{"id":11617,"date":"2015-03-11T23:19:59","date_gmt":"2015-03-12T03:19:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=11617"},"modified":"2015-03-11T23:19:59","modified_gmt":"2015-03-12T03:19:59","slug":"cpi-unwinds-as-the-fed-runs-out-of-patience","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/03\/11\/cpi-unwinds-as-the-fed-runs-out-of-patience\/","title":{"rendered":"CPI unwinds as the Fed runs out of “patience”"},"content":{"rendered":"

From Seeking Alpha:<\/p>\n

The euro fell to a fresh 12-year low on Wednesday, extending a broad decline just days after the ECB launched its \u20ac1T bond-buying program, while the dollar index soared to its highest in more than 11 years at 98.95, buoyed by expectations that the Fed could soon lift U.S. interest rates. Nearly all now believe the FOMC will remove the word “patient” from its policy statement after its March 17-18 meeting, opening the door for a rate increase in June.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Not so fast. US consumer price growth (annual % change) to end of January 2015 fell below zero.<\/p>\n

\"US<\/p>\n

Core CPI is slowing at a far gentler rate because it excludes energy prices (as well as food).<\/p>\n

\"CPI<\/p>\n

Wage pressures in the manufacturing sector are declining, despite solid job numbers, indicating there is still plenty of slack.<\/p>\n

\"Manufacturing<\/p>\n

With inflationary pressures easing, why the haste to raise interest rates? I believe that Janet Yellen will move when the time is right. And not before.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

From Seeking Alpha: The euro fell to a fresh 12-year low on Wednesday, extending a broad decline just days after the ECB launched its \u20ac1T bond-buying program, while the dollar index soared to its highest in more than 11 years at 98.95, buoyed by expectations that the Fed could soon lift U.S. interest rates. Nearly … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “CPI unwinds as the Fed runs out of “patience””<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,13,34],"tags":[797,818,854,1717,1828],"class_list":["post-11617","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-inflation-economy","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-consumer-price-index","tag-core-cpi","tag-cpi","tag-hourly-earnings","tag-inflation"],"yoast_head":"\nCPI unwinds as the Fed runs out of "patience" - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CPI unwinds as the Fed runs out of "patience" - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Seeking Alpha: The euro fell to a fresh 12-year low on Wednesday, extending a broad decline just days after the ECB launched its \u20ac1T bond-buying program, while the dollar index soared to its highest in more than 11 years at 98.95, buoyed by expectations that the Fed could soon lift U.S. interest rates. 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But core CPI excluding energy and food remains stable. Job gains were the lowest since May 2016. But the unemployment rate fell to a low 4.5%. Hourly wage rate growth has eased below 2.5%, suggesting that underlying inflationary\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":41261,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/03\/16\/inflation-bounces-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":11617,"position":1},"title":"Inflation Bounces Back","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 16, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The consumer price index (CPI) declined to 6.0% for the 12 months to February but core CPI held steady at 5.5%. What is concerning that monthly core CPI is climbing, reaching an annualized rate of 5.4% (0.45% pm) in February. This echoes core PCE inflation -- the Fed's favorite measure\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CPI & Core CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-14-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-14-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-14-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":39560,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/12\/14\/will-slowing-inflation-force-the-fed-to-halt-rate-hikes\/","url_meta":{"origin":11617,"position":2},"title":"Will slowing inflation force the Fed to halt rate hikes?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 14, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The consumer price index eased to 7.1% growth for the 12 months to November, while core CPI (excluding food and energy) grew by 6.0%. The prospect of softer inflation, spurred a sharp fall in the 10-year Treasury yield, followed by retracement to test resistance at 3.50%. The primary contributor to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-12-13-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-12-13-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-12-13-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":41631,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/04\/13\/inflation-ebbs-and-flows\/","url_meta":{"origin":11617,"position":3},"title":"Inflation ebbs (and flows)","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 13, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The consumer price index (red below) declined sharply to 5.0% for the 12 months to March, compared to 6.0% in February. But core CPI increased slightly to 5.6%, from 5.5% one month earlier. Monthly core CPI was softer, at 0.38%, but the rate seems to be steadying at around 0.4%,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CPI & Core CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-04-12-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-04-12-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-04-12-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":26261,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/06\/11\/cpi-warns-of-strong-inflation-but-treasury-yields-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":11617,"position":4},"title":"CPI warns of strong inflation but Treasury yields fall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 11, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The Consumer Price index (CPI) for May climbed to 4.99% (YoY change), while core CPI (excluding food and energy) jumped to 3.80%. Part of the annual change may be due to base effects but monthly percentage change of 0.80% (CPI) and 0.74% (core CPI) convert to annualized rates of 9.60%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":40323,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/01\/16\/cpi-eases-but-outlook-still-bearish-for-stocks\/","url_meta":{"origin":11617,"position":5},"title":"CPI eases but outlook still bearish for stocks","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 16, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The consumer price index (CPI) growth slowed to 6.4% for the 12-months to December, down from 7.1% in November. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, slowed to 5.7%. 10-Year Treasury yields retreated, testing support between 3.4% and 3.5% in response. Food inflation is declining but remains above 10% for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CPI & Core CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-13-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-13-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-13-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11617","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11617"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11617\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11617"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11617"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11617"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}