{"id":11472,"date":"2015-01-21T02:52:01","date_gmt":"2015-01-21T07:52:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=11472"},"modified":"2015-01-21T02:52:01","modified_gmt":"2015-01-21T07:52:01","slug":"china-will-history-repeat-itself","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/21\/china-will-history-repeat-itself\/","title":{"rendered":"China: Will history repeat itself?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite retreated from resistance at 3400, but this is a long way from signaling a down-trend.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-20-ssec.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng Index has shown much stronger gains over the last 3 years, but diverged in the second half of 2014, falling while the Shanghai Composite soared. Breach of support at 22500, and the rising trendline, would warn of a primary down-trend.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Hang Seng Index\" alt=\"Hang Seng Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-01-20-hsi.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>This opinion by Andrew Sheng highlights some of the challenges facing the Middle Kingdom:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"525\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/China?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#China<\/a>&#39;s growth model has reached its end <a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/4co8WZGAG4\">http:\/\/t.co\/4co8WZGAG4<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Project Syndicate (@ProSyn) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ProSyn\/status\/557743144792367104?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 21, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>It is hard to find earlier examples of economies which experienced similar growth spurts to that enjoyed by China over the last decade. The closest are probably the US in the 1920s and Japan in the 1980s. Both of these should serve as a warning that times of rapid growth can generate vast imbalances within an economy that inevitably lead to periods of painful adjustment.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite retreated from resistance at 3400, but this is a long way from signaling a down-trend. Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng Index has shown much stronger gains over the last 3 years, but diverged in the second half of 2014, falling while the Shanghai Composite soared. Breach of support at 22500, and the rising &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/21\/china-will-history-repeat-itself\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;China: Will history repeat itself?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,57],"tags":[663,1644,3099],"class_list":["post-11472","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-stock-markets","tag-china","tag-hang-seng-index","tag-shanghai-composite"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China: Will history repeat itself? - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China: Will history repeat itself? - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite retreated from resistance at 3400, but this is a long way from signaling a down-trend. Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng Index has shown much stronger gains over the last 3 years, but diverged in the second half of 2014, falling while the Shanghai Composite soared. 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","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5","name":"ColinTwiggs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"ColinTwiggs"},"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/colin58s\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-2Z2","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":3382,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/01\/30\/china-shanghai-hang-seng\/","url_meta":{"origin":11472,"position":0},"title":"China: Shanghai &#038; Hang Seng","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 30, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Shanghai Composite index retreated below resistance at 2300, from the 2010 low. Expect a down-swing to test the lower trend channel at 2000*. 63-day Twiggs Momentum oscillating below zero indicates a strong primary down-trend. * Target calculation: 2150 - ( 2300 - 2150 ) = 2000 Hong Kong's Hang\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3432,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/02\/06\/china-hong-kong\/","url_meta":{"origin":11472,"position":1},"title":"China &#038; Hong Kong","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 6, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Shanghai Composite Index is testing resistance at 2300 but there is no clear breakout from the trend channel to indicate a trend change. Respect would signal a down-swing to test the lower trend channel around 2000*. * Target calculation: 2150 - ( 2300 - 2150 ) = 2000 Hong Kong's\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6778,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/02\/23\/china-hang-seng-shanghai-retreat\/","url_meta":{"origin":11472,"position":2},"title":"China: Hang Seng &#038; Shanghai retreat","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 23, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index retreated below 23000. Breach of the rising trendline warns of a correction. Respect of support at 22000 would confirm a strong primary up-trend, while breach of 21000 -- and the primary trendline -- would warn of a reversal. Another 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3865,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/18\/hong-kong-china-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":11472,"position":3},"title":"Hong Kong &#038; China","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 18, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index is in a primary up-trend. Having retraced briefly, it appears to have found support at 21000. Recovery above 21500 would signal an advance to 22500*. * Target calculation: 20000 + ( 20000 - 17500 ) = 22500 The Shanghai Composite Index, however, remains in a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4355,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/05\/15\/china-hong-kong-5\/","url_meta":{"origin":11472,"position":4},"title":"China &#038; Hong Kong","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 15, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Shanghai Composite Index is retreating from primary resistance at 2500. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero warns of continuation of the primary down-trend. Recovery above 2500 is unlikely but would signal the start of a primary up-trend. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index reversed below primary support at 20000\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3627,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/02\/27\/chinas-soft-landing\/","url_meta":{"origin":11472,"position":5},"title":"China&#8217;s soft landing","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 27, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Hang Seng Index is approaching its target of 22,000. Expect retracement to test the new support level at 20,000. Respect would confirm a strong primary up-trend. * Target calculation: 20000 + ( 20000 - 18000 ) = 22000 A monthly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index reflects China's soft\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11472","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11472"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11472\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11472"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11472"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11472"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}