{"id":10582,"date":"2014-08-09T18:30:58","date_gmt":"2014-08-09T22:30:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=10582"},"modified":"2014-08-09T18:30:58","modified_gmt":"2014-08-09T22:30:58","slug":"why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/","title":{"rendered":"Why is the Yield Curve Flattening? | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Interesting view from Cullen Roche:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Most fixed income traders view long rates as a function of the economy and short rates as a function of the Fed\u2019s views on the economy.  So, when the Fed increases rates it means that the Fed thinks the economy is improving and needs some tightening so it doesn\u2019t cause the Fed to create too much inflation and overheat the economy.  But fixed income traders account for this and front-run the Fed\u2019s thinking by trying to anticipate their views on the economy.  Said more simply \u2013 long rates are a function of short rates for the most part.   And the fact that long rates are remaining low means that fixed income traders increasingly believe that we\u2019re in a permanent state of low interest rates.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Read more at <a href='http:\/\/pragcap.com\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening?utm_source=dlvr.it&#038;utm_medium=twitter'>Why is the Yield Curve Flattening? | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Interesting view from Cullen Roche: Most fixed income traders view long rates as a function of the economy and short rates as a function of the Fed\u2019s views on the economy. So, when the Fed increases rates it means that the Fed thinks the economy is improving and needs some tightening so it doesn\u2019t cause &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Why is the Yield Curve Flattening? | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,6,34],"tags":[2147,3122,3725],"class_list":["post-10582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-fixed-income","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-long-term-rates","tag-short-term-rates","tag-yield-curve"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why is the Yield Curve Flattening? | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why is the Yield Curve Flattening? | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Interesting view from Cullen Roche: Most fixed income traders view long rates as a function of the economy and short rates as a function of the Fed\u2019s views on the economy. So, when the Fed increases rates it means that the Fed thinks the economy is improving and needs some tightening so it doesn\u2019t cause &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Why is the Yield Curve Flattening? | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2014-08-09T22:30:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Why is the Yield Curve Flattening? | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM\",\"datePublished\":\"2014-08-09T22:30:58+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/\"},\"wordCount\":151,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"long-term rates\",\"short-term rates\",\"Yield Curve\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Banks &amp; Interest Rates\",\"Fixed Income\",\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/\",\"name\":\"Why is the Yield Curve Flattening? | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2014-08-09T22:30:58+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/09\/why-is-the-yield-curve-flattening-pragmatic-capitalism\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Why is the Yield Curve Flattening? | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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Wolf Richter sums up the problem: The weight of the Fed\u2019s gargantuan balance sheet is pushing down on long-term yields that the Fed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"US Treasury Yield Curve","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/us-yield-curve-2022-03-21.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":30428,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/01\/15\/the-feds-dilemma\/","url_meta":{"origin":10582,"position":1},"title":"The Fed&#8217;s dilemma","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 15, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Charles Schwab's latest report highlights the Fed's dilemma: How to curb inflation without slowing the economy and causing a recession? While markets had already priced in three rate hikes this year, the prospect of quantitative tightening in 2022 was a surprise because it\u2019s a departure from the Fed\u2019s approach in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Yield Curve: 10-Year minus 2-Year","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-01-14-yieldcurve.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-01-14-yieldcurve.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-01-14-yieldcurve.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":18820,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/09\/06\/interest-spreads-hold-sway-over-the-global-economy\/","url_meta":{"origin":10582,"position":2},"title":"Interest spreads hold sway over the global economy","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 6, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"An inverted yield curve is a reliable predictor of recessions but it also warns of falling bank profits. When the spread between long-term Treasury yields and short-term rates is\u00a0 below zero, net interest margins are squeezed. In a normal market, with a steep yield curve, net interest margins are wide\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4692,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/22\/bernanke-acknowledges-treasury-strategy-at-odds-with-fed-policy-wsj\/","url_meta":{"origin":10582,"position":3},"title":"Bernanke Acknowledges Treasury Strategy at Odds With Fed Policy &#8211; WSJ","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 22, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Kristina Peterson and Jon Hilsenrath: The Fed\u2019s [Twist] program is designed to work by taking long-term bonds off the market, nudging investors into riskier assets, such as stocks, that could help boost the economy. The problem is that while the Fed has been snapping long-term bonds off the market, the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16036,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/11\/19\/leading-index-gives-early-warning\/","url_meta":{"origin":10582,"position":4},"title":"Leading Index gives early warning","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 19, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"One of the better composite indicators in the US, the Leading Index from the Philadelphia Fed, points to a slow-down in the US economy. A dip below 1.0% is often early, as in July 2000 and May 2006, but serves as a reliable warning of an economic slow-down. The Leading\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6013,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/05\/treasury-yields-warn-more-of-the-same\/","url_meta":{"origin":10582,"position":5},"title":"Treasury yields warn more of the same","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 5, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Inflation has fallen over the last quarter-century, so one would expect to find Treasury yields have fallen, but there is more than just benign inflation at work. The Fed has also been suppressing long-term interest rates, with QE1, QE2,\u00a0Operation Twist and now QE3. The yield on 10-year Treasuries is now\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10582","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10582"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10582\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10582"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}