{"id":1175,"date":"2011-10-06T02:19:10","date_gmt":"2011-10-06T06:19:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=1175"},"modified":"2011-10-06T02:19:10","modified_gmt":"2011-10-06T06:19:10","slug":"asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/","title":{"rendered":"ASX 200 rally &#8212; but it&#8217;s still a bear market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Australia&#8217;s ASX 200 index rallied strongly Thursday and is headed for a test of the upper trend channel. 63-day Momentum declining below zero reminds that we are in a strong primary down-trend. Respect of the upper channel would warn of another decline &#8212; to test the lower channel border.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2011\/2011-10-06-xjo.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"ASX 200 Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 4000 &#8211; ( 4500 &#8211; 4000 ) = 3500<\/span><\/p>\n<p>We are experiencing exceptional volatility at present and risk of false signals is high. It is important in such situations to look for strong confirmation. One step is to wait for signals on the weekly chart to confirm those on the daily chart. As you can see, this bear market is a long way from over.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2011\/2011-10-06-xjo-weekly.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"ASX 200 Index Weekly\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Australia&#8217;s ASX 200 index rallied strongly Thursday and is headed for a test of the upper trend channel. 63-day Momentum declining below zero reminds that we are in a strong primary down-trend. Respect of the upper channel would warn of another decline &#8212; to test the lower channel border. * Target calculation: 4000 &#8211; ( &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;ASX 200 rally &#8212; but it&#8217;s still a bear market&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[251,398,3486,3617],"class_list":["post-1175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","tag-asx-200","tag-bear-market","tag-trend-channel","tag-volatility"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ASX 200 rally - but it&#039;s still a bear market - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ASX 200 rally - but it&#039;s still a bear market - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Australia&#8217;s ASX 200 index rallied strongly Thursday and is headed for a test of the upper trend channel. 63-day Momentum declining below zero reminds that we are in a strong primary down-trend. Respect of the upper channel would warn of another decline &#8212; to test the lower channel border. * Target calculation: 4000 &#8211; ( &hellip; Continue reading &quot;ASX 200 rally &#8212; but it&#8217;s still a bear market&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-10-06T06:19:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2011\/2011-10-06-xjo.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"ASX 200 rally &#8212; but it&#8217;s still a bear market\",\"datePublished\":\"2011-10-06T06:19:10+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/\"},\"wordCount\":117,\"commentCount\":10,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2011\/2011-10-06-xjo.png\",\"keywords\":[\"ASX 200\",\"Bear Market\",\"trend channel\",\"volatility\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Australia &amp; NZ\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/\",\"name\":\"ASX 200 rally - but it's still a bear market - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2011\/2011-10-06-xjo.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2011-10-06T06:19:10+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2011\/2011-10-06-xjo.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2011\/2011-10-06-xjo.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/06\/asx-200-rally-but-its-still-a-bear-market\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ASX 200 rally &#8212; but it&#8217;s still a bear market\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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Low volume is typical for a Monday -- before US and European markets open for the week -- but the low range indicates caution on the part of buyers. Reversal below 4100 would indicate a down-swing to the lower trend\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5345,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/28\/australia-asx-200-meets-resistance\/","url_meta":{"origin":1175,"position":1},"title":"Australia: ASX 200 meets resistance","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 28, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The ASX 200 met resistance at 4400. Short retracement or narrow consolidation would be a bullish sign, suggesting a breakout. Oscillation of 63-day Twiggs Momentum around the zero line, however, would suggest a ranging market, with further tests of primary support at 4000. The Daily chart shows the ASX 200\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":30614,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/01\/25\/asx-signals-a-bear-market\/","url_meta":{"origin":1175,"position":2},"title":"ASX signals a bear market","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 25, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The ASX 200 broke support at 7200, signaling a primary down-trend. The declining Trend Index has warned of fading buying pressure for several months. Expect retracement to test the new 7200 resistance level but respect is likely and would confirm the primary down-trend. The largest sector, Financials, similarly broke support\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ASX 200","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-01-25-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-01-25-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-01-25-xjo.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-01-25-xjo.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13750,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/25\/october-correction-nearing-end-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":1175,"position":3},"title":"October correction nearing end","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 25, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"DAX and FTSE in a down-trend China and Hong Kong retreat US stocks remain in a bull market ASX ends correction The new reporting season is under way and fund managers are now looking for opportunities rather than selling off under-performers. The S&P 500 broke resistance at 1900 and 1925.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11197,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/25\/october-correction-nearing-end\/","url_meta":{"origin":1175,"position":4},"title":"October correction nearing end","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 25, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"DAX and FTSE in a down-trend China and Hong Kong retreat US stocks remain in a bull market ASX ends correction The new reporting season is under way and fund managers are now looking for opportunities rather than selling off under-performers. The S&P 500 broke resistance at 1900 and 1925.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-25-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":31217,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/02\/26\/global-markets-rally\/","url_meta":{"origin":1175,"position":5},"title":"Global markets rally","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 26, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Volatility is elevated and markets have, understandably, gone into risk-off mode. Bitcoin (BTC) found support at 34K, before retracing to test short-term resistance at 40K, but remains in a strong down-trend. Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied strongly to test former primary resistance at 34K. Respect would confirm the primary down-trend.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bitcoin (BTC)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-25-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-25-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-25-btc.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-25-btc.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1175","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1175"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1175\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1175"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1175"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1175"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}