Business Insider<\/a>], but the following chart of real crude prices (Brent crude\/CPI) suggests otherwise.<\/p>\n![\"Nymex](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-11-26-brent-cpi.png?resize=525%2C363&ssl=1\" "\\"Nymex")
<\/p>\n
Prior to the 2005 “China boom”, the index seldom ventured above 0.2. The subsequent surge in real crude prices produced two unwelcome results. First, higher prices retarded recovery from the 2008\/2009 recession, acting as a hand-brake on global growth. The second unpleasant consequence is a restored Russian war chest, financing Vladimir Putin’s geo-political ambitions.<\/p>\n
I suspect that crude prices are not going to reach the 2008 low of close to $30\/barrel, but the technical target of $50 is within reach. Given the propensity of gold and crude prices to impact on each other, the bearish effect on gold could be immense.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Nymex Light Crude broke long-term support at $76\/barrel, signaling a further decline. Sharply falling 13-week Twiggs Momentum reinforces this. Brent crude is in a similar down-trend. Long-term target for WTI is $50\/barrel*. * Target calculation: 80 – ( 110 – 80 ) = 50 Supply is booming and OPEC members appear unwilling to agree on … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “Falling crude threatens gold”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,44,26],"tags":[495,665,797,1567,2529,3006,3204],"class_list":["post-11363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-russia-former-ussr","tag-brent-crude","tag-china-boom","tag-consumer-price-index","tag-global-growth","tag-nymex-wti-light-crude","tag-russia","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"\nFalling crude threatens gold - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Falling crude threatens gold - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nymex Light Crude broke long-term support at $76\/barrel, signaling a further decline. Sharply falling 13-week Twiggs Momentum reinforces this. Brent crude is in a similar down-trend. 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Failure would indicate a long-term decline to $75\/barrel*. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero already warns of a primary down-trend. * Target calculation: 100 -\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4383,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/05\/17\/crude-brent-and-wti-light\/","url_meta":{"origin":11363,"position":1},"title":"Crude: Brent and WTI Light","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 17, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Nymex WTI Light Crude broke support at $96\/barrel, warning of a primary down-trend. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero strengthens the signal, while follow-through below $93 would confirm. * Target calculation: 95 - ( 110 - 95 ) = 80 Brent Crude is testing medium-term support at $110\/barrel. Failure\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4498,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/05\/31\/crude-brent-and-wti-light-3\/","url_meta":{"origin":11363,"position":2},"title":"Crude: Brent and WTI Light","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 31, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Brent Crude is headed for a test of primary support at $100\/barrel. Failure would indicate a long-term decline to $75\/barrel*. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum below zero already warns of a primary down-trend. * Target calculation: 100 - ( 125 - 100 ) = 75 Nymex WTI Crude below $90\/barrel, signals a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11189,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/23\/crude-oil-threatens-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":11363,"position":3},"title":"Crude oil threatens support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 23, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Brent crude [pink] has already broken long-term support at $90\/barrel and Nymex Light Crude [blue] is testing similar support at $78 to $80\/barrel. Breach would confirm a primary down-trend and a long-term target of $50*. * Target calculation: 80 - ( 110 - 80 ) = 50","rel":"","context":"In "Crude Oil & Natural Gas"","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil & Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Nymex WTI Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-23-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-23-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-23-crude.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10872,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/12\/gold-crude-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":11363,"position":4},"title":"Gold & crude fall","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 12, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold broke support at $1240\/ounce to signal a primary down-trend. Declining 13-week Twiggs Momentum, below zero, strengthens the signal. Follow-through below $1200 would confirm. The sell-off is being driven by a rising Dollar. Crude oil is also falling, with Brent Crude testing its 18-month low. Nymex breach of $92\/barrel would\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Crude Oil & Natural Gas"","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil & Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Spot Gold","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-12-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-12-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-12-gold.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":572,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/09\/01\/crude-oil-divergence-continues\/","url_meta":{"origin":11363,"position":5},"title":"Crude oil divergence continues","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 1, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The spread between Brent Crude and Nymex WTI Light Crude remains at $24\/barrel. Brent is rallying to test the declining trendline, but retreat to medium-term support at $105 is likely. Resolution of the conflict in Libya should take some of the supply pressure off European refineries, easing Brent prices. *\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11363"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11363\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
![\"Nymex](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-11-26-crude.png?resize=525%2C363&ssl=1\" "\\"Nymex")
<\/p>\n