{"id":10474,"date":"2014-07-31T14:45:49","date_gmt":"2014-07-31T18:45:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=10474"},"modified":"2014-07-31T14:45:49","modified_gmt":"2014-07-31T18:45:49","slug":"china-the-best-way-to-manipulate-gdp-is-to-lower-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/31\/china-the-best-way-to-manipulate-gdp-is-to-lower-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"China: The best way to manipulate GDP is to lower inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"

From George Dorgan:<\/p>\n

\n

The best way to push real GDP upwards is, hence, to understate inflation via the GDP deflator. Lombard Street Research assumes that Chinese officials followed that approach:<\/p>\n

Via Wall Street Journal Blogs<\/strong>
\nLombard Street Research, a London economic research firm that takes a bearish view on China, constructs its own version of the country\u2019s GDP. Lombard\u2019s conclusion: China\u2019s economy grew just 6.1% in the fourth quarter of 2013, year-over-year, down from 7.5% the previous quarter. That compares with the 7.7% fourth-quarter increase reported by China\u2019s statistics bureau, which was down a smidgen from 7.8% in the third quarter. <\/p>\n

\"China <\/p>\n

The main difference between Lombard\u2019s numbers and the official numbers, said Lombard economist Diana Choyleva, is the estimation of China\u2019s inflation. GDP is reported in real\u2014that is, inflation adjusted \u2014 terms. If China\u2019s inflation is higher than reported, its GDP growth will be lower.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Read more at China: The best way to manipulate GDP is to lower inflation<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

From George Dorgan: The best way to push real GDP upwards is, hence, to understate inflation via the GDP deflator. Lombard Street Research assumes that Chinese officials followed that approach: Via Wall Street Journal Blogs Lombard Street Research, a London economic research firm that takes a bearish view on China, constructs its own version of … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “China: The best way to manipulate GDP is to lower inflation”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,5],"tags":[1524,1526,1828],"class_list":["post-10474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-economy","tag-gdp","tag-gdp-deflator","tag-inflation"],"yoast_head":"\nChina: The best way to manipulate GDP is to lower inflation - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China: The best way to manipulate GDP is to lower inflation - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From George Dorgan: The best way to push real GDP upwards is, hence, to understate inflation via the GDP deflator. 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The gap is more than just an academic curiosity. It suggests that inflation is a lot stronger than\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9912,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/05\/26\/china-isnt-just-slowing-down-its-contracting-business-insider\/","url_meta":{"origin":10474,"position":1},"title":"China Isn’t Just Slowing Down \u2014 It’s Contracting | Business Insider","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 26, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Kyle Bass, founder and principal of Hayman Capital Management, on China's debt bubble: China\u2019s banking assets have grown to over 100% of its GDP in the last three years, according to Bass. If the U.S. had engaged in similar policies \u2013 which he said would translate to $17 trillion in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":32328,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/04\/29\/stocks-winter-is-coming\/","url_meta":{"origin":10474,"position":2},"title":"Stocks: Winter is coming","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 29, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"GDP grew by a solid 10.64% for the 12 months ended March '22 but that is in nominal terms. GDP for the quarter slowed to 1.58%, while real GDP fell to -0.36%. Not only is growth slowing but inflation is taking a bigger bite. The implicit price deflator climbed to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-29-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-29-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-29-gdp.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-29-gdp.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4569,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/07\/forex-australia-be-careful-what-you-measure\/","url_meta":{"origin":10474,"position":3},"title":"Forex: Australia – be careful what you measure","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 7, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Aussie Dollar rallied strongly off support at $0.96 against the greenback, on the back of strong GDP numbers. Expect a test of the declining trendline around $1.02. A peak below zero on 63-day Twiggs Momentum, however, would warn of a strong primary down-trend. Be careful what you measure! Australian\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":40619,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/01\/28\/us-gdp-slows-as-bear-signals-grow\/","url_meta":{"origin":10474,"position":4},"title":"US GDP slows as bear signals grow","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 28, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Real GDP slowed to a low 0.96 per cent for 2022, the smallest growth since the pandemic in 2020. Nominal GDP, unadjusted for inflation, slowed to 7.32%, reflecting a 6.28% increase in price levels. The fall is largely due to base effects, with quarterly real GDP reasonably steady at 0.72%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Real GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-26-realgdp-a.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-26-realgdp-a.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-26-realgdp-a.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11815,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/05\/13\/us-gdp-where-is-it-headed\/","url_meta":{"origin":10474,"position":5},"title":"US GDP: Where is it headed?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 13, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"I originally got this from Matt Busigin (I think). Average Hourly Earnings multiplied by Average Weekly Hours (Total Private: Nonfarm) gives a pretty good indication of where GDP is headed, well ahead of the BEA accounts. Remember this is nominal GDP, so the latest (April 2015) figure of 4.38% would\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Nominal GDP compared to Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees (Total Private) multiplied by Average Weekly Hours (Total Private Nonfarm)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-14-gdp-earnings.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-14-gdp-earnings.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-05-14-gdp-earnings.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10474","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10474"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10474\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}