{"id":10710,"date":"2014-08-24T23:31:58","date_gmt":"2014-08-25T03:31:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=10710"},"modified":"2014-08-24T23:31:58","modified_gmt":"2014-08-25T03:31:58","slug":"aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/24\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\/","title":{"rendered":"Aggressive defence | Defence and Freedom"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>From defence_and_freedom@gmx.de:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Imagine an unfolding crisis, and your government has confidence in its expectations for what&#8217;s going to happen next. Couldn&#8217;t a couple aggressive*, unexpected actions ruin the opposing sides&#8217; plans, crush their timetable, make their political calculations obsolete, destroy their confidence in their ability to predict your government&#8217;s reactions and to predict the costs of the crisis?<\/p>\n<p>Couldn&#8217;t such a disruption make a quite acceptable diplomatic settlement more likely? &mdash; I&#8217;m all for peace and free love and stuff**, but I distrust the notion that escalation is always a bad thing. An escalation to ruin some aggressor&#8217;s day may be the right thing to do. To have and obey a defensive and reactionary game plan makes one predictable. The very existence of a crisis should be understood as a hint that someone used this predictability to predict the outcome of a produced crisis &#8211; and arrived at the conclusion that it&#8217;s a good idea.<br \/>\nA.k.a. failure of deterrence. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>* &#8220;aggressive&#8221;, NOT &#8220;aggression against a peaceful country<br \/>\n** Similarly, I don&#8217;t think &#8220;war as last resort&#8221; makes much sense. <\/p>\n<p>Read more at <a href='http:\/\/defense-and-freedom.blogspot.com.au\/2014\/08\/aggressive-defence.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&#038;utm_medium=twitter'>Defence and Freedom: Aggressive defence<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From defence_and_freedom@gmx.de: Imagine an unfolding crisis, and your government has confidence in its expectations for what&#8217;s going to happen next. Couldn&#8217;t a couple aggressive*, unexpected actions ruin the opposing sides&#8217; plans, crush their timetable, make their political calculations obsolete, destroy their confidence in their ability to predict your government&#8217;s reactions and to predict the costs &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/24\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Aggressive defence | Defence and Freedom&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[26,29,33,34],"tags":[141],"class_list":["post-10710","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-russia-former-ussr","category-the-big-picture","category-uk-europe-countries-regions","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-aggressive-defence"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Aggressive defence | Defence and Freedom - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Aggressive defence | Defence and Freedom - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From defence_and_freedom@gmx.de: Imagine an unfolding crisis, and your government has confidence in its expectations for what&#8217;s going to happen next. Couldn&#8217;t a couple aggressive*, unexpected actions ruin the opposing sides&#8217; plans, crush their timetable, make their political calculations obsolete, destroy their confidence in their ability to predict your government&#8217;s reactions and to predict the costs &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Aggressive defence | Defence and Freedom&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/24\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2014-08-25T03:31:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2014\\\/08\\\/24\\\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2014\\\/08\\\/24\\\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Aggressive defence | Defence and Freedom\",\"datePublished\":\"2014-08-25T03:31:58+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2014\\\/08\\\/24\\\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":196,\"commentCount\":2,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"aggressive defence\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Russia &amp; Former USSR\",\"The Big Picture\",\"UK &amp; Europe\",\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2014\\\/08\\\/24\\\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2014\\\/08\\\/24\\\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2014\\\/08\\\/24\\\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\\\/\",\"name\":\"Aggressive defence | Defence and Freedom - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2014-08-25T03:31:58+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2014\\\/08\\\/24\\\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2014\\\/08\\\/24\\\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2014\\\/08\\\/24\\\/aggressive-defence-defence-and-freedom\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Aggressive defence | Defence and Freedom\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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Falling 13-week Twiggs Momentum, below zero, warns of a strong down-trend. Recovery above $1.35 is most unlikely, but would suggest that the down-trend is slowing. * Target calculation: 1.35 - ( 1.40\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Euro\/USD","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-25-eur.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-25-eur.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-25-eur.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":328,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/20\/in-defence-of-pigs-telegraph-blogs\/","url_meta":{"origin":10710,"position":1},"title":"In Defence of PIGS \u2013 Telegraph Blogs","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 20, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The ECB can hold the line for now by purchasing \u20ac20bn of Spanish and Italian bonds each week. But once the ECB nears \u20ac150bn or so, the markets will brace for the next crisis. via In Defence of PIGS \u2013 Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Telegraph Blogs.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;UK &amp; Europe&quot;","block_context":{"text":"UK &amp; Europe","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/uk-europe-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":22059,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/10\/17\/cold-war-2-0-confronting-china\/","url_meta":{"origin":10710,"position":2},"title":"Cold War 2.0: Confronting China","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 17, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"I was discussing Australia's current political tensions with China, with an old finance\/investment hand, Chris Evans, when he remarked on the coincidence that China had become far more aggressive in international politics at about the same time as the COVID-19 virus outbreak. My response: it is no coincidence. There are\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":63813,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/07\/the-escalation-trap-prof-robert-pape\/","url_meta":{"origin":10710,"position":3},"title":"The Escalation Trap | Prof. Robert Pape","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 7, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"\"We don't have a strategy to win.\" Air power expert, Professor Robert Pape (University of Chicago), says air power campaigns don't effect regime change. He warns of the \"smart bomb illusion,\" where precision targeting gives the illusion of control over escalation. We are distracted by the success of precision air\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Middle East&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Middle East","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/middle-east\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/rBvuJ4XabIk\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":9856,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/05\/22\/ukraine-crisis-offers-lessons-in-how-to-handle-chinas-ambitions\/","url_meta":{"origin":10710,"position":4},"title":"Ukraine crisis offers lessons in how to handle China&#8217;s ambitions","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 22, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Chilling analysis by Simon Leitch of the use of force by Russia and China to achieve political objectives: Because China and Russia are major powers with nuclear weapons, dangerous conventional forces and economic leverage, states seeking to deter them from territorial challenges lack credible threats. To address this they must\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5534,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/20\/china-japan-and-the-worlds-agadir-crisis-1911-telegraph-blogs\/","url_meta":{"origin":10710,"position":5},"title":"China, Japan and the world\u2019s Agadir Crisis (1911) \u2013 Telegraph Blogs","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 20, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard The US has an impossible task maintaining \"neutrality\", and Beijing knows it. Washington guarantees Japan\u2019s defence under its US nuclear umbrella. It uses military bases on Japanese soil as an unsinkable aircraft carrier. It works hand in glove with Tokyo in a tight military alliance. 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