{"id":1019,"date":"2015-08-06T02:13:45","date_gmt":"2015-08-06T02:13:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/researchandinvestment.com\/?p=1019"},"modified":"2015-08-06T02:13:45","modified_gmt":"2015-08-06T02:13:45","slug":"signs-of-improvement","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/08\/06\/signs-of-improvement\/","title":{"rendered":"Signs of improvement"},"content":{"rendered":"

Earnings results for the second quarter of 2015 remain on track. Of the 354 stocks in the S&P 500 that have reported, 252 (71%) beat, 26 met and 76 (21%) missed their estimates.<\/p>\n

The S&P 500 has lost momentum since March 2015, consolidating below resistance at 2130. Gradual decline of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow suggests buyers remain interested and this is a secondary formation. Breakout above 2130 would signal an advance to 2200*, but there is no indication that this is imminent. Reversal below support at 2040\/2050 is unlikely, but penetration of the rising trendline would warn of a reversal — confirmed if support at 1980\/2000 is breached.<\/p>\n

\"S&P<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 2130 + ( 2130 – 2050 ) = 2210<\/p>\n

Dow Jones Industrial Average is weaker than the S&P 500. Breach of support at 17500 would test primary support at 17000. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero would warn of selling pressure.<\/p>\n

\"Dow<\/p>\n

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) remains low — typical of a bull market.<\/p>\n

\"S&P<\/p>\n

Canada’s TSX 60 broke through the upper trend channel, suggesting the correction is over. Follow-through above 875 would indicate another test of 900. Recovery of 13-week Twiggs Momentum above zero would strengthen the signal.<\/p>\n

\"TSX<\/p>\n

Europe improving<\/h2>\n

Germany’s DAX respected support at 11000. Follow-through above 11800 would indicate another test of 12400. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure.<\/p>\n

\"DAX\"<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 12500 + ( 12500 – 11000 ) = 14000<\/p>\n

The Footsie similarly respected support at 6500. Follow-through above 6800 would complete a double bottom reversal, indicating a test of 7100. A 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero flags buying pressure.<\/p>\n

\"FTSE<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 7000 + ( 7000 – 6500 ) = 7500<\/p>\n

Asia<\/h2>\n

The Shanghai Composite continues to reflect selling pressure with declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow. Withdrawal of government support is unlikely, but would cause a breach of 3400\/3500.<\/p>\n

\"Shanghai<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 4000 – ( 5000 – 4000 ) = 3000<\/p>\n

Japan’s Nikkei 225 is respected support at 20000, indicating another test of 21000. Breakout above 21000 would offer a target of 23000*. Decline of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow has leveled off. Reversal below support at 20000 is unlikely but would warn of another test of 19000.<\/p>\n

\"Nikkei<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 21000 + ( 21000 – 19000 ) = 23000<\/p>\n

A higher trough on India’s Sensex suggests buying pressure. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow confirms. Breakout above 28500 would signal another test of 30000. Decline below 27000 is unlikely.<\/p>\n

\"SENSEX\"<\/p>\n

Australia<\/h2>\n

The ASX 200 encountered stubborn resistance at 5700. Rising troughs on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow continue to indicate buying pressure. Respect of support at 5550 would be bullish, while breakout above 5700 would indicate another test of 6000. Failure of 5550 is less likely, but would test medium-term support at 5400.<\/p>\n

\"ASX<\/p>\n

\n

\nI find the idea that you can introduce democracy by military force a very quaint idea. Moreover, if I wanted to choose a testing ground for doing it, Iraq would be the last nation I would choose.\n<\/p>\n

~ George Soros (2004)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Earnings results for the second quarter of 2015 remain on track. Of the 354 stocks in the S&P 500 that have reported, 252 (71%) beat, 26 met and 76 (21%) missed their estimates. The S&P 500 has lost momentum since March 2015, consolidating below resistance at 2130. Gradual decline of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow suggests … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Signs of improvement”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,57],"tags":[64,251,615,947,1362,1481,2478,3010,3083,3100,3504],"class_list":["post-1019","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-stock-markets","tag-vix","tag-asx-200","tag-cboe-volatility-index","tag-dax","tag-fedex","tag-ftse-100","tag-nikkei-225","tag-sp-500","tag-sensex","tag-shanghai-composite-index","tag-tsx-60-index"],"yoast_head":"\nSigns of improvement - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Signs of improvement - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Earnings results for the second quarter of 2015 remain on track. 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The danger is that you avoid the steam engine but get hit by the caboose when you step back on the tracks. It is safer to wait until the anxiety subsides. North America The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-12-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-12-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-12-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13780,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/30\/fedex-bounces-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":1019,"position":2},"title":"Fedex bounces back","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 30, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Next Portfolio Update The next update for S&P 500 and ASX200 Prime Momentum strategies will be on the weekend, so that investors can place trades on Monday, 3rd August 2015, the first trading day of the month. North America Bellwether transport stock Fedex respected primary support at $164, rallying strongly\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Fedex","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-30-fdx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-30-fdx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-30-fdx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1254,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/05\/no-fireworks-yet\/","url_meta":{"origin":1019,"position":3},"title":"No fireworks yet","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 5, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 is testing resistance at the previous high of 2130. Down-turn on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow warns of short-term selling pressure; a fall below zero would indicate strong resistance. Reversal below 2050 is unlikely, but would indicate another test of primary support at 1870. * Target calculation: 2000\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-05-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-05-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-05-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13797,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/26\/markets-lack-enthusiasm\/","url_meta":{"origin":1019,"position":4},"title":"Markets lack enthusiasm","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 26, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 hesitated at 2100, short candle ranges indicating a lack of interest ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday. Lower 21-day Twiggs Money Flow likewise indicates a lack of enthusiasm. Reversal below 2000 is unlikely but would warn of another test of primary support at 1870. Expect strong resistance at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-26-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-26-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-11-26-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1229,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/10\/14\/bear-market-brief-respite\/","url_meta":{"origin":1019,"position":5},"title":"Bear market – brief respite","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 14, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"North America The S&P 500 is retracing to test short-term support at 2000. Failure would warn of another test of support at 1870, while respect would indicate continuation of the bear rally to test resistance at the high of 2130. Bullish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates (medium-term) buying\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Market Insights"","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-14-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-14-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-10-14-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1019","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1019"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1019\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1019"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1019"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1019"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}