{"id":10260,"date":"2014-07-09T21:58:00","date_gmt":"2014-07-10T01:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=10260"},"modified":"2014-07-09T21:58:00","modified_gmt":"2014-07-10T01:58:00","slug":"commodities-weak-except-for-crude","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/09\/commodities-weak-except-for-crude\/","title":{"rendered":"Commodities weak except for crude"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>Chinese stocks test long-term support<\/li>\n<li>Commodities weaken<\/li>\n<li>Crude oil remains high<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index continues to test long-term support. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum holding below zero suggests continuation of the primary down-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" title=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-09-ssec.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Commodity prices are weakening, with Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index breaking support at 133 to warn of another test of long-term support at 122\/124. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Momentum below zero would strengthen the signal.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"363\" alt=\"Dow Jones UBS Commodities Index\" title=\"Dow Jones UBS Commodities Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-09-dubs.png?resize=525%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Crude oil remains strong. The chart below plots WTI Light Crude over the consumer price index. The ratio is well above the historical average and is acting as a significant hand-brake on the post-GFC recovery.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"349\" alt=\"Nymex WTI Crude\" title=\"Nymex WTI Crude\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-09-crude-cpi.png?resize=525%2C349&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Considering the holes made in GDP (the green line) by crude oil spikes over the last 40 years, you can understand why Janet Yellen is reluctant to raise interest rates despite <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2014-07-10\/fed-s-bullard-says-unemployment-drop-to-push-inflation.html\" title=\"Fed\u2019s Bullard Says Unemployment Drop to Push Inflation \" target=\"_blank\">falling unemployment<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" width=\"525\" height=\"349\" alt=\"Nymex WTI Crude\" title=\"Nymex WTI Crude\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-09-crude-cpi-gdp.png?resize=525%2C349&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chinese stocks test long-term support Commodities weaken Crude oil remains high China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index continues to test long-term support. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum holding below zero suggests continuation of the primary down-trend. Commodity prices are weakening, with Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index breaking support at 133 to warn of another test of long-term support at 122\/124. &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/09\/commodities-weak-except-for-crude\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Commodities weak except for crude&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,43,44],"tags":[900,1127,2871,3100,3714],"class_list":["post-10260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-commodities-gold-commodities","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","tag-crude-oil-spikes","tag-dow-jones-ubs-commodity-index","tag-real-gdp-growth","tag-shanghai-composite-index","tag-wti-light-crude"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Commodities weak except for crude - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Commodities weak except for crude - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Chinese stocks test long-term support Commodities weaken Crude oil remains high China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index continues to test long-term support. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum holding below zero suggests continuation of the primary down-trend. 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","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5","name":"ColinTwiggs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"ColinTwiggs"},"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/colin58s\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-2Fu","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":8338,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/08\/28\/commodities-rise-as-the-dollar-falls\/","url_meta":{"origin":10260,"position":0},"title":"Commodities rise as the Dollar falls","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 28, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Dollar Index The Dollar Index is testing primary support at 80.50. Bearish divergence on weekly Twiggs Momentum warns of a primary down-trend and breach of support at 80.50 would confirm. Respect of support and recovery above 82, however, would indicate an up-swing to 84.50. Crude Oil Nymex WTI light crude\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10812,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/03\/crude-and-commodities-test-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":10260,"position":1},"title":"Crude and commodities test support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 3, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Nymex Light Crude is testing primary support at $92\/barrel while 13-week Twiggs Momentum (below zero) warns of a down-trend. Brent Crude is also approaching primary support, at $99\/barrel. Breach of support would confirm a down-trend. Commodity prices are falling as the Dollar strengthens. Dow Jones UBS Commodity Index is approaching\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Nymex WTI Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-03-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-03-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-09-03-crude.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":8278,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/08\/14\/gold-tests-1350-crude-bullish\/","url_meta":{"origin":10260,"position":2},"title":"Gold tests $1350, Crude bullish","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 14, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold found support at $1270\/ounce before rallying to test $1350. Breakout would offer a target of $1430*, but reversal below $1270 is as likely and would signal a re-test of primary support at $1200. * Target calculation: 1350 + ( 1350 - 1270 ) = 1430 We have switched to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7901,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/06\/12\/gold-and-dollar-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":10260,"position":3},"title":"Gold and Dollar fall","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 12, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold retreated below support at $1400, indicating the end of the bear rally. Expect a test of primary support at $1320\/$1340. Yesterday's long tail is evidence of short-term buying pressure, so breach of primary support is not a certainty. Respect would suggest another test of $1400. * Target calculation: 1350\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8232,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/08\/08\/gold-and-commodities-falling-while-dollar-weakens\/","url_meta":{"origin":10260,"position":4},"title":"Gold and commodities falling while Dollar weakens","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 8, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold is drifting lower after breaking support at $1300\/ounce. Penetration of support at $1270 would signal a re-test of primary support at $1200, but reversal above $1300 remains as likely and would indicate another test of $1350. Breakout above $1350 would target $1400. The above feed is from a new\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10466,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/31\/commodities-weaken-on-soft-demand\/","url_meta":{"origin":10260,"position":5},"title":"Commodities weaken on soft demand","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 31, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Crude oil prices fell sharply in July, especially Brent Crude [pink] which is testing support at $104\/$106 per barrel. Breach of that support level, or $98\/$100 for Nymex Light Crude, would signal a primary down-trend. Commodity prices have weakened in sympathy, with Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index falling sharply since breaking\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Nymex WTI Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-31-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-31-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-31-crude.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10260","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10260"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10260\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10260"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10260"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10260"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}