{"id":10161,"date":"2014-06-27T04:42:40","date_gmt":"2014-06-27T08:42:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=10161"},"modified":"2014-06-27T04:42:40","modified_gmt":"2014-06-27T08:42:40","slug":"us-inflation-will-the-recent-uptrend-persist","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/27\/us-inflation-will-the-recent-uptrend-persist\/","title":{"rendered":"US inflation: Will the recent uptrend persist?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>From Elliot Clarke at Westpac:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8230;it seems as though these price movements have not been driven by demand. This is particularly true for food services, which has seen growth in consumption volumes fall from 5.3% in November to \u20130.6% in May. Housing and utility demand has remained highly volatile, but there was no evidence of a \u2018break out\u2019 move in this component of personal consumption in early 2014, and growth has since slumped back to 0.2%. This is not to say that rents have not contributed materially to the level of housing inflation in recent years; more below.<\/p>\n<p>This then points to an exogenous shock being to blame for the recent jump. Further, the coincident nature of the inflation uptrends for food and housing services alludes to a common cause: the cost of energy. The 6.1% gain in total PCE energy prices from April 2013 to May 2014 corroborates this belief. To the extent that shifts in energy costs typically prove temporary, this inflationary impulse will likely dissipate in coming months \u2013 leaving aside current geopolitical concerns.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Read more at <a href='https:\/\/wibiq.westpac.com.au\/Publications.aspx?PublicationId=9428&#038;customerid=7892'>WIB IQ &#8211; world-class thinking in real time.<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From Elliot Clarke at Westpac: &#8230;it seems as though these price movements have not been driven by demand. This is particularly true for food services, which has seen growth in consumption volumes fall from 5.3% in November to \u20130.6% in May. Housing and utility demand has remained highly volatile, but there was no evidence of &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/27\/us-inflation-will-the-recent-uptrend-persist\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;US inflation: Will the recent uptrend persist?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,34],"tags":[1241,1322,1828],"class_list":["post-10161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-inflation-economy","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-energy-prices","tag-exogenous-shock","tag-inflation"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US inflation: Will the recent uptrend persist? - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US inflation: Will the recent uptrend persist? - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Elliot Clarke at Westpac: &#8230;it seems as though these price movements have not been driven by demand. This is particularly true for food services, which has seen growth in consumption volumes fall from 5.3% in November to \u20130.6% in May. 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Two tall blue candles indicate strong buyer sentiment, supported by rising troughs on the Trend Index. Retracement to test the new support level at $2080 is likely; respect would signal a strong advance, with a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Spot Gold","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-05-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-05-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-05-gold.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":15284,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/14\/us-inflation-falls-personal-consumption-grows\/","url_meta":{"origin":10161,"position":1},"title":"US inflation falls, Personal Consumption grows","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 14, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"A dip in the latest consumer price index (CPI) growth figures brings the inflation measure back in line with the Fed target of 2.0%. Inflationary pressures appear contained, easing Fed motivation to implement restrictive monetary policy. Personal consumption continues to grow at a modest pace. The down-turn in expenditure on\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Housing&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Housing","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/housing-economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":31926,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/04\/07\/the-big-picture\/","url_meta":{"origin":10161,"position":2},"title":"The Big Picture","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 7, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Investors are constantly bombarded with information about financial markets and global risks from all sides and it is sometimes difficult to separate the wood from the trees. We wrote this macroeconomic outlook for a client but think it could be a useful summary for readers. Macroeconomic Outlook Financial markets are\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;The Big Picture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"The Big Picture","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/the-big-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":39208,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/12\/01\/chairman-powells-speech\/","url_meta":{"origin":10161,"position":3},"title":"Chairman Powell&#8217;s speech","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 1, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks to the Brookings Institution, Wednesday 30th November, addressed two key questions: What does the Fed expect inflation to do in the months ahead? How is Fed monetary policy likely to respond? Where is inflation headed? \"Despite the tighter policy and slower growth over the past\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Job Openings & Unemployment","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-11-30-jolts-u3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-11-30-jolts-u3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-11-30-jolts-u3.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63005,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/04\/rba-trapped-by-rising-unemployment-and-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":10161,"position":4},"title":"RBA trapped by rising unemployment and inflation","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 4, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The RBA maintained the cash rate at 3.6%. The strong housing market creates a wealth effect that encourages spending. However, unemployment is rising, and the RBA can't do much because of the upturn in inflation. 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The S&P 500 fell 4.3% to test support at 3900. Follow-through below 3650 would confirm earlier bear market signals. Services CPI --\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-09-13-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-09-13-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-09-13-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10161","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10161"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10161\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10161"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10161"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}