{"id":11430,"date":"2014-12-23T04:58:37","date_gmt":"2014-12-23T09:58:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=11430"},"modified":"2014-12-23T04:58:37","modified_gmt":"2014-12-23T09:58:37","slug":"gold-and-inflation-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold and Inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Dollar Index is testing long-term highs at 90. Breakout is likely and would suggest a strong bull trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Dollar Index\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-12-23-dxy.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>One reason is falling inflation expectations, with the Breakeven Rate (5-year Treasury yield minus equivalent TIPS yield) testing its 5-year low. Further falls would increase pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"349\" title=\"Breakeven Rate\" alt=\"Breakeven Rate\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-12-23-inflation.png?resize=525%2C349&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>A strong Dollar and low inflation both weaken gold prices. Declining 13-week Twiggs Momentum, below zero, suggests a strong down-trend. Follow-through below $1180\/ounce would confirm this.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"ASX 200 daily\" alt=\"ASX 200 daily\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-12-23-gold.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Dollar Index is testing long-term highs at 90. Breakout is likely and would suggest a strong bull trend. One reason is falling inflation expectations, with the Breakeven Rate (5-year Treasury yield minus equivalent TIPS yield) testing its 5-year low. Further falls would increase pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates. A strong Dollar &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Gold and Inflation&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,13,35],"tags":[489,1073,3204],"class_list":["post-11430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-gold-precious-metals","category-inflation-economy","category-us-dollar-index","tag-breakeven-rate","tag-dollar-index","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold and Inflation - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold and Inflation - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Dollar Index is testing long-term highs at 90. Breakout is likely and would suggest a strong bull trend. One reason is falling inflation expectations, with the Breakeven Rate (5-year Treasury yield minus equivalent TIPS yield) testing its 5-year low. Further falls would increase pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates. A strong Dollar &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Gold and Inflation&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2014-12-23T09:58:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-12-23-dxy.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Gold and Inflation\",\"datePublished\":\"2014-12-23T09:58:37+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/\"},\"wordCount\":80,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-12-23-dxy.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Breakeven Rate\",\"Dollar Index\",\"Spot Gold\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Gold &amp; Precious Metals\",\"Inflation\",\"US Dollar Index\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/\",\"name\":\"Gold and Inflation - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-12-23-dxy.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2014-12-23T09:58:37+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-12-23-dxy.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-12-23-dxy.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/12\/23\/gold-and-inflation-2\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Gold and Inflation\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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But the 5-year breakeven rate (5-year Treasury minus TIPS yield) is close to 1.0 percent. The market expects inflation to fall over the next few years. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"5-Year Breakeven Rate, Core CPI and Growth in Hourly Manufacturing Earnings","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-26-5yrbreakeven.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-26-5yrbreakeven.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-26-5yrbreakeven.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":12526,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/17\/gold-breaks-support-3\/","url_meta":{"origin":11430,"position":1},"title":"Gold breaks support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 17, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold fell to $1070\/ounce, breaching the band of primary support between $1080 and $1100 per ounce. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum peaks below zero indicate a strong primary down-trend. The next level of support is $1000\/ounce*. * Target calculation: 1100 - ( 1200 - 1100 ) = 1000 Inflation Core CPI is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Spot Gold","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-17-gold.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11592,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/03\/05\/dollar-breaks-out-gold-tests-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":11430,"position":2},"title":"Dollar breaks out, Gold tests support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 5, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The 5-year breakeven rate for inflation \u2014 calculated by deducting the yield on 5-year TIPS from the 5-Year Treasury yield \u2014 rallied in recent weeks and is testing resistance at 1.60%. But the long-term trend is down and we should expect another test of support at 1.2%. Apart from Japan,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"5-Year Treasury Yield minus 5-Year TIPS yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-03-05-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-03-05-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-03-05-inflation.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13789,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/10\/26\/low-inflation-and-a-stronger-dollar-indicate-weak-gold-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":11430,"position":3},"title":"Low inflation and a stronger dollar indicate weak gold","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 26, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Growth in hourly manufacturing earnings has climbed above the Fed target of 2.0 percent, while core CPI continues to track near the target. But the 5-year breakeven rate (5-year Treasury minus TIPS yield) is close to 1.0 percent. The market expects inflation to fall over the next few years. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"5-Year Breakeven Rate, Core CPI and Growth in Hourly Manufacturing Earnings","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-26-5yrbreakeven.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-26-5yrbreakeven.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-26-5yrbreakeven.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11795,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/05\/12\/gold-inflation-and-the-dollar\/","url_meta":{"origin":11430,"position":4},"title":"Gold, inflation and the Dollar","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 12, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The (5-year) inflation breakeven (Treasury yield - TIPS) recovered from the oil price fall to post 1.66% on May 8. Growth in average hourly earnings (manufacturing - production and non-supervisory employees) also recovered to 1.49% at the end of April. The stronger inflation outlook lifted the yield on 10-year Treasury\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Gold &amp; Precious Metals&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Gold &amp; Precious Metals","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/gold-precious-metals\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"5-Year Inflation Breakeven","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-12-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-12-inflation.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-12-inflation.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24929,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/04\/03\/quick-gold-snapshot\/","url_meta":{"origin":11430,"position":5},"title":"Quick Gold snapshot","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 3, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Spot Gold respected support at $1670\/ounce. Follow-through above $1750 would signal a test of the upper trend channel. 10-Year Treasury yields are steady at 1.71%, while the inflation breakeven rate continues its climb, reaching 2.36%, with the real yield holding at -0.65%. The Dollar Index weakened slightly but is still\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11430\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}