{"id":10989,"date":"2014-09-26T20:15:50","date_gmt":"2014-09-27T00:15:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=10989"},"modified":"2014-09-26T20:15:50","modified_gmt":"2014-09-27T00:15:50","slug":"chinas-deadly-miscalculation-in-the-making-realcleardefense","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/26\/chinas-deadly-miscalculation-in-the-making-realcleardefense\/","title":{"rendered":"China’s Deadly Miscalculation… | RealClearDefense"},"content":{"rendered":"

From Joseph A. Bosco, senior associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies:<\/p>\n

Effective deterrence requires both the will and the capabilities — and the proper communication to the adversary that we are armed with both.<\/p>\n

…several U.S. China experts publicly say otherwise, that the U.S. would not and should not intervene. Such talk, taken with other factors, encourages China\u2019s planners to reach the same conclusion. I believe they are wrong, but a major strategic miscalculation is in the making — not because of U.S. capabilities, which are far more than adequate, but because of the perception of the lack of U.S. will.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Without the credible threat of war, the world becomes a dangerous place, with rogue states invading other territories in the belief that a response is unlikely.<\/p>\n

As Henry Kissinger says of the Korean War, \u201cWe did not expect the attack; China did not expect our response.\u201d Of such miscalculation, devastating wars are made.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

It is evident that US foreign policy is based on President Theodore Roosevelt\u2019s maxim: “speak softly, and carry a big stick.” But you must demonstrate that you are prepared to use the stick for it to be an effective deterrent.<\/p>\n

Margaret Thatcher (Statecraft: Strategies for a Changing World<\/em>) put it in a nutshell:<\/p>\n

“Interventions must be limited in number and overwhelming in their impact<\/strong>.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Read more at China's Deadly Miscalculation in the Making | RealClearDefense<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

From Joseph A. Bosco, senior associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies: Effective deterrence requires both the will and the capabilities — and the proper communication to the adversary that we are armed with both. …several U.S. China experts publicly say otherwise, that the U.S. would not and should not intervene. Such talk, … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “China’s Deadly Miscalculation… | RealClearDefense”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,19,26,29,34],"tags":[866,1201,1672,2215,2314,3403,3640],"class_list":["post-10989","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-middle-east","category-russia-former-ussr","category-the-big-picture","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-credible-threat","tag-effective-deterrence","tag-henry-kissinger","tag-margaret-thatcher","tag-military-preparedness","tag-theodore-roosevelt","tag-war-weary"],"yoast_head":"\nChina's Deadly Miscalculation... | RealClearDefense - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China's Deadly Miscalculation... | RealClearDefense - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Joseph A. Bosco, senior associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies: Effective deterrence requires both the will and the capabilities — and the proper communication to the adversary that we are armed with both. …several U.S. China experts publicly say otherwise, that the U.S. would not and should not intervene. 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From retired Navy Admiral James Stavridis, former allied supreme commander of NATO: The firing of Secretary of Defense Mark Esper and departures of three\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "The Big Picture"","block_context":{"text":"The Big Picture","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/the-big-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6469,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/12\/wpr-article-strategic-horizons-u-s-must-change-its-thinking-on-conflict-in-asia\/","url_meta":{"origin":10989,"position":2},"title":"WPR Article | Strategic Horizons: U.S. Must Change Its Thinking on Conflict in Asia","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 12, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Steven Metz writes on China's growing air-sea battle capability (or \"high-intensity, regional military operations, including anti-access and area denial (A2AD) operations\" in defense-analyst-speak): Military capability is only part of the equation: China also has the motivation to use its growing military power. 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