-over-its-time-to-cut-the-deficit\/","url_meta":{"origin":11933,"position":1},"title":"Deleveraging is over &#8212; it&#8217;s time to cut the deficit","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 30, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"US commercial bank loans and leases bottomed in April 2011, after shrinking more than $1 trillion in the previous two years. The annual rate-of-change has now recovered to positive territory, relieving downward pressure on asset prices, including stocks and real estate. Deleveraging has come to an end and is only\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Debt Levels&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Debt Levels","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/debt-levels\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":40639,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/01\/30\/michael-pettis-the-china-shock-is-coming\/","url_meta":{"origin":11933,"position":2},"title":"Michael Pettis: The China Shock is Coming","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 30, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/youtu.be\/QcdPMOMS7N8 Michael Pettis is a professor of finance at Peking University in Beijing and one of the foremost Western experts on China, having lived there for almost two decades. He explains the Chinese growth model, why it no longer works, and the hard choices ahead. China's Growth Model China's growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"China Non-Financial Credit\/GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":27137,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/07\/31\/follow-the-money\/","url_meta":{"origin":11933,"position":3},"title":"Follow the money","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 31, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Stocks have soared to new highs, ignoring fundamentals, with DJ Wilshire 5000 all market index rising to above 200% of GDP. Despite the new Delta variant threatening a third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. Causing the total number collecting unemployment benefits to jump by almost 600,000 to above 13 million\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":479,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/29\/the-way-forward\/","url_meta":{"origin":11933,"position":4},"title":"The way forward","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 29, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"There were plenty of central bankers and economists with glum faces at Jackson Hole, Wyoming this week as speakers reviewed the challenges ahead. So far the global economy has not responded to various rescue plans, with GDP slowing and national debt rising across a whole slew of economies.Before we look\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;The Big Picture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"The Big Picture","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/the-big-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16340,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/06\/09\/12-charts-on-the-australian-economy\/","url_meta":{"origin":11933,"position":5},"title":"12 Charts on the Australian economy","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 9, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Australian GDP grew at a robust 3.1% for the year ended 31 March 2018 but a look at the broader economy shows little to cheer about. Wages growth is slowing, with the Wage Price Index falling sharply. Falling growth in disposable income is holding back consumption (e.g. retail spending) and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11933","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11933"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11933\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11933"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11933"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11933"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}