{"id":11761,"date":"2015-04-30T04:59:44","date_gmt":"2015-04-30T08:59:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=11761"},"modified":"2015-04-30T04:59:44","modified_gmt":"2015-04-30T08:59:44","slug":"gdp-the-dollar-and-treasury-yields","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/04\/30\/gdp-the-dollar-and-treasury-yields\/","title":{"rendered":"GDP, the Dollar and Treasury yields"},"content":{"rendered":"

Interesting to see how Treasury yields and the Dollar reacted — or failed to react — to the sharp fall in first quarter GDP growth. But first a great summary by Matt Phillips at Quartz<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Move along. There\u2019s nothing to see here.<\/p>\n

Well, if you must know, US GDP growth fell to a 0.2% annualized rate, which looks pretty bad.<\/p>\n

\"GDP\"<\/p>\n

We told you it would be bad. How did we know? Windows. If you looked out any of them between January and March you were treated to a slush-bound hellscape of icy misery. Thankfully, spring has sprung. And there are all sorts of indications that US growth is bouncing back<\/a>.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

…interpreting the numbers rather than simply informing readers of the latest “bad news”. Good journalism.<\/p>\n

Ten-year Treasury Note yields broke resistance at 2.00%. Not what one would expect if the economy was slowing and the Fed planned to sit on its hands rather than raise interest rates. Breakout above resistance indicates an advance to 2.25%. Recovery of long-term yields, however, is likely to be gradual, with much testing of support before we see a breakout above long-term resistance at 3.00%.<\/p>\n

\"10-Year<\/p>\n

The Dollar Index surprised in the opposite direction, breaking support at 96. Not what one would expect if yields are rising. Breach of support suggests a test of the primary trendline at 92.<\/p>\n

\"Dollar<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Interesting to see how Treasury yields and the Dollar reacted — or failed to react — to the sharp fall in first quarter GDP growth. But first a great summary by Matt Phillips at Quartz: Move along. There\u2019s nothing to see here. Well, if you must know, US GDP growth fell to a 0.2% annualized … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “GDP, the Dollar and Treasury yields”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,6,34,35],"tags":[70,1073,2870],"class_list":["post-11761","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-fixed-income","category-us-canada-countries-regions","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-dollar-index","tag-real-gdp"],"yoast_head":"\nGDP, the Dollar and Treasury yields - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"GDP, the Dollar and Treasury yields - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Interesting to see how Treasury yields and the Dollar reacted — or failed to react — to the sharp fall in first quarter GDP growth. 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Breakout above 4.35% would suggest a stronger move to test 4.50%. The Dollar index surged in response and is likely to test resistance at 103. Gold weakened slightly, to $2040 per ounce. Long-term View Jim Bianco thinks we\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-30-10yy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-30-10yy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-30-10yy.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":48040,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/02\/07\/in-janet-we-trust\/","url_meta":{"origin":11761,"position":1},"title":"In Janet we Trust","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 7, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"We said yesterday that we expected the US Treasury and the Fed to push back against higher long-term UST yields and a strong Dollar. On Tuesday, the 10-year yield retreated from resistance at 4.20% after a sharp two-day rally. The Dollar Index retraced to test support at 104. Gold steadied\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-07-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-07-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-07-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":21666,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/09\/28\/gold-correction-and-dollar-rally\/","url_meta":{"origin":11761,"position":2},"title":"Gold correction and Dollar rally","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 28, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"US 10-Year Treasury yields continue to consolidate in a narrow band around 0.70% but the rising Trend Index flattened out below zero. Reversal, forming a peak below zero, would be a strong bear signal for yields, warning of another test of support at 0.50%. The 10-year TIPS yield rallied to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Aussie dollar"","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":62492,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/09\/26\/dollar-rises-as-rate-cuts-rewind\/","url_meta":{"origin":11761,"position":3},"title":"Dollar rises as rate cuts unwind","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 26, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The dollar has strengthened as the prospect of steep rate cuts fades. Gold is retracing to test support at $3,650 per ounce. However, secular trends in bonds, the dollar, and gold\/silver are unlikely to change. The US Dollar index broke resistance at 98 as traders unwind bets on\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Cryptocurrency"","block_context":{"text":"Cryptocurrency","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/cryptocurrency\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dollar Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-09-25-dxy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-09-25-dxy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-09-25-dxy.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24399,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/03\/06\/24399\/","url_meta":{"origin":11761,"position":4},"title":"Dollar rallies on higher yields\/strong payroll gains","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 6, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields jumped at Friday's open but eased during the day, closing at 1.557%. Rising long-term yields strengthened the Dollar, with the Dollar Index (DXY) rallying off support at 90 and breaking its descending trendline. A short-term Dollar rally is likely. \"It strikes us as possible if not likely\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":60444,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/18\/the-long-game-dollar-gold-and-us-treasuries\/","url_meta":{"origin":11761,"position":5},"title":"The long game: The Dollar, Gold and US Treasuries","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 18, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In the short term, the Fed and US Treasury manipulate the Dollar and US Treasury yields in an attempt to stimulate the economy while avoiding inflation. Foreign central banks also attempt to manipulate the Dollar to gain a trade advantage, which impacts the Treasury market. However, in the long term,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CPI & Energy CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-01-15-cpi-energy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-01-15-cpi-energy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-01-15-cpi-energy.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11761","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11761"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11761\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11761"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11761"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11761"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}