{"id":10869,"date":"2014-09-12T20:38:43","date_gmt":"2014-09-13T00:38:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=10869"},"modified":"2014-09-12T20:38:43","modified_gmt":"2014-09-13T00:38:43","slug":"europe-uneasy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/12\/europe-uneasy\/","title":{"rendered":"Europe uneasy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Weekly highlights:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Dollar is strengthening<\/li>\n<li>Treasury yields (long-term) are rising<\/li>\n<li>Gold and crude oil are falling<\/li>\n<li>European stocks are bearish<\/li>\n<li>US stocks remain bullish<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The tenuous ceasefire in Eastern Ukraine appears to be holding, but Europe faces another challenge this week, with a Scottish referendum on independence. Predictions of financial mayhem in the event of a &#8220;Yes&#8221; vote are, I feel, exaggerated in an attempt to influence the outcome. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.uk\/government\/topical-events\/scottish-independence-referendum\">official position of the UK government<\/a> is:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;If a majority of those who vote want Scotland to be independent then Scotland would become an independent country after a process of negotiations.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The &#8220;process of negotiations&#8221; is likely to be comprehensive and would resolve most outstanding uncertainties in an orderly fashion. There has been much debate over economic issues, but it is no coincidence that the referendum is being held in the same year as the 700th anniversary of the Battle of Bannockburn, when Scots under Robert the Bruce defeated an English army led by Edward II to regain their independence.<\/p>\n<h3>Stock markets<\/h3>\n<p>Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50 remains hesitant, retreating from resistance at 3300. Consolidation above 3200 would be a bullish sign, while breach of 3100 would threaten primary support at 3000. Another 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would indicate buying pressure, but reversal below zero would warn of a down-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-12-stoxx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 3300 + ( 3300 &#8211; 3000 ) = 3600<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 is edging lower and follow-through below 1980 would indicate another correction. Respect of support at 1950, however, would suggest that the up-trend is intact. Sideways movement on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow, reflects further consolidation.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-12-spx.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 2000 + ( 2000 &#8211; 1900 ) = 2100<\/p>\n<p>CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) below 20 is typical of a bull market.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 VIX\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-12-vix.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index breakout above 2250 signals a primary up-trend. The monthly chart, however, reflects further resistance at 2450\/2500*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates accelerating buying pressure. Reversal below 2250 is most unlikely, but would suggest further consolidation between 2000 and 2250.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-12-ssec.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 2250 + ( 2250 &#8211; 2000 ) = 2500<\/p>\n<p>The ASX 200 broke support at 5540\/5560, warning of a correction. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term selling pressure. Respect of support at 5440\/5460 would indicate that the primary up-trend is intact, while a fall below 5360 would warn of a down-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" title=\"ASX 200\" alt=\"ASX 200\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-12-xjo.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 5650 + ( 5650 &#8211; 5450 ) = 5850<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Weekly highlights: The Dollar is strengthening Treasury yields (long-term) are rising Gold and crude oil are falling European stocks are bearish US stocks remain bullish The tenuous ceasefire in Eastern Ukraine appears to be holding, but Europe faces another challenge this week, with a Scottish referendum on independence. Predictions of financial mayhem in the event &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/12\/europe-uneasy\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Europe uneasy&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,41,57,33,34],"tags":[64,251,615,1103,3010,3053,3100],"class_list":["post-10869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-china-hk","category-stock-markets","category-uk-europe-countries-regions","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-vix","tag-asx-200","tag-cboe-volatility-index","tag-dow-jones-euro-stoxx-50","tag-sp-500","tag-scotland-independence","tag-shanghai-composite-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Europe uneasy - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Europe uneasy - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Weekly highlights: The Dollar is strengthening Treasury yields (long-term) are rising Gold and crude oil are falling European stocks are bearish US stocks remain bullish The tenuous ceasefire in Eastern Ukraine appears to be holding, but Europe faces another challenge this week, with a Scottish referendum on independence. 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Predictions of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-12-stoxx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-12-stoxx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-12-stoxx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10927,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/19\/scotlands-no-vote\/","url_meta":{"origin":10869,"position":1},"title":"Scotland&#8217;s &#8220;No&#8221; vote","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 19, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Scots voted \"No\" to independence, with a clear 55% to 45% majority. Alex Salmond has announced he will resign as First Minister and SNP leader, with the words: \"For me as leader my time is nearly over, but for Scotland the campaign continues and the dream shall never die.\" Like\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;UK &amp; Europe&quot;","block_context":{"text":"UK &amp; Europe","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/uk-europe-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10704,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/24\/tom-devine-why-i-now-say-yes-to-independence-for-scotland\/","url_meta":{"origin":10869,"position":2},"title":"Tom Devine: Why I now say yes to independence for Scotland","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 24, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Tom Devine, Scotland\u2019s most celebrated historian of recent years, reveals why he now intends to vote in favor of independence on September 18: I come from a Labour background that includes my grandfather, mother and father and I was very much anti-independence at the start of the campaign. For me,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11016,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/28\/the-scottish-question-has-not-been-answered\/","url_meta":{"origin":10869,"position":3},"title":"The Scottish Question Has Not Been Answered","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 28, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Peter Geoghegan writes on the impact of further devolution in Scotland: At present, England has no devolved legislature similar to Scotland's. Instead, all laws for England are made at Westminster. Consequently, non-English MPs often vote on issues that only affect England. Any change to this policy would likely be fiercely\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;UK &amp; Europe&quot;","block_context":{"text":"UK &amp; Europe","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/uk-europe-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10839,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/08\/david-cameron-cant-help-the-no-campaign-the-guardian\/","url_meta":{"origin":10869,"position":4},"title":"David Cameron can\u2019t help the No campaign&#8230;. | The Guardian","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 8, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Charle Brooker on David Cameron and Scotland's independence referendum: Cameron can\u2019t help here, of course. In Scotland, David Cameron is less popular than Windows 8. He\u2019s the physical embodiment of everything a fair percentage of Scottish people hate: a ruddy-faced old Etonian walking around like he just inherited the place,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Humor&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Humor","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/humor\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15087,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/04\/03\/could-scotland-go-their-own-way\/","url_meta":{"origin":10869,"position":5},"title":"Could Scotland go their own way?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 3, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Interesting view from Neils Jensen at Absolute Return Partners in the UK: Nicola Sturgeon has recently called for a second Scottish independence referendum, this time using Brexit as the excuse. She cannot keep calling for a referendum every time she doesn\u2019t get the outcome she so badly wants, but she\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10869","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10869"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10869\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10869"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10869"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10869"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}