{"id":11087,"date":"2014-10-09T02:20:16","date_gmt":"2014-10-09T06:20:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=11087"},"modified":"2014-10-09T02:20:16","modified_gmt":"2014-10-09T06:20:16","slug":"market-lifts-despite-weak-global-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/09\/market-lifts-despite-weak-global-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"Market lifts despite weak global economy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Minutes of the September FOMC meeting highlight growing unease with the strong US Dollar and a weak global economy. The market read this as “low interest rates” and commenced a buying spree. Last year the quarter-end sell-off ended on October 9th after a 4.2% fall. This year’s correction fell 4.7%, lasting 13 days (so far) compared to 15 days in 2013.<\/p>\n

Roberto Dominguez at NY Daily News<\/a> reports:<\/p>\n

“The start of earnings season, with companies including Costco and Alcoa reporting quarterly profits that beat forecasts, also helped push the S&P 500 to its biggest rally in a year.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

While Cullen Roche<\/a> writes that the US fiscal deficit is shrinking:<\/p>\n

“…tax receipts have surged by 7.7% year over year and are up 48% over the last 5 years. And while some of this is due to tax increases the vast majority is due to a healing private sector.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Bellwether transport stock Fedex continues its primary up-trend, signaling improved economic activity.<\/p>\n

\"Fedex\"<\/p>\n

No doubt boosted by a falling outlook for crude oil.<\/p>\n

\"Nymex<\/p>\n

With positive news about, we should be careful not to forget the Fed’s concern with a weak global economy. While this may drive oil prices even lower, the impact on international sales of major exporters will be closely watched.<\/p>\n

S&P 500 recovery above 2000 would indicate the correction is over, while follow-through above 2020 would signal another advance. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would signal a healthy up-trend. Reversal below 1925 is unlikely, but would test primary support at 1900\/1910.<\/p>\n

\"S&P<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 2000 + ( 2000 – 1900 ) = 2100<\/p>\n

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) retreated to 15%, indicating low volatility typical of a bull market.<\/p>\n

\"VIX<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Minutes of the September FOMC meeting highlight growing unease with the strong US Dollar and a weak global economy. The market read this as “low interest rates” and commenced a buying spree. Last year the quarter-end sell-off ended on October 9th after a 4.2% fall. This year’s correction fell 4.7%, lasting 13 days (so far) … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Market lifts despite weak global economy”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44,46,57,34],"tags":[64,153,495,615,850,1362,1410,2527,3010],"class_list":["post-11087","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-deficit-spending-employment","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-vix","tag-alcoa","tag-brent-crude","tag-cboe-volatility-index","tag-costco","tag-fedex","tag-fiscal-deficit","tag-nymex-light-crude","tag-sp-500"],"yoast_head":"\nMarket lifts despite weak global economy - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Market lifts despite weak global economy - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Minutes of the September FOMC meeting highlight growing unease with the strong US Dollar and a weak global economy. 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The primary down-trend warns of a global economic contraction. The bear signal has yet to be confirmed by the broader-based Dow Jones Industrial Metals Index ($BIM) which is testing primary support at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Base Metals"","block_context":{"text":"Base Metals","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/base-metals\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Copper","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-10-06-copper.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-10-06-copper.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-10-06-copper.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13860,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/11\/a-tough-time-in-the-market\/","url_meta":{"origin":11087,"position":1},"title":"A tough time in the market","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 11, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"This has been a tough few weeks for investors and may continue for several more. My advice, however, is: Don't change your strategy. If your plan was to stay in the market and ride out secondary movements, stick to your plan. Investors are notorious for selling at the wrong time\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Momentum Investing"","block_context":{"text":"Momentum Investing","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/momentum-investing-2\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 VIX","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-lng.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-lng.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-10-11-lng.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61771,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/24\/prepare-for-a-hard-landing\/","url_meta":{"origin":11087,"position":2},"title":"Prepare for a hard landing","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 24, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary The timing is still unclear, but readers should prepare their portfolios for the growing risk of a hard landing Massive disruption of the delicate balance in global financial markets is likely to deliver a painful lesson in unintended consequences There are decades when nothing happens. There are weeks when\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-23-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-23-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-23-brent.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":20280,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/04\/17\/gold-crude-oil-and-the-dollar\/","url_meta":{"origin":11087,"position":3},"title":"Gold, crude oil and the Dollar","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 17, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold and crude oil prices tend to rise and fall together, though in 2008 crude spiked a lot higher relative to Gold and in 2012 Gold spiked relative to oil. For the first time, however, we now see a major divergence, with crude prices plunging while Gold soars. This begs\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":50690,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/03\/rising-crude-and-gold-warn-of-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":11087,"position":4},"title":"Rising Crude and Gold warn of inflation","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 3, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Brent crude continued its advance, closing at almost $89 per barrel on Tuesday. Our target is $94 per barrel would increase inflationary pressure in the months ahead and possibly delay Fed rate cuts. Rising crude oil prices have forced cancellation of plans to restock the strategic petroleum reserve (Bloomberg). US\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-02-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-02-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-02-brent.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61889,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/03\/rising-recession-risk-threatens-bond-market\/","url_meta":{"origin":11087,"position":5},"title":"Rising recession risk threatens bond market","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 3, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary Trade talks with China have stalled President Trump announces steel and aluminum tariffs will increase from 25% to 50% Input costs for US manufacturers are expected to soar Spending is expected to slow after the introduction of tariffs in April The economic outlook is clouded with uncertainty, and the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-02-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-02-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-02-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11087","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11087"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11087\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11087"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11087"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11087"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}