GOLDMAN: Here's The Simple Reason We're Probably Not About To Have Another Huge Crash | Business Insider<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"From Joe Weisenthal: Historical analysis of past big busts done by top economist Jan Hatzius and Sven Jari Stehn shows that while there is growing risk of a stock market drop because of the big rally we\u2019re missing one of the key preconditions needed for a true bust: high credit growth. They write: “[C]redit growth … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “GOLDMAN: Here’s The Simple Reason We’re Probably Not About To Have Another Huge Crash | Business Insider”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,10,57,34],"tags":[881,1736],"class_list":["post-10622","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-debt-levels","category-housing-economy","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-credit-growth","tag-housing-bubble"],"yoast_head":"\nGOLDMAN: Here's The Simple Reason We're Probably Not About To Have Another Huge Crash | Business Insider - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"GOLDMAN: Here's The Simple Reason We're Probably Not About To Have Another Huge Crash | Business Insider - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Joe Weisenthal: Historical analysis of past big busts done by top economist Jan Hatzius and Sven Jari Stehn shows that while there is growing risk of a stock market drop because of the big rally we\u2019re missing one of the key preconditions needed for a true bust: high credit growth. 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Speaking at an event in Beijing, Professor Frino outlined his research that showed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12002,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/01\/sources-of-stock-market-fluctuations-new-evidence-vox\/","url_meta":{"origin":10622,"position":1},"title":"Sources of stock-market fluctuations: New evidence | VOX","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 1, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Interesting work by Dan Greenwald, Martin Lettau and Sydney Ludvigson on what moves the market. There is little mystery that the real value of the stock market drifts upward over long periods in a largely predictable way as productivity (driven by technological progress) improves. This same deterministic trend has also\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Profits and Labor Costs as a percentage of Net Value Added","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-25-profits-laborcosts.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-25-profits-laborcosts.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-06-25-profits-laborcosts.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":14099,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/09\/12\/economic-research-bubbles-credit-and-their-consequences\/","url_meta":{"origin":10622,"position":2},"title":"Credit bubbles and their consequences","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 12, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Interesting paper from the San Francisco Fed by \u00d2scar Jord\u00e0, VP Economic Research at the San Francisco Fed, Moritz Schularick, professor of economics at the University of Bonn, and Alan M. Taylor, professor of economics and finance at the University of California, Davis. They discuss the difficulty in identifying asset\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7773,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/05\/22\/australia-property-risk-highest-in-a-long-time\/","url_meta":{"origin":10622,"position":3},"title":"Australia: Property risk highest in a long time","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 22, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Posted by Houses and Holes in Australian Property, May 20th 2013: MB contributor, Rumpletstatskin, wrote an interesting post on the Australia property cycle this morning. 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