{"id":11592,"date":"2015-03-05T00:05:04","date_gmt":"2015-03-05T05:05:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=11592"},"modified":"2015-03-05T00:05:04","modified_gmt":"2015-03-05T05:05:04","slug":"dollar-breaks-out-gold-tests-support","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/03\/05\/dollar-breaks-out-gold-tests-support\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar breaks out, Gold tests support"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The 5-year breakeven rate for inflation &mdash; calculated by deducting the yield on 5-year TIPS from the 5-Year Treasury yield &mdash; rallied in recent weeks and is testing resistance at 1.60%. But the long-term trend is down and we should expect another test of support at 1.2%.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"349\" title=\"5-Year Treasury Yield minus 5-Year TIPS yield\" alt=\"5-Year Treasury Yield minus 5-Year TIPS yield\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-03-05-inflation.png?resize=525%2C349&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Apart from Japan, deflationary pressures are rising in all major OECD countries. Given the global trend, the Fed is likely to raise interest rates at a leisurely pace. Expect low inflation and low interest rates for the next 2 to 3 years.<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/twitter.com\/DavidSchawel\/status\/571825525284462592<\/p>\n<p>10-Year Treasury yields rallied along with the inflation breakeven and are now testing resistance at 2.15%. Breakout would test the descending trendline around 2.40%. But reversal below 2.0% remains as likely and would signal another test of 1.65%.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"10-Year Treasury Yields\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yields\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-03-05-tnx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>The Dollar<\/h3>\n<p>The Dollar Index broke through resistance at 95.50, offering a medium-term target of 100*.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Dollar Index\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-03-05-dxy.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 90 + ( 90 &#8211; 80 ) = 100<\/p>\n<h3>Gold<\/h3>\n<p>Low inflation undermines support for gold. Spot Gold is testing long-term support at $1200\/ounce. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Momentum below zero warns of another decline. Breach of support at $1200 would signal another decline, while follow-through below $1150 would confirm.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Spot Gold\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-03-05-gold.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 1200 &#8211; ( 1400 &#8211; 1200 ) = 1000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 5-year breakeven rate for inflation &mdash; calculated by deducting the yield on 5-year TIPS from the 5-Year Treasury yield &mdash; rallied in recent weeks and is testing resistance at 1.60%. But the long-term trend is down and we should expect another test of support at 1.2%. Apart from Japan, deflationary pressures are rising in &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/03\/05\/dollar-breaks-out-gold-tests-support\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Dollar breaks out, Gold tests support&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,9,13,35],"tags":[70,91,1073,3204],"class_list":["post-11592","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-fixed-income","category-gold-precious-metals","category-inflation-economy","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-5-year-inflation-break-even","tag-dollar-index","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dollar breaks out, Gold tests support - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dollar breaks out, Gold tests support - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The 5-year breakeven rate for inflation &mdash; calculated by deducting the yield on 5-year TIPS from the 5-Year Treasury yield &mdash; rallied in recent weeks and is testing resistance at 1.60%. 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But the long-term trend is down and we should expect another test of support at 1.2%. 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","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5","name":"ColinTwiggs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"ColinTwiggs"},"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/colin58s\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-30Y","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":12526,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/17\/gold-breaks-support-3\/","url_meta":{"origin":11592,"position":0},"title":"Gold breaks support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 17, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold fell to $1070\/ounce, breaching the band of primary support between $1080 and $1100 per ounce. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum peaks below zero indicate a strong primary down-trend. The next level of support is $1000\/ounce*. * Target calculation: 1100 - ( 1200 - 1100 ) = 1000 Inflation Core CPI is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Spot Gold","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11957,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/06\/17\/interest-rates-and-inflation-hurt-gold-prices\/","url_meta":{"origin":11592,"position":1},"title":"Interest rates and inflation hurt gold prices","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 17, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Where is inflation headed? The five-year breakeven rate (5-Year Treasury Yield minus 5-year TIPS) is hovering around 1.80 percent, close to the latest readings for core CPI. The market is anticipating low inflation for the next few years. Long-term interest rates are rising in anticipation of Fed tightening. 10-Year Treasury\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Five-year Breakeven Rate and Core CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-18-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-18-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-18-inflation.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24851,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/03\/27\/gold-silver-test-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":11592,"position":2},"title":"Gold &#038; Silver test support","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 27, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields rose to 1.67% on Friday, while the inflation breakeven climbed to 2.34%, leaving a real yield of -0.67%. The Dollar rally continues, with the Dollar Index (DXY) breaking resistance at 92. Rising Trend Index indicates buying pressure and we expect a test of 94. Foreign sales of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":25520,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/04\/29\/gold-jay-powell-stomps-on-inflation-fears\/","url_meta":{"origin":11592,"position":3},"title":"Gold: Jay Powell stomps on inflation fears","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 29, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Key comments from Jay Powell after the FOMC meeting (from FXStreet): \"Transitory rise in inflation this year would not meet standard for raising rates.\" \"Economy is a long way from employment and inflation goals.....It is not time to start talking about taper.\" The 10-year treasury yield fell to 1.61%, while\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-04-29-comfortinglies.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":24929,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/04\/03\/quick-gold-snapshot\/","url_meta":{"origin":11592,"position":4},"title":"Quick Gold snapshot","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 3, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Spot Gold respected support at $1670\/ounce. Follow-through above $1750 would signal a test of the upper trend channel. 10-Year Treasury yields are steady at 1.71%, while the inflation breakeven rate continues its climb, reaching 2.36%, with the real yield holding at -0.65%. The Dollar Index weakened slightly but is still\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":24908,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/03\/31\/gold-and-the-treasury-yield\/","url_meta":{"origin":11592,"position":5},"title":"Gold and the Treasury yield","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 31, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Spot Gold is testing support at $1670\/ounce on the daily chart. Gold and the PIMCO 15+ Year US TIPS ETF (LTPZ) usually track fairly closely but diverged in July\/August 2020 when Gold broke $2000\/ounce. Since then the gap has narrowed but warns that Gold may still fall further if real\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11592","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11592"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11592\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11592"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11592"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11592"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}