{"id":11730,"date":"2015-04-23T00:35:41","date_gmt":"2015-04-23T04:35:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=11730"},"modified":"2015-04-23T00:35:41","modified_gmt":"2015-04-23T04:35:41","slug":"inflation-and-dollar-stable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/04\/23\/inflation-and-dollar-stable\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation and Dollar stable"},"content":{"rendered":"

March CPI readings were much as expected, with the annual rate at zero but core CPI (excluding food and energy) close to the Fed target of 2 percent.<\/p>\n

\"Core<\/p>\n

Ten-year Treasury Note yields continue to consolidate in a narrow band between 1.85% and 2.00%. Breakout above resistance is more likely and would offer a target of 2.25%. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum below zero continues to indicate a primary down-trend. Recovery of long-term yields is likely to be gradual for two reasons:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. The Fed is adopting a cautious stance towards lifting short-term rates; and<\/li>\n
  2. Downward pressure exerted on long-term yields by offshore (Chinese & Japanese) purchases of Treasury securities (with the intent of suppressing appreciation of their exchange rates).<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    \"10-Year<\/p>\n

    A stable inflation rate and low interest rate outlook have kept the Dollar Index range-bound between 96 and 100. Rising 13-week Twiggs Momentum continues to indicate a strong primary up-trend. Breakout above 100 would signal an advance to 110*. Failure of support at 96 is unlikely.<\/p>\n

    \"Dollar<\/p>\n

    * Target calculation: 100 + ( 100 – 90 ) = 110<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    March CPI readings were much as expected, with the annual rate at zero but core CPI (excluding food and energy) close to the Fed target of 2 percent. Ten-year Treasury Note yields continue to consolidate in a narrow band between 1.85% and 2.00%. Breakout above resistance is more likely and would offer a target of … <\/p>\n

    Continue reading “Inflation and Dollar stable”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,13,35],"tags":[70,818,854,1073],"class_list":["post-11730","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-fixed-income","category-inflation-economy","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-core-cpi","tag-cpi","tag-dollar-index"],"yoast_head":"\nInflation and Dollar stable - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Inflation and Dollar stable - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"March CPI readings were much as expected, with the annual rate at zero but core CPI (excluding food and energy) close to the Fed target of 2 percent. 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Long-term interest rates are in a primary up-trend, with 10-year Treasury note yields breakout above resistance at 2.25% offering a target of 3.0 percent. Rising 13-week Twiggs Momentum\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Fixed Income"","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CPI and Core CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-09-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-09-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-09-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":12526,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/17\/gold-breaks-support-3\/","url_meta":{"origin":11730,"position":1},"title":"Gold breaks support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 17, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold fell to $1070\/ounce, breaching the band of primary support between $1080 and $1100 per ounce. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum peaks below zero indicate a strong primary down-trend. The next level of support is $1000\/ounce*. * Target calculation: 1100 - ( 1200 - 1100 ) = 1000 Inflation Core CPI is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Fixed Income"","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Spot Gold","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":12135,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/08\/06\/dollar-strengthens-on-low-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":11730,"position":2},"title":"Dollar strengthens on low inflation","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 6, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Core CPI continues to hover below the Fed's 2.0% target, while plunging oil prices keep the broad index close to zero. Core CPI is likely to weaken as the beneficial effect of lower energy costs flows through to all sectors of the economy. We often read of the threat of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Fixed Income"","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CPI and Core CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-08-06-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-08-06-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-08-06-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":45404,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/11\/15\/dollar-crashes-while-gold-and-stocks-rally-on-weak-cpi\/","url_meta":{"origin":11730,"position":3},"title":"Dollar crashes while Gold and stocks rally on weak CPI","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 15, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"A weak CPI report and the prospect of lower interest rates caused a rally in bonds, stocks and precious metals. 10-Year Treasury yields broke support at 4.50%, offering a target of 4.0%. We expect a surge of investors into longer-term Treasuries, driving yields lower, as the peak at 5.0% now\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-15-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-15-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-15-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":12440,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/10\/26\/low-inflation-and-a-stronger-dollar-indicate-weak-gold\/","url_meta":{"origin":11730,"position":4},"title":"Low inflation and a stronger dollar indicate weak gold","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 26, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Growth in hourly manufacturing earnings has climbed above the Fed target of 2.0 percent, while core CPI continues to track near the target. But the 5-year breakeven rate (5-year Treasury minus TIPS yield) is close to 1.0 percent. The market expects inflation to fall over the next few years. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Fixed Income"","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"5-Year Breakeven Rate, Core CPI and Growth in Hourly Manufacturing Earnings","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-26-5yrbreakeven.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-26-5yrbreakeven.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-26-5yrbreakeven.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11957,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/06\/17\/interest-rates-and-inflation-hurt-gold-prices\/","url_meta":{"origin":11730,"position":5},"title":"Interest rates and inflation hurt gold prices","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 17, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Where is inflation headed? The five-year breakeven rate (5-Year Treasury Yield minus 5-year TIPS) is hovering around 1.80 percent, close to the latest readings for core CPI. The market is anticipating low inflation for the next few years. Long-term interest rates are rising in anticipation of Fed tightening. 10-Year Treasury\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Fixed Income"","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Five-year Breakeven Rate and Core CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-18-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-18-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-18-inflation.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11730","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11730"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11730\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11730"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11730"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11730"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}