{"id":10850,"date":"2014-09-09T19:43:49","date_gmt":"2014-09-09T23:43:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=10850"},"modified":"2014-09-09T19:43:49","modified_gmt":"2014-09-09T23:43:49","slug":"richard-koo-revitalizing-the-eurozone-without-fiscal-union-april-2012","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/09\/richard-koo-revitalizing-the-eurozone-without-fiscal-union-april-2012\/","title":{"rendered":"Richard Koo: Revitalizing the Eurozone without Fiscal Union, April 2012"},"content":{"rendered":"

Richard Koo in a 2012 paper identifies 3 challenges facing the eurozone:<\/p>\n

The current crisis in the eurozone consists essentially of two macroeconomic problems and one capital flow problem. The first macro problem is profligate government spending, as exemplified by Greece. In such cases austerity is required: the government must cut spending and raise taxes to regain its financial health and credibility.The second macro problem is massive private sector deleveraging in spite of record low interest rates observed in countries such as Spain, Ireland and Portugal following the bursting of their real estate bubbles.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The problem with capital flows is specific to sharing a common currency in the eurozone:<\/p>\n

When presented with a deleveraging private sector, fund managers in non-eurozone countries can place their money only in their own government\u2019s bonds if constraints prevent them from taking on more currency risk or principle risk. Consequently, a large portion of excess private savings must be invested in JGBs in Japan, Gilts in the UK, and Treasuries in the US. In contrast, eurozone fund managers who are not allowed to take on more principle risk or currency risk are not required to buy their own country\u2019s bonds: they can also buy bonds issued by other eurozone governments because they all share the same currency. Thus, fund managers at French and German banks were busily moving funds into Spanish and Greek bonds a number of years ago in search of higher yields, and Spanish and Portuguese fund managers are now buying German and Dutch government bonds for added safety, all without incurring foreign exchange risk. The former capital flow aggravated real estate bubbles in many peripheral countries prior to 2008, while the latter flow triggered a sovereign debt crisis in the same countries after 2008.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

His solution:<\/p>\n

There is a simple and straightforward solution to the two macro problems and one capital flow problem described above: eurozone governments should limit the sale of their government bonds to their own citizens. In other words, only German citizens should be allowed to purchase Bunds, and only Spanish citizens should be able to buy Spanish government bonds. If this rule had been in place from the outset of the euro, none of the problems affecting the single currency today would have happened.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Read more at Richard Koo, Revitalizing the Eurozone without Fiscal Union, April 2012<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Richard Koo in a 2012 paper identifies 3 challenges facing the eurozone: The current crisis in the eurozone consists essentially of two macroeconomic problems and one capital flow problem. The first macro problem is profligate government spending, as exemplified by Greece. In such cases austerity is required: the government must cut spending and raise taxes … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Richard Koo: Revitalizing the Eurozone without Fiscal Union, April 2012”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,33],"tags":[1305],"class_list":["post-10850","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-debt-levels","category-uk-europe-countries-regions","tag-eurozone"],"yoast_head":"\nRichard Koo: Revitalizing the Eurozone without Fiscal Union, April 2012 - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Richard Koo: Revitalizing the Eurozone without Fiscal Union, April 2012 - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Richard Koo in a 2012 paper identifies 3 challenges facing the eurozone: The current crisis in the eurozone consists essentially of two macroeconomic problems and one capital flow problem. 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Instead, as well as the high-inflation squeeze on real take-home pay and the eurozone, he focused on another financial factor.The problem, he said,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1583,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/26\/richard-koo-cutting-government-deficits-too-early-will-prolong-gfc\/","url_meta":{"origin":10850,"position":3},"title":"Richard Koo: Cutting government deficits too early will prolong GFC","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 26, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Richard Koo explains how cutting government deficits too early in Japan prolonged the de-leveraging cycle by almost 10 years. INET interview with Richard Koo, Chief Economist of Nomura Research","rel":"","context":"In "Economic Theory"","block_context":{"text":"Economic Theory","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/economic-theory\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/tOpWsW9SPkw\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":5542,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/21\/ray-dalio-market-insights-cnbc\/","url_meta":{"origin":10850,"position":4},"title":"Ray Dalio: Market Insights | CNBC","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 21, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world\u2019s largest hedge fund, discusses his biggest worry -- social disruption due to mismanagement of the de-leveraging by governments -- and other market insights. 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April 14, 2012.","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/DFxWCyHRD1I\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10850","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10850"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10850\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10850"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10850"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10850"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}