{"id":11873,"date":"2015-05-26T23:01:03","date_gmt":"2015-05-27T03:01:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=11873"},"modified":"2015-05-26T23:01:03","modified_gmt":"2015-05-27T03:01:03","slug":"inflation-steady-while-gold-tests-support","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/05\/26\/inflation-steady-while-gold-tests-support\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation steady while Gold tests support"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>CPI continues below zero, but core CPI (excluding food and energy) came in at 1.81% for April 2015, indicating long-term inflationary pressures are constant.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"282\" alt=\"CPI and Core CPI\" title=\"CPI and Core CPI\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-27-cpi.png?resize=525%2C282&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Low inflation relieves upward pressure on bond yields. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes encountered resistance at 2.25%, with tall shadows on the last 3 weekly candles. Expect another retracement to test support at 1.85%. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Momentum below zero would strengthen the signal.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yields\" title=\"10-Year Treasury Yields\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-27-tnx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 2.25 + ( 2.25 &#8211; 1.85 ) = 2.65<\/p>\n<p>The Dollar Index broke resistance at 96 despite falling bond yields, indicating the correction is over and another test of 100 likely. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum is declining, but recovery above the descending trendline would support the (bull) signal. Reversal below 96 is unlikely, but would test support at 93.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" title=\"Dollar Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-27-dxy.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Gold<\/h2>\n<p>The inflation-adjusted price of gold (gold\/CPI) suggests that gold has further to fall. Unusually high levels of intervention by central banks in financial markets may, however, be fueling support at current prices &mdash; suggesting a gradual decline rather than a sharp adjustment.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"282\" alt=\"Gold\/CPI\" title=\"Gold\/CPI\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-27-gold-cpi.png?resize=525%2C282&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Spot gold is headed for another test of medium-term support at $1180\/ounce after respecting resistance at $1220. Breach of support would test the primary level at $1140. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum peaks below zero suggest a primary down-trend. Failure of $1140 would test the long-term target of $1000*.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" title=\"Spot Gold\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-27-gold.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 1200 &#8211; ( 1400 &#8211; 1200 ) = 1000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CPI continues below zero, but core CPI (excluding food and energy) came in at 1.81% for April 2015, indicating long-term inflationary pressures are constant. Low inflation relieves upward pressure on bond yields. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes encountered resistance at 2.25%, with tall shadows on the last 3 weekly candles. Expect another retracement to &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/05\/26\/inflation-steady-while-gold-tests-support\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Inflation steady while Gold tests support&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,9,13,35],"tags":[70,818,854,1073,1828,1834,3204],"class_list":["post-11873","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-fixed-income","category-gold-precious-metals","category-inflation-economy","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-core-cpi","tag-cpi","tag-dollar-index","tag-inflation","tag-inflation-adjusted-gold-price","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Inflation steady while Gold tests support - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Inflation steady while Gold tests support - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"CPI continues below zero, but core CPI (excluding food and energy) came in at 1.81% for April 2015, indicating long-term inflationary pressures are constant. 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Ten-year Treasury Note yields continue to consolidate in a narrow band between 1.85% and 2.00%. Breakout above resistance is more likely and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Core CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-04-23-cpi-core.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-04-23-cpi-core.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-04-23-cpi-core.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11909,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/06\/09\/gold-breaks-1180-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":11873,"position":1},"title":"Gold breaks $1180 support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 9, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Core CPI continues to track close to the Fed target of 2.0 percent (CPI All Items is distorted by falling oil prices). Long-term interest rates are in a primary up-trend, with 10-year Treasury note yields breakout above resistance at 2.25% offering a target of 3.0 percent. Rising 13-week Twiggs Momentum\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CPI and Core CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-09-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-09-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-09-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11795,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/05\/12\/gold-inflation-and-the-dollar\/","url_meta":{"origin":11873,"position":2},"title":"Gold, inflation and the Dollar","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 12, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The (5-year) inflation breakeven (Treasury yield - TIPS) recovered from the oil price fall to post 1.66% on May 8. Growth in average hourly earnings (manufacturing - production and non-supervisory employees) also recovered to 1.49% at the end of April. The stronger inflation outlook lifted the yield on 10-year Treasury\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Gold &amp; Precious Metals&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Gold &amp; Precious Metals","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/gold-precious-metals\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"5-Year Inflation Breakeven","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-12-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-12-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-12-inflation.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":12526,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/17\/gold-breaks-support-3\/","url_meta":{"origin":11873,"position":3},"title":"Gold breaks support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 17, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold fell to $1070\/ounce, breaching the band of primary support between $1080 and $1100 per ounce. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum peaks below zero indicate a strong primary down-trend. The next level of support is $1000\/ounce*. * Target calculation: 1100 - ( 1200 - 1100 ) = 1000 Inflation Core CPI is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Spot Gold","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11957,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/06\/17\/interest-rates-and-inflation-hurt-gold-prices\/","url_meta":{"origin":11873,"position":4},"title":"Interest rates and inflation hurt gold prices","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 17, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Where is inflation headed? The five-year breakeven rate (5-Year Treasury Yield minus 5-year TIPS) is hovering around 1.80 percent, close to the latest readings for core CPI. The market is anticipating low inflation for the next few years. Long-term interest rates are rising in anticipation of Fed tightening. 10-Year Treasury\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Five-year Breakeven Rate and Core CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-18-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-18-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-18-inflation.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":12353,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/09\/24\/gold-no-flight-to-safety\/","url_meta":{"origin":11873,"position":5},"title":"Gold: No flight to safety","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 24, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"US inflation remains subdued with core CPI hovering below 2.0 percent. Treasury yields remain weak, with the 10-year yield testing support between 1.85 and 2.0 percent. That gives a real yield, after deducting core CPI, of close to zero on a 10-year investment. Abraham Maslow wrote in the 1960s: \"I\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Core CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-09-24-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-09-24-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-09-24-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11873","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11873"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11873\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11873"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11873"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11873"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}